Rafael Nogueira
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New England Revolution welcome Orlando City to Boston with both sides chasing very different targets. The Revs sit fourth in the table and are fighting to lock down a top-four finish, while Orlando linger in 13th, still searching for consistency on the road. The two clubs already crossed paths this year in the US Open Cup, a wild 4-3 win for Orlando that hinted at how open these fixtures can get. That game offers a small clue: neither defense fully trusts the other, and goals tend to follow when these two meet.
Antoine Griezmann has been unstoppable for Orlando, scoring 5 goals across his last 5 appearances, and he is the single biggest threat New England must contain. On the other side, Carles Gil continues to pull the strings for the Revs with 3 goals and an assist in his last 5 matches, and his set-piece delivery alone can decide a tight game.
Hot stat: Griezmann’s 5 goals in 5 games is the standout individual number from either squad’s recent matches, comfortably outpacing every other player on both rosters.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Major League Soccer 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Boston Stadium, Boston |
| 🗓️ Date: | 20.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:30 CEST |
New England Revolution vs Orlando City prediction
New England enter as clear favourites and the form supports it. They have won 3 of their last 5, sit 9 points clear of Orlando in the standings, and get to play in front of their own crowd against a side that has lost 11 league games this season. We predict a home win, most likely by a single goal margin, perhaps 2-1, given how often both teams have conceded lately. Orlando’s -12 goal difference tells its own story defensively, and that weakness travels badly against a Revs attack built around Gil and Dor Turgeman.
Style-wise, Orlando control possession better, with 2673 passes to New England’s 2182 across their last five games, but that comes with a cost: 55 fouls and 11 yellow cards compared to New England’s 43 fouls and 9 cards. That discipline gap could matter in a tight match, especially if Orlando’s back line ends up chasing the game and picking up cards in dangerous zones. New England, meanwhile, generate more shots (69 vs 58) despite less time on the ball, suggesting a more direct, counter-punching approach that suits a home side facing a leaky away defense.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Antoine Griezmann to score anytime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
New England’s last five results read as three wins, one draw and one loss, and the most recent outing was a 2-1 win away at Chicago Fire. In our preview of Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution we leaned toward the home side edging it by a goal, and the Revs’ 2-1 road win went against that call. Before that, they beat New York City 2-1 and Columbus Crew 3-1, only slipping up against LA Galaxy (1-2). The pattern shows a team that scores consistently but still leaks goals defensively, a trend that should continue against Orlando’s attack.
Orlando’s form is choppier. Their last outing ended in a 1-2 home defeat to Columbus Crew, snapping a run of three straight wins over Toronto FC (3-0), Atlanta United (3-2) and San Diego (1-0), sandwiched around a 3-3 draw with Minnesota United. The goals are there, Orlando have scored in every one of their last five, but the 3-3 and 1-2 results expose a defense that regularly gives games away, something New England’s attack should look to exploit early.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | New England Revolution | Orlando City |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated New England Revolution vs Orlando City stats page for more info.
Orlando City. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: New England Revolution the favourite
- Moneyline New England Revolution 1.88 | Orlando City 3.68
- Draw 4.19
The market has New England as clear favourites at close to 53% implied probability once margin is stripped out, matching the bookmakers’ own 51% pre-match figure. Orlando’s price above 3.60 with most books reflects their poor away form this season, and we see no value backing the underdog outright here. A small draw stake as insurance is defensible given Orlando’s habit of scoring against weak defenses, but the moneyline favours the hosts.
Possible Starting Lineups
New England Revolution possible starting eleven
- GK: Matt Turner
- DF: Mamadou Fofana, William Sands, Peyton Miller, Ilay Feingold
- MF: Ethan Kohler, Matt Polster, Carles Gil, Jackson Yueill
- FW: Jack Harrison, Dor Turgeman
Marko Mitrovic sticks with the 4-2-3-1 that has worked in five straight starts for most of this group. Turner has played every minute in goal, and Fofana, Sands and Miller form a settled back line. Gil remains the creative focus behind Turgeman, who leads the line with 3 goals in his last five.
Orlando City possible starting eleven
- GK: Maxime Crépeau
- DF: David Brekalo, Robin Jansson, Iago Teodoro
- MF: Eduard Atuesta, Joran Gerbet, Zakaria Taifi, Wilder Cartagena
- FW: Antoine Griezmann, Iván Angulo, Martin Ojeda
Martín Perelman’s side leans on a compact midfield four to protect a light back three, with Atuesta screening in front of the defense. Griezmann and Angulo, who together have scored 7 goals in the last five games, carry the attacking weight up top alongside Ojeda.
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New England Revolution. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We back New England Revolution to win this one, likely 2-1, on the back of home advantage and a sharper defensive record than Orlando’s -12 goal difference. Both teams have scored in most of their recent matches, so BTTS Yes looks like the safer side market, and with two attack-minded sides in Griezmann and Gil, the goals should keep coming past the 2.5 mark. Orlando’s away struggles and disciplinary issues, 11 yellow cards in five games, make them a risky pick outright, to be honest, even with Griezmann in this kind of scoring form.
