The ninth season of PGL Wallachia runs from September 19 to 27 at PGL Studio in Bucharest, and the odds board is already telling a story. Sixteen teams, a $1 million prize pool, $300,000 for whoever lifts the trophy, and a field that looks nothing like the one most people expected a month ago. Roster reshuffles after The International 2026 left the organizers unable to fill all sixteen slots with established Tier-1 rosters, so a handful of these squads are stepping onto a stage this size for the first time.
Full Winner Odds
Prices below come from GG.BET and cover the entire sixteen-team bracket.
| Team | Odds to win |
|---|---|
| Team Yandex | 3.5 |
| Aurora Gaming | 5 |
| 1w | 5.5 |
| LGD Gaming | 9 |
| Conventus Stellarum | 9 |
| Xtreme Gaming | 9 |
| Natus Vincere | 13 |
| GamerLegion | 35 |
| Pipsqueak+4 | 40 |
| Yakult Brothers | 50 |
| Team Nemesis | 60 |
| PlayTime | 70 |
| Team Cobra | 75 |
| MOUZ | 80 |
| Pibbles Corp | 130 |
| Hokori | 150 |
The Top of the Board
Team Yandex at 3.5 is the clear favourite, and the gap to second place is wide enough to matter. Aurora Gaming sits at 5, 1w at 5.5. Those three are the only teams priced under 6, which tells you how the market reads the post-TI reshuffle: a small group of intact, proven rosters against a field still figuring itself out.
Behind them comes a three-way logjam at 9 with LGD Gaming, Conventus Stellarum and Xtreme Gaming sharing the fourth-to-sixth slots. Honestly, that cluster is where we think the value hides. A Swiss stage plus a double elimination bracket gives a strong-but-unfancied roster plenty of room to build momentum, and 9.0 on a team capable of beating anyone in a Bo3 is not a bad place to be. Natus Vincere at 13 is the last price that feels genuinely live.
Longshots and Debutants
From GamerLegion at 35 downward, the board turns into a list of hopefuls. Pipsqueak+4 (40), Yakult Brothers (50) and Team Nemesis (60) are the kind of names that can steal a Swiss series and blow up somebody’s outright ticket. The bottom of the market belongs to PlayTime at 70, Team Cobra at 75, MOUZ at 80, Pibbles Corp at 130 and Hokori at 150.
MOUZ at 80 is the price that raises eyebrows. Bookmakers are treating the roster as an unknown quantity rather than a brand, which is a fair read on paper and also exactly how upsets get mispriced. Same logic applies to Hokori at 150, though there we would not argue with the number.
Format and Schedule
All sixteen teams open in the Swiss stage. The best of them advance into a double elimination playoff bracket, with the grand final decided over a best-of-five. Nine days of Dota 2, one studio, and a bracket structure that rewards consistency over hot streaks. Teams that stumble early in Swiss still have a path, but the upper bracket route is worth a lot in a $1 million event.
How We Would Approach It
Outright markets on a tournament this volatile are a coin flip dressed up as analysis. With half the field carrying rosters nobody has scouted properly, the early Swiss series will move these prices fast, and GG.BET will reprice after every result. Waiting for two days of matches before committing to an outright looks smarter than locking in Team Yandex at 3.5 right now.
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