Sofia Quijada
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Aldosivi sit dead last in the 30-team Clausura table with a single win from nine games, and welcome an Atletico Tucuman side that has quietly built one of the more stubborn away records in the league. Both clubs met earlier this year in the Apertura and split the points 1-1, a result that already hinted Tucuman are comfortable grinding out results against sides ranked below them. Aldosivi come into this one having conceded four goals in their last outing alone, a worrying trend for a defense already the leakiest in the division.
Andres Vombergar has been Aldosivi’s one bright spot going forward, netting three goals across his last four appearances and firing nine shots in that span, more than any teammate. On the other side, Lautaro Godoy has quietly run Tucuman’s midfield, contributing a goal, two assists and 227 passes over five matches, the clearest sign of who dictates their tempo.
Hot stat: Aldosivi have shipped 16 goals in nine Clausura matches, the second-worst defensive record in the entire competition, yet they scored 7 goals across their last five games, more than double what Atletico Tucuman managed (4) in the same stretch. That contrast, a leaky defense against an unproductive attack, sets the tone for this fixture.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Argentine Primera Division 2026, Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata |
| 🗓️ Date: | 21.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman prediction
We predict Atletico Tucuman to win this one. Aldosivi are bottom of the pile for a reason, one win in nine, a minus-5 goal difference and a defense that has looked disorganized in every recent outing. Tucuman are far from prolific themselves, but their discipline at the back, just five goals conceded across nine Clausura games, gives them a clear structural edge over a side that has lost four of its last five. Perhaps the smarter angle here, to be honest, is that Tucuman simply do not need to attack much to win against a team this porous defensively.
Aldosivi’s numbers from their last five matches show 54 fouls and 13 yellow cards, a squad playing with more aggression than control, and their 40 interceptions trail well behind Tucuman’s 66 over the same stretch. Tucuman also carry more of the ball through midfield with 1,531 passes attempted against Aldosivi’s 1,281, which should let them control tempo and limit the home side’s transition chances. Expect a physical match with fouls stacking up on both sides, but Tucuman’s better ball retention should translate into the more comfortable afternoon.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Correct score 1-2 Atletico Tucuman |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Aldosivi’s last match summed up their season, a 3-4 defeat to Independiente Rivadavia where they actually scored three times but still lost because the defense could not hold a lead. That result extended a pattern of one win in their last five outings, with losses to Argentinos Juniors, Independiente Rivadavia and Union de Santa Fe sandwiching a single 3-1 win over Banfield. Nine matches into the Clausura, Aldosivi have picked up just five points, the worst return in the league, and nothing in their recent displays suggests an immediate turnaround.
Atletico Tucuman’s last game ended 1-1 against Independiente Rivadavia, a result that kept them unbeaten in three of their last five while also denying them a much-needed win. In our preview of Independiente Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman we leaned toward a Rivadavia win built on their sharper attacking numbers, and the 1-1 scoreline proved that call wrong, Tucuman held firm rather than folding. Before that they beat Racing Club 2-1 and drew twice by 0-0 with Belgrano and Instituto de Córdoba, a run that shows a team more focused on not losing than chasing goals, which fits the profile of a side that could grind out a result in Mar del Plata.
🚨Check out our dedicated Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Tucuman the favourite
- Moneyline Aldosivi 3.30 | Atletico Tucuman 2.45
- Draw 2.90
Bookmakers price Tucuman as clear favourites despite sitting only three places and eight points above Aldosivi, a gap that reflects how badly the home side has collapsed defensively rather than any real quality gap in attack. The bookmakers’ average of 38% for a Tucuman win against 30% for Aldosivi lines up with our own read of the match, and we see value backing the away side outright rather than hedging with the draw, given how rarely Aldosivi have shown resilience this season.
Possible Starting Lineups
Aldosivi possible starting eleven
- GK: Lucas Acosta
- DF: Nestor Breitenbruch, Joaquín Pombo Streinberger, Elías López, Nicolas Zalazar
- MF: Lucas Castro, Martín García, Nicolás Gaitán, Matias Godoy, Francisco Perruzzi
- FW: Andres Vombergar
Sanguinetti has stuck with a 4-1-4-1 shape in recent games, packing the midfield to try and compensate for a leaky backline. Vombergar remains the one player capable of hurting Tucuman on the counter, but the four-man defense in front of Acosta has struggled to hold shape for full 90 minutes this season.
Atletico Tucuman possible starting eleven
- GK: Luis Ingolotti
- DF: Leonel Di Plácido, Clever Domingo Ferreira Ñamandu, Ignacio Galvan, Juan Infante
- MF: César Leonel Vega, Lautaro Godoy, Iván Tesuri, Nicolás Laméndola, Franco Nicola
- FW: Leandro Díaz
Falcioni’s 4-2-3-1 gives Godoy and Vega freedom to control midfield while Laméndola and Nicola support Díaz from the flanks. Godoy is the player to watch, his passing volume and two assists in five games make him the likeliest source of any Tucuman breakthrough.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Atletico Tucuman. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Atletico Tucuman to win in Mar del Plata, most likely by a narrow 1-2 or 2-1 scoreline. Aldosivi’s defensive numbers, 16 goals conceded in nine games and just 40 interceptions across their last five, point to a team that gives up too many chances to hold out a Tucuman side built around control rather than firepower. Tucuman won’t need to dominate the scoresheet, their away discipline and Godoy’s influence in midfield should be enough to get the job done against the league’s bottom side.
