Rafael Nogueira
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Juventude sit top of the Série B table and welcome an Athletic Club side that has lost four of its last six matches. The gap between these two clubs is stark this season: Juventude have lost only once in their last eight league outings, while Athletic Club have failed to win on the road in their previous four trips. A tidy detail worth flagging: the reverse fixture earlier this campaign ended level, so this rematch carries a bit of unfinished business for the home crowd in Caxias do Sul.
Alan Kardec has been Juventude’s sharpest attacking weapon lately, contributing two goals and an assist across the last five games while drawing fouls and stretching defenses. On the other side, Wilinton Aponza Carabali offers Athletic Club’s clearest goal threat, with two goals from limited service, though his two yellow cards in five matches hint at discipline problems against a physical Juventude side.
Hot stat: Juventude have kept clean sheets in three of their last five matches (against Criciuma, Londrina and Goias), while Athletic Club have failed to score in two of their last five games, including a heavy 0-3 loss and a 0-2 defeat. That defensive gulf shapes our reading of this match.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 23:00 CEST |
Juventude vs Athletic Club prediction
We predict a home win combined with a clean sheet as the best value angle here. Juventude are unbeaten in five, sit first in the standings on 41 points, and have conceded fewer goals than almost anyone in the league this season. Athletic Club arrive 12 points adrift in 12th, without a win in their last three matches, and their away form has produced three losses and just one win in five trips. Backing Juventude to win without conceding gives a realistic route to value above the plain moneyline price.
Style-wise, Juventude’s 3-4-3 relies on possession and quick combination play through midfield, with 95 fouls and 9 yellow cards across their last five outings showing a side that stays composed under pressure. Athletic Club’s 4-1-4-1 is more reactive, committing fewer fouls (63) but picking up two red cards in the same stretch, a sign of discipline lapses under pressure that Juventude’s front three should look to exploit.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Juventude -1.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Juventude’s last outing produced a 2-0 win over Criciuma, their second clean sheet in three games and a continuation of a run that has seen just one defeat in eight league matches. Before that they drew 2-2 with Atletico Goianiense and were held 0-0 by Londrina, results that show a side capable of grinding out points even when the attack stutters. The consistency across the last five fixtures, three wins and two draws with no losses, backs up their position at the summit and gives real weight to backing them at home.
Athletic Club’s last match ended in a 0-3 defeat to Cuiaba, their third loss in four games and a display that exposed a defense conceding freely on the road. That result followed a rare bright spot, a 5-0 win over Vila Nova, but sandwiched between defeats to Nautico and Novorizontino, the overall picture is one of inconsistency bordering on fragility. Two red cards inside their last five matches point to a side losing composure when games get stretched, exactly the profile Juventude will look to punish.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides met once already this season, sharing the points in a 1-1 draw. Detailed match statistics from that meeting were not logged, so only the scoreline is available for reference.
| Statistic | Juventude | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Juventude vs Athletic Club stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Juventude the favourite
- Moneyline Juventude 1.67 | Athletic Club 5.48
- Draw 3.35
Bookmakers give Juventude a 56% chance of winning, with the draw at 28% and Athletic Club trailing at just 17%. Those numbers line up closely with the underlying form: Juventude have won three and drawn two of their last five, while Athletic Club have won just one of their last five. The odds feel fair to us, perhaps even slightly generous on the home side given the gap in table position and recent results.
Possible Starting Lineups
Juventude possible starting eleven
- GK: Pedro Rocha
- DF: Sam Rodrigo, Cristian Chagas Tarouco, Diogo Barbosa
- MF: Raí da Silva Pessanha, Pablo Roberto Dos Santos Barbosa, Luan Martins Goncalves, Gabriel Pires
- FW: Safira, Alan Kardec, Fabio Lima
Barbieri’s preferred 3-4-3 leans on a settled back three that has played every minute of the last five games, with Diogo Barbosa’s engine on the left flank a constant outlet. Alan Kardec and Safira up front carry the bulk of the goal threat, and both should be watched closely given their combined output in recent weeks.
Athletic Club possible starting eleven
- GK: Luan Polli
- DF: Lucas Belezi, Enzo Henrique dos Santos, Douglas da Silva Santos, Felipe Negrucci Berdague
- MF: Kauan Rodrigues da Silva, Maswel Ananias Silva, Yago Santos de Andrade, Carlos Moisés de Lima
- FW: Wilinton Aponza Carabali
Alex’s 4-1-4-1 shape asks Kauan Rodrigues da Silva to shield the back four, a role he has filled in every match this stretch with 450 minutes played. Wilinton Aponza Carabali leads the line alone and will need service from Yago Santos de Andrade, the only teammate to find the net from midfield recently, if Athletic Club hope to trouble Juventude’s defense.
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Juventude. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Juventude to win this one, and to be honest the numbers make it hard to argue otherwise. A table-topping side unbeaten in five, at home, against a team that has shipped goals in bulk on the road and racked up red cards under pressure, points squarely one way. Our lean is Juventude to win without conceding, with the goal total tipped over 2.5 given how open Athletic Club’s defense has looked recently. Anyone backing the away side is really betting against the run of form, and that is a tough position to hold going into this fixture.
