Roma vs Stuttgart Prediction: 22.01.2026 UEFA Europa League

The UEFA Europa League league phase brings us a compelling contest as Roma welcome Stuttgart to the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Both sides begin this round with identical records – each having clocked 4 wins and 2 losses in the group, but with contrasting playing styles and recent forms that could tip the scales. Of particular note is the way Gian Piero Gasperini and Sebastian Hoeneß have evolved their sides to fit the competitive demands of European football, with both managers employing a modern 3-4-2-1 system that places high demands on their respective midfields.

For fans and bettors alike, this match promises tactical intrigue and a close contest that could be decided on fine margins. Roma’s Paulo Dybala is always a creative threat, while Stuttgart’s Deniz Undav is enjoying a purple patch in front of goal. A “hot stat” to remember: both teams have scored eight goals across their last five matches, but Stuttgart have been more economical defensively, conceding fewer yellow cards (5 vs Roma’s 8), showcasing disciplined play that could be significant under European refereeing.

🏅Best bets for Roma vs Stuttgart at N1Bet with a Welcome offer 120% up to 600$💰

Roma vs Stuttgart prediction

The bookmakers see Roma as slight favourites, but this tie feels far closer on all available metrics. Both teams are locked on 12 points and tied on goals scored in this competition phase, yet Stuttgart’s undefeated streak in the last five outings (three wins, two draws) demonstrates a reliability that could trouble Roma, who have shown flashes of brilliance but also suffered two defeats in their seven latest matches.

Given these stats, the best value prediction is “Roma Draw No Bet.” Roma’s home advantage cannot be underestimated, and while Stuttgart’s efficient attack – spearheaded by Deniz Undav and Jamie Leweling – will pose problems, the Giallorossi’s quality in the final third, especially with Dybala and the emerging Matias Soule, suggests at least a safety net in case of a draw.

Both teams employ similar tactical frameworks (3-4-2-1), but Roma’s games frequently see higher total shot volumes (70 vs 42), pointing to greater attacking intent and ball progression. Stuttgart, on the other hand, exhibit more disciplined play, reflected in fewer fouls (25 compared to Roma’s 69) and fewer yellow cards, which could become crucial if the officiating is strict. Expect a competitive midfield battle, with possession likely tilting slightly towards Roma due to their higher average passes.

Team Analysis

Roma Recent Games

Roma come into this fixture with a mixed bag of results in their last 7 matches (4W-3L). Their most recent fixture saw a convincing 2-0 win over Torino, underlining their capability to handle mid-table opposition with solid defensive structure. Previously, a 2-3 loss to the same opponent exposed some defensive vulnerabilities, but against Sassuolo and Lecce, Roma managed two clean sheets and a total of four goals scored, showcasing an uptick in attacking fluidity.

The backbone of Gasperini’s Roma lies in the reliability between the lines – Bryan Cristante’s workrate in midfield and the creative spark from forward Paulo Dybala, supported by Matias Soule, have been instrumental. The use of a flexible 3-4-2-1 grants them both numerical superiority in midfield and options on the flanks.

Stuttgart Recent Games

Stuttgart are enjoying a more consistent run, unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. Their impressive 4-1 demolition of Bayer Leverkusen stands out, alongside high-scoring encounters such as a 3-2 win over Eintracht Frankfurt and Luzern. Under Sebastian Hoeneß, the key improvements have been in attack, with Deniz Undav and Jamie Leweling providing the goals, and Josha Vagnoman influencing the build-up from wider positions.

Defensively, Stuttgart have stayed relatively disciplined, rarely dropping below average in terms of interceptions and avoiding excessive fouling. Their nil-nil against Hoffenheim further highlights their capacity to hold solid lines when needed.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Roma vs Stuttgart stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the favourite

• Moneyline Roma 2.02 | Stuttgart 3.68
• Draw 3.75
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.93 | Under 2.5 1.90
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.70 | No 2.10

The odds make Roma favourites, reflecting both home advantage and their strong European pedigree. However, Stuttgart’s attractive 3.68 on the moneyline is not coincidental, with recent form and tactical solidity making them a live threat. The narrow gap between over and under 2.5 goals odds, as well as strong odds for both teams to score, reflect expectations of a closely fought, attacking game. Roma’s slightly shorter odds are justified by their greater attacking volume and home crowd, but value hunters might back a draw or Stuttgart with a handicap.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Roma possible starting eleven

Gasperini is likely to stick with his favoured 3-4-2-1, a formation that maximises both the experience of Cristante in central midfield and the creative talents of Dybala just ahead. Soule and El Shaarawy will provide width and pace, while the defensive trio should offer enough solidity. Key watch: Paulo Dybala’s ability to knit play and dictate attacks, with Matias Soule’s recent contributions being vital for transitional phases.

Stuttgart possible starting eleven

Hoeneß is unlikely to divert from his successful 3-4-2-1 formula, focusing again on controlled progression through midfield and utilising the threat of Leweling and Führich as wide forwards supporting Undav. Stuttgart’s strength lies in their quick transitions, with Vagnoman and Mittelstädt key in both phases. Player to watch: Deniz Undav, Stuttgart’s main goal-scoring outlet, and Jamie Leweling, whose form has been electric in recent matches.

🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

Best football betting sites and Bonuses

The Verdict

While the odds slightly favour Roma, this fixture is as balanced as it gets. Both teams are attack-minded and have in-form forwards, so expect juicy chances at both ends. If forced to pick, I lean towards a home win, but with a strong safety net in the “Draw No Bet” market. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are attractive options considering recent attacking output and defensive tendencies. Don’t miss the midfield battle – whoever claims control there could unlock the win.

More useful links for football fans

• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG