Sofia Quijada
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Independiente Petrolero and Tomayapo already crossed paths once in this same Group Stage, and that meeting ended 0-3 in Tomayapo’s favour. Now the two Bolivian sides meet again at Estadio Olimpico Patria, with Petrolero desperate to avoid a second straight beating from the same opponent inside a single group phase. Petrolero sit 10th with 4 points from three games, Tomayapo sit 6th with 6, and neither side arrives with anything resembling momentum.
Two names worth tracking: Javier Guerra has scored twice from central defence for Tomayapo across his last six appearances, a rare source of goals for a side that leaks chances constantly at the back. On the other side, Gustavo Cristaldo remains Petrolero’s most involved midfielder, the only outfield player from their squad list carrying an assist in the last five matches, a sign of how thin their creative output has become.
Hot stat: none of Independiente Petrolero’s listed regulars, midfielders or forwards, has scored a single goal in the last five matches. The three goals the club managed in that span came entirely from outside that core group, an alarming sign for a team hosting a side that has scored eight in the same stretch.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa de la División Profesional 2026, Group Stage (Bolivia) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Olimpico Patria, Sucre |
| 🗓️ Date: | 22.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:30 CEST |
Independiente Petrolero vs Tomayapo prediction
We predict Tomayapo to win this one. They took the first meeting 3-0, they hold the healthier league position, and their last 30 days winrate of 38% dwarfs Petrolero’s 14%. Petrolero have lost four of their last five matches and have been shut out twice in that span, including in the first leg against this very opponent. Tomayapo, despite four losses in five themselves, still find the net far more often, eight goals against Petrolero’s three over the same run of games.
Style-wise, Tomayapo commit more fouls per game (around 14 versus Petrolero’s 9-10) and pick up a similar rate of yellow cards, so referees will have plenty to manage. Tomayapo also generate almost double the shot volume and nearly twice the corners of Petrolero in recent matches, roughly 5.4 per game against 2.8. Passing accuracy sits close for both sides, near 79-80%, so neither team is sloppier in possession, the gap shows up in final third output rather than build-up play. That shot and corner disparity supports backing Tomayapo territorially as well as on the scoreline.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Tomayapo to win & BTTS No |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Independiente Petrolero go into this fixture on the back of a five-match losing sequence broken only by a single draw against Bolivar. Their most recent outing, a 1-3 defeat to SA Bulo Bulo, followed the same pattern seen throughout September: an early goal conceded, a brief spell of pressure that yields one goal at best, then a collapse late on. The defence has shipped 14 goals across the last five matches, an average near three per game, while the attack has managed just three goals total in that same run.
Tomayapo have not fared much better in isolation, losing four of their last five including the previous match, a 0-2 defeat to Oriente Petrolero. Their issue is defensive fragility rather than lack of firepower, they scored eight goals in their last five outings yet conceded enough to still post a losing record. Against Petrolero specifically they have found the net freely, three goals in the reverse fixture alone, and that attacking edge should carry over given Petrolero’s current defensive state.
🚨Check out our dedicated Independiente Petrolero vs Tomayapo stats page for more info.
Possible Starting Lineups
Independiente Petrolero possible starting eleven
- MF: Wilfredo Soleto, Willie, Gustavo Cristaldo, Rudy Cardozo
- FW: Jefferson Carioca, Gilbert Alvarez
Available roster data for Petrolero only covers midfield and attack in real detail, so goalkeeper and defensive picks stay out of this list rather than being guessed. Cristaldo remains the player most involved in build-up, while Carioca and Alvarez share the striking duties in the 4-4-2 shape the club has favoured across its last five matches, without either finding the net recently.
Tomayapo possible starting eleven
- GK: Luis Cardenas
- DF: Kevin Mamani, Javier Guerra, Gino Barbieri
- MF: Mario Barbery, Cristhian Arabe, Lisandro Sebastián Montenegro, Yordy Álvarez
- FW: Ronald Cuellar, Ramiro Eguez
Cardenas has started four of the last five games and racked up eight saves, while Guerra’s habit of joining attacks from the back makes him the one defender to watch. Cuellar leads the forward line on appearances, and the 4-4-2 setup mirrors what Tomayapo have run in their last five fixtures.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Independiente Petrolero. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Tomayapo take this one, perhaps not comfortably given how leaky their own defence has been, but Petrolero’s inability to score against anyone right now, let alone a side that just put three past them, makes backing the away win the logical call. Expect goals to arrive mostly from one direction, with Tomayapo’s superior shot and corner counts translating into another lopsided scoreline in Sucre. To be honest, Petrolero need a defensive reset far more than a tactical tweak, and that is unlikely to arrive in time for this fixture.
