Weekend football predictions 22-23.02: our expert team picks & Accumulators from Tips.GG

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Chelsea are still searching for their first away win of 2025, having played four matches on the road with just one draw to show for it. Their last two away defeats against Brighton – 2-1 in the FA Cup and 3-0 in the league – were a brutal wake-up call. “The Blues” desperately need a response as they continue their uphill battle for a Champions League spot.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, have a chance to close the gap on the Europa Conference League places. One particularly interesting trend stands out: Villa have scored in the first half in four of their last five home matches, while Enzo Maresca’s side have conceded before the break in their last three outings.

My take: Aston Villa Over 0.5 Goals in the First Half (@1.9 via WinSpirit)

Monaco’s recent setbacks in knockout competitions — losing to Benfica in the Champions League play-off tie and being eliminated by Reims in the Coupe de France Round of 32 — mean their full focus now shifts to Ligue 1. Simply put, this is a battle for the Champions League spots.

Lille, having secured a top-eight finish in the Champions League group stage, have had the luxury of avoiding the fatigue of long trips and high-intensity fixtures. Monaco, on the other hand, are coming off a gruelling 3-3 draw in Lisbon and must now travel from Portugal to Lille for another demanding away match. The congested schedule and physically draining encounters won’t do Les Monégasques any favors.

The numbers don’t look great for Monaco either—they have won just one of their last 10 games (a 4-1 victory over amateur side Saint-Jean in the Coupe de France). That said, Lille also suffered a Coupe de France exit by losing to Dunkerque, but their overall form is far more convincing: “Les Dogues” have won 8 of their last 10 home matches. Given the circumstances, I expect a comfortable home victory.

My take: Lille to win (@2.16 via WinSpirit)

Rayo Vallecano has shown some good football lately. They held Real Madrid to a thrilling 3-3 draw and narrowly lost their last match 1-0 due to a controversial penalty and a canceled goal against Barcelona.

Inigo Perez’s team have scored in each of their last 10 home matches. Meanwhile, Villarreal haven’t kept a clean sheet away from home since May 14 last year against Girona but have consistently found the net in their last five outings.

With the hosts pushing for a European spot and the “Yellow Submarine” eyeing a potential climb toward the Champions League places, goals at both ends seem likely.

My take: BTTS (Yes) (@1.63 via WinSpirit)

Mainz had a shaky start of the season at home, but their form has steadily improved. Bo Henriksen’s side are now firmly in the mix for a Champions League spot, battling alongside five other teams for a coveted top-four finish.

St. Pauli, the newcomers to the Bundesliga, were expected to fight for survival – and so far, they’re holding their own. With a seven-point cushion above the relegation zone, their campaign has been more successful than many anticipated.

Both teams have shown they can spring surprises, but Mainz already proved their dominance in the first meeting of the season, winning 3-0 away from home. With their European ambitions at stake and home advantage on their side, I back them to claim another crucial victory.

My take: FSV Mainz 05 to win (@1.82 via WinSpirit)

Since the arrival of their new head coach at the start of the season, Austria Vienna have been on an upward trajectory. For the first time since their 2013/14 title-winning campaign, the “Violets” are legitimate contenders for a Champions League spot, currently tied for first place with Sturm Graz, trailing only one goal difference. However, with four regular-season matches remaining, followed by the decisive Championship Round, the battle for the top remains wide open.

Meanwhile, RB Leipzig successfully navigated Champions League qualification but endured a disastrous group-stage campaign, finishing 34th overall with just a single win. Expectations were high for their new coach – appointed at the same time as his Austria Vienna counterpart – unfortunately, both their domestic performances and their European campaign were nothing short of a failure. As a result, the club’s board dismissed Leinders at the end of the year.

Austria Vienna have been exceptional at home, remaining undefeated in all official matches this season. Their last loss came on September 28 of 2024, from the same exact opponent in an upcoming away fixture.

My take: Austria Vienna on (0) Goals Handicap (@1.94 via WinSpirit)

The defeat to Real Madrid left scars on Pep Guardiola’s squad. Having crashed out of the Champions League, City must now focus on securing every possible point in the Premier League, with rivals breathing down their necks. This season sensational Bournemouth continues their remarkable run, while Enzo Maresca’s resurgent Chelsea is determined to secure their place in the Euroleagues for the next season.

Liverpool, meanwhile, suffered a shocking FA Cup loss to Plymouth, but that could work in their favor – fewer distractions mean a stronger push for the league title race. “The Reds” currently hold an 8-point lead over Arsenal, though the “Gunners” have a game in hand.

Both teams will be going all out for the win. City’s attack, led by Haaland, Marmoush, and Savio, will test Liverpool’s sturdy backline, while the Salah – Jota – Díaz trio are more than capable of exposing any defensive frailties in Guardiola’s setup.

With such a high-intensity clash expected, plenty of attacking plays and set-piece battles should lead to a corner-heavy encounter.

My take: Over 10.5 corners (@1.87 via WinSpirit)

Since Paulo Fonseca’s arrival, Lyon has embraced a more attacking, high-scoring style. “Les Tisserands” have netted 10 goals in just three matches under their new boss. Meanwhile, PSG have been dominant away from home, winning their last 10 away games while racking up 30 goals in the process.

Lyon sit just four points off the Champions League spot, and a win against PSG would not only boost their European ambitions but also solidify belief in Fonseca’s project. On the other hand, PSG have the chance to extend their comfortable lead at the top.

With both teams attacking force, an open, high-scoring match seems inevitable.

My take: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 goals (@1.63 via WinSpirit)

Bayern remain unbeaten at home in the Bundesliga, boasting 10 wins and a draw in 11 matches. Their firepower at the Allianz Arena has been remarkable, with 37 goals scored, 15 of which belong to Harry Kane. However, recent form has seen a slight dip, with back-to-back draws — a 0-0 against last season’s champions and a stalemate against Celtic in the Champions League. In their last outing, Alphonso Davies came off the bench to rescue Bayern from extra time with a late goal.

Eintracht, on the other hand, had no midweek European commitments, enjoying a well-earned rest before a comfortable 3-1 win over Holstein Kiel.
A bet on Kane to score might seem risky, considering he was substituted at halftime in the previous match, but if fully fit, he remains a prime candidate to find the net.

My take: Bayern to win & Over 2.5 goals (@1.6 via WinSpirit)

Both teams head into this match after tough European away fixtures on Thursday, each with contrasting fortunes.

Copenhagen fought through extra time to secure a spot in the Conference League Round of 16, while Midtjylland saw their Europa League campaign end in San Sebastián, falling 2-5 to Real Sociedad.

With both sides expending significant energy in Europe – especially Copenhagen, who played 120 minutes – this domestic clash is unlikely to be an easy one. Given their respective home and away form this season, the most probable outcome appears to be a tight match, either ending in a draw or a narrow one-goal win for the hosts.

My take: Copenhahen win by one goal or draw – yes (@1.82 via WinSpirit)

Cracovia have been an anomaly in this Ekstraklasa season, picking up more points away from home than at their own stadium — a rare feat in Poland’s top flight.

Jagiellonia, meanwhile, heads into this match fresh off a comfortable Conference League win on Thursday against the Serbs. However, the short recovery time could play a factor, with fatigue potentially affecting their performance.

Given these circumstances, backing the visitors to avoid defeat seems like the safest approach.

My take: X2 (Double chance on Jagiellonia) (@1.6 via WinSpirit)

Additional take: For those willing to take on more risk, Goals Handicap (0) on Jagelonia offers a solid alternative (@2.13 via WinSpirit)