Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction: 26 June 2026 Chinese Super League

Qingdao Hainiu host Yunnan Yukun at the Qingdao Youth Football Stadium on June 26 in a Chinese Super League fixture that carries real weight for both sides. Sitting 11th in the table, Hainiu need points badly to avoid slipping further toward the relegation zone. Yunnan Yukun, placed 6th, are in a far more comfortable position but have their own inconsistency to iron out. What makes this match particularly interesting is that Yukun already beat Hainiu 3-1 at this same venue earlier in the 2026 campaign, and the bookmakers lean slightly toward them doing it again.

Malcom Edjouma has been one of the more active presences in Hainiu’s midfield, contributing a goal and registering a solid shot volume in his last appearance. For Yunnan Yukun, Oscar Maritu stands out as the clear attacking threat, scoring two goals across his last two matches and leading the line with purpose.

Hot stat: Qingdao Hainiu’s last match ended 7-5 against Wuxi Wugou, a result that produced 12 goals between two sides and signals a defensive setup that is far from settled. That scoreline alone tells you plenty about what to expect when Hainiu are involved.

Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction

We predict a Yunnan Yukun win here. The visitors hold a higher world club ranking, have already beaten Hainiu twice in their last three head-to-head meetings, and come into this fixture with a more stable recent run, picking up one win and two draws from their last three games without a single loss. Hainiu, by contrast, have lost two of their last three.

The 7-5 result in Hainiu’s most recent match is eye-catching, but it reflects deep defensive fragility rather than attacking strength. Yunnan Yukun’s backline, marshalled by Andrei Burcă who has played every minute of the last two matches, is more organized. Coach Jordi Vinyals has set his team up in a 4-2-3-1 that prioritizes defensive shape, and it shows in their numbers.

Hainiu average 9 total fouls per match across their last five games, while Yukun average 15. That higher foul count from Yukun suggests they press aggressively and disrupt play, which could frustrate a Hainiu side that struggles to build consistently, averaging 356 passes per game but with a pass accuracy that lags behind. Both teams have generated goals regularly, and with Hainiu’s defensive record being as leaky as it is, goals from both sides remain likely.

Team Analysis

Qingdao Hainiu have won just one of their last five league matches, and their defensive record is the biggest concern for coach Milan Ristić. They conceded four against Beijing Guoan, two against Liaoning Tieren, one against Chongqing, and three against Shenzhen, before that remarkable 7-5 win over Wuxi Wugou. That win, against a low-ranked opponent, should not paper over the cracks. They average just 3 corners per match across their last five games, which suggests they are not dominating territory, and their interception numbers are modest. The team does have attacking outlets in Yaw Yeboah and Yang Cong, but their combined output has been limited. The red card received in their last outing adds further disciplinary concern.

Yunnan Yukun are the more settled side. Their last five results include a 1-0 win over Shanghai Shenhua, a 0-0 draw with Chongqing, a 2-3 loss to Qingdao Youth Island, a 1-1 draw with Wuhan Three Towns, and a 4-2 win over Suzhou Dongwu. That win over Suzhou was their most recent outing and came with a clear performance from Oscar Maritu, who has now scored twice in his last two appearances. Zhao Yuhao has been consistent in midfield across both matches, and Huang Zichang adds another goal threat from a deeper position. Yukun average 4 corner kicks per match, slightly more than Hainiu, and their 15 fouls per game suggests they are physical and willing to press. The loss to Qingdao Youth Island is a blot, but the overall trend points upward.

🚨Check out our dedicated Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Yunnan Yukun the Favourite

• Moneyline Qingdao Hainiu 2.65 | Yunnan Yukun 2.43
• Draw 3.55
• Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —

The odds across major bookmakers sit in a narrow band, with Yukun priced around 2.40 to 2.45 and Hainiu between 2.62 and 2.70. Pinnacle, which typically offers the sharpest lines, prices Yukun at 2.44 and Hainiu at 2.70, reinforcing the slight visitor lean. The draw sits between 3.35 and 3.63, which feels fair given that neither side has drawn a single game in their last three outings. To be honest, the value on a Yukun win looks reasonable at these prices given their head-to-head record and current form. Backing both teams to score also makes sense given Hainiu’s defensive numbers.

Possible Starting Lineups

Qingdao Hainiu Possible Starting Eleven

Mewlan Jappar has featured in two of the last five matches and is the most consistent goalkeeper option in the data. The back four picks itself based on playing time, with Nemanja Andjelkovic and Wang Qiao both logging 90 minutes in recent appearances. Malcom Edjouma is the player to watch in midfield, bringing both a goal and the highest shot volume of any Hainiu midfielder. Yaw Yeboah leads the line with one assist and the most playing time among forwards. Coach Ristić appears to favour the 4-2-3-1 shape, and this eleven fits that structure.

Yunnan Yukun Possible Starting Eleven

Bao Yaxiong has played the most recent matches in goal and is the first-choice keeper. Andrei Burcă has been ever-present at the back across both recent games, and Shi Ke and Zhang Chenliang provide solid cover alongside him. Ye Chugui and Zhao Yuhao form the midfield engine, with Zhao contributing a goal and Ye adding an assist. Oscar Maritu is the man to watch up front, two goals in two games, and Huang Zichang offers an additional goal threat. Jordi Vinyals deploys the same 4-2-3-1, making this a mirror matchup tactically.

🏅Tips.GG Premium Subscription Brings You Even Closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

TipsGG Match Prediction

We back Yunnan Yukun to win this match. The head-to-head record favours them, with two wins from the last three meetings including a 3-1 victory at this exact venue in the current season. Hainiu’s defensive numbers are poor, and while they can score, they give up goals at an alarming rate. Yukun’s forward pair of Maritu and Huang Zichang is in form, and their midfield has shown more discipline across recent fixtures.

We also expect both teams to score and the total to clear 2.5 goals. Hainiu’s attack is not without threat, and Yukun’s 15 fouls per game suggests they play on the edge, which can create opportunities for the home side. Perhaps the most telling factor is that Hainiu have not drawn a single match in their last fifteen, which means this game is unlikely to end level. We predict a Yunnan Yukun win, 2-1 or 3-1, with goals flowing in both directions.

More Useful Links for Football Fans

• Gamble Responsibly
• Best Football Betting Websites
• How to Bet On Sports
• Sports Betting Glossary
• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current Football Tournaments
• Football Betting Guide by Tips.GG