Sofia Quijada
Two mid-table sides separated by just four points in the Primera Nacional standings meet at the Estadio Municipal Eva Peron on June 20. Ciudad de Bolivar sit 8th with 27 points, while CA Estudiantes occupy 15th with 23. Both teams carry identical records over the last 30 days: two wins, one loss, two draws. The slight edge for the hosts comes from home advantage and a marginally better defensive record across the season (14 goals conceded vs. Estudiantes’ 14, but with a positive goal difference of +4 against Estudiantes’ -2). One player worth watching from the home side is forward Guillermo Sanchez, who has featured in four of the last five matches and carries the attacking threat for Diego Funes’ 4-2-3-1. For Estudiantes, Facundo Ardiles stands out, having played 354 minutes across four recent matches with an assist, providing the creative link under Alfredo Grelak’s 4-4-2.
Hot stat: CA Estudiantes have taken 14 total shots across their last five matches compared to Ciudad de Bolivar’s 10, yet both sides have managed just 2 goals each in that span, pointing to poor finishing on both ends.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primera Nacional 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Municipal Eva Peron, San Carlos de Bolivar, Argentina |
| 🗓️ Date: | 20.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 CEST |
Ciudad de Bolivar vs CA Estudiantes Prediction
The bookmakers see this as an almost perfectly balanced contest, with Ciudad de Bolivar at 35%, draw at 33%, and Estudiantes at 32%. The home side’s record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses in 17 league games signals a team that grinds results rather than dominates. That defensive solidity, combined with the home ground advantage, gives them a marginal edge. Estudiantes, with 5 wins and 6 losses in 17, are the more inconsistent side.
Both teams have scored 2 goals combined over their last five matches individually, suggesting a low-scoring affair. Ciudad de Bolivar have conceded just twice in their last five league outings while keeping clean sheets in two of them. Estudiantes have scored in three of their last five, but their two red cards in recent matches indicate a disciplined problem that could cost them here. The home side commits fewer fouls (0 recorded in the aggregated data vs. Estudiantes’ 0 as well), but Estudiantes’ 7 yellow cards across five games versus Ciudad de Bolivar’s 8 shows both sides play with some physicality. Bolivar’s 4-2-3-1 should allow them to control the midfield against Estudiantes’ flat 4-4-2, making a narrow home win the most logical outcome.
We predict a Ciudad de Bolivar win and a tight, low-scoring match.
- Best bet: Ciudad de Bolivar to win
- Value pick: Under 2.5 goals
- Consider: No BTTS
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ciudad de Bolivar to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Ciudad de Bolivar have been one of the harder teams to beat in the Primera Nacional this season, with only 2 losses in 17 matches. Their recent five-game run includes wins over San Telmo (1-0) and Acassuso (1-0), a draw with San Miguel (1-1), a goalless draw with Colon Santa Fe, and a 1-2 home loss to league leaders Deportivo Moron. The Moron defeat is the only real blemish: that opponent ranks among the top sides in the division. Across those five games, Diego Funes’ side has kept the scoreline tight, scoring just 4 goals but conceding only 3. Their form reads: two wins, two draws, one loss from their last five, and they have not lost back-to-back matches in recent weeks.
CA Estudiantes arrive on the back of a 2-1 win over All Boys, which follows a goalless draw with Los Andes and a 1-0 win over Godoy Cruz. Their form over the last five: two wins, two draws, one loss (0-2 to Deportivo Moron). The Moron defeat is the common thread for both sides. Estudiantes have shown they can grind out results, but their two red cards in recent matches (Jorge Benitez and Enzo Acosta each picking up one) are a concern. Playing a man down even briefly against a disciplined Bolivar side could be damaging. Jorge Correa provides the primary attacking outlet with an assist in three recent appearances, and Facundo Ardiles drives forward from defense.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Ciudad de Bolivar | CA Estudiantes |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2 |
| Total shots | 10 | 14 |
| Free kicks | 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks | 9 | 5 |
| Total fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 0 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Ciudad de Bolivar vs CA Estudiantes stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Ciudad de Bolivar the Favourite
- Moneyline Ciudad de Bolivar 2.65 | CA Estudiantes 2.85
- Draw 2.50
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
The odds from Bovada, Rocketplay, and Everygame are remarkably tight across all three outcomes, hovering between 2.49 and 2.95. This reflects the near-even bookmaker probability split. Ciudad de Bolivar at 2.65 represents the best value given their home advantage, better league position, and more consistent recent defensive record. A draw at 2.50 is also worth considering given both sides’ tendency to draw: Bolivar have 9 draws in 17 league games, the joint-highest draw rate among the top half of the table. Estudiantes’ away form has been inconsistent, and to be honest, the 2.65 on the home win is the pick here.
Possible Starting Lineups
Ciudad de Bolivar Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Agustín Rufinetti
- DF: Ezequiel Navarro, and three other regular defenders
- MF: Nahuel Yeri, and supporting midfielders in the 4-2-3-1 shape
- FW: Guillermo Sanchez
Diego Funes is expected to deploy his regular 4-2-3-1, with Agustín Rufinetti in goal after four consecutive appearances. Ezequiel Navarro anchors the defensive line, and Nahuel Yeri provides the midfield engine. Guillermo Sanchez leads the attack and, despite not scoring in recent matches, his 298 minutes across four games shows Funes trusts him as the focal point. The double pivot in the 4-2-3-1 should protect against Estudiantes’ direct 4-4-2 width.
CA Estudiantes Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Facundo Vila
- DF: Facundo Ardiles, Martín Albarracín, Jorge Benitez, Franco Quinteros
- MF: Santiago Camacho, Enzo Acosta, and additional midfielders
- FW: Jorge Correa, and a strike partner
Alfredo Grelak’s 4-4-2 relies on Facundo Ardiles (354 minutes, one assist in four games) as the overlapping defensive presence. Facundo Vila takes the goalkeeper spot with four recent appearances, though Dante Nicolas Campisi (270 minutes across three games) will push for inclusion. Santiago Camacho has played 206 minutes across four matches in midfield. Jorge Correa leads from the front with an assist in three games. The two red cards for Benitez and Acosta in recent matches are a genuine concern for Grelak’s selections, and both players’ availability may depend on any suspension carried forward.
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CA Estudiantes. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Ciudad de Bolivar’s home record this season stands out: 6 wins, 9 draws, and just 2 losses in 17 matches, with only 10 goals conceded. Estudiantes have been more vulnerable on the road, and their disciplinary issues (two red cards in five games) add another layer of risk for Grelak’s side. Both teams scored just 2 goals each across their last five outings, and with Bolivar’s 9 corners in five games compared to Estudiantes’ 5, the home side generates more set-piece threat. We predict a narrow 1-0 win for Ciudad de Bolivar, with under 2.5 goals the strongest market play. Perhaps the most telling stat is Bolivar’s back-to-back 1-0 wins before the Moron defeat: Funes clearly sets his team up to be hard to break down and take their chances when they arrive.
