Sofia Quijada
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Santos Laguna welcome Juarez to Estadio TSM Corona with both clubs occupying the two bottom spots of the Apertura table, a rare situation where the 17th and 18th placed sides meet head on. Santos sit one point above winless Juarez, whose defense has been shredded all season. Neither side has found consistency under their new coaches, Renato Paiva and Gustavo Lema, and this fixture looks like a straight fight to avoid the very bottom of the standings.
Ezequiel Bullaude carries most of Santos Laguna’s creative burden, leading the squad in shots and set-piece deliveries over the last five games. For Juarez, Oscar Estupiñan remains the lone attacking threat with two goals in that stretch, though he gets little service from a midfield that loses possession constantly.
Hot stat: Juarez have conceded 17 goals in their last five matches while scoring only twice, a defensive collapse far worse than anything Santos Laguna have produced (5 conceded, 4 scored) in the same span.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Liga MX 2026 Apertura, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio TSM Corona, Torreon |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 03:00 CEST |
Santos Laguna vs Juarez prediction
We lean toward Santos Laguna to win at home, mainly because Juarez’s defense has been the worst in the league by a wide margin. Santos have lost four of their last five, but their home leg against a side conceding at this rate should give them enough chances to edge it. Our team backs Santos Laguna on the moneyline, with a low-scoring margin given how blunt both attacks have looked lately.
Santos Laguna average 31 interceptions and keep the ball better, completing passes at a higher accuracy rate than Juarez over the last five matches. Juarez commit more fouls (47 versus 31) and pick up considerably more yellow cards, 12 against 6, a discipline gap that could hand Santos Laguna extra set-piece chances. Neither team wins many second balls cleanly, so we expect a scrappy, foul-interrupted match rather than a flowing one.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Santos Laguna to win either half |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Santos Laguna’s last outing ended 0-1 against Cruz Azul, continuing a run where they have scored in only two of their last five matches. Before that they drew 0-0 with Tigres and lost 2-3 to Puebla after leading, a pattern of conceding late that has cost them points repeatedly this season. The 2-0 win over Philadelphia Union stands out as their only clean victory in the sample, and it came against weaker opposition outside the league.
Juarez arrive in worse shape, having lost their last five league matches without a single point. Their most recent game was a 0-2 defeat to Pachuca, following a 0-4 collapse against Toluca and a 1-6 thrashing by Monterrey. The common thread across all five results is a defense that keeps conceding multiple goals per match, which makes their trip to Torreon look daunting on paper.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Santos Laguna | Juarez |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 3 | 7 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Santos Laguna vs Juarez stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Santos Laguna the favourite
- Moneyline Santos Laguna 1.79 | Juarez 3.06
- Draw 3.43
The market rates Santos Laguna clear favourites despite their own poor form, purely because Juarez’s away record and defensive numbers are so much weaker. We think the odds on Santos Laguna carry value given how often Juarez have shipped multiple goals on the road this season, though we would not be shocked by a draw given how blunt Santos have looked in attack recently.
Possible Starting Lineups
Santos Laguna possible starting eleven
- GK: Carlos Acevedo
- DF: Felipe Sánchez, Mauricio Cuevas, Franco Pardo, Efrain Orona
- MF: Aldo Lopez, Francisco Villalba, Ezequiel Bullaude, Kevin Palacios, Diego González
- FW: Ramiro Sordo
Paiva keeps faith with his regular back four, all of whom have played every minute available in the last month. Bullaude is the player to watch, he leads the side in shots and set pieces taken, operating just behind Sordo in a 4-2-3-1 that relies on quick transitions from Villalba and Lopez in midfield.
Juarez possible starting eleven
- GK: Sebastián Jurado
- DF: Jesus Murillo, Javier Aquino, Gilberto Sepulveda, Francisco Nevarez
- MF: Denzell Garcia, Rodrigo Dourado, José Luis Rodríguez, Ían Torres, Madson de Souza Silva
- FW: Oscar Estupiñan
Lema also sticks with a 4-2-3-1, built around Rodríguez’s creativity and Estupiñan’s finishing, the only Juarez player with multiple goals this stretch. Jurado has made 21 saves across his four starts, a workload that shows how often this defense gets exposed.
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Juarez. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a narrow Santos Laguna win, perhaps 1-0 or 2-1, built on home advantage and Juarez’s ongoing struggles at the back. Both attacks have gone quiet lately, so a low-scoring affair with under 2.5 total goals feels like the safer route than backing goals at both ends. To be honest, this match looks more about which team avoids mistakes rather than which one plays better football, and Santos Laguna’s slightly tighter defense should be enough to separate the sides.
