Levi Rothermund
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Auxerre welcome Brest to the Abbé-Deschamps on matchday five, and the table tells two very different stories right now. Will Still’s men sit second from bottom with just three points, while Julien Lachuer’s Brest sit seventh on five. These clubs have met four times in Ligue 1 across the past two seasons, and Brest have taken the points in two of those, including a comfortable win last term.
Auxerre’s home form has not been kind this year, but a fresh 1-0 win over Nice gives Still something small to build on before this weekend. Brest arrive with the better underlying numbers, yet their away form this season has been shakier than the table suggests.
Kamory Doumbia has been Brest’s standout performer this term. Four goals from his last five appearances is a serious return for a central midfielder, and he tends to drift wide before cutting inside late. Danny Namaso carries most of Auxerre’s attacking threat up top, with one goal and a heavy shot count across his four league starts. Whichever of the two dictates the tempo early could shape how this one unfolds.
The number that jumps out most from recent games belongs to Auxerre’s defense. They shipped five goals in a single outing against Lens barely three matches back, a scoreline that still stings given how few clear chances they actually conceded that day. Brest, for their part, have fired 88 shots across their last five matches, nearly double Auxerre’s 49 over the same stretch.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Ligue 1 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre |
| 🗓️ Date: | 20.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Auxerre vs Brest prediction
We think the value sits with the goals market rather than picking a straight winner. Auxerre have conceded 11 times already this season, one of the weaker returns in the division, and Brest have scored in four of their last five matches. Over 2.5 goals looks the shrewd angle, backed by three of the last four head-to-head meetings producing three or more goals combined.
Brest hold the sharper attacking numbers on paper, and Doumbia’s scoring form gives them a genuine edge for the win. Auxerre’s home need for a response after four defeats in five could still keep this closer than the bookmakers expect, honestly, so we wouldn’t rule out a draw sneaking into play either.
Neither side is especially physical in style. Auxerre have committed 54 fouls across their last five matches against Brest’s 62, yet picked up more yellow cards, seven against five, suggesting their discipline slips at the wrong moments rather than through constant hard tackling. Passing accuracy sits close for both, Auxerre around 80 percent, Brest just a touch higher near 80.5 percent, so neither team dominates possession by a wide margin. Brest also generate more from corners, 25 against Auxerre’s 22 over the same run, which could matter if the game stays tight late on.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Brest Double Chance (Draw or Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Auxerre arrive off the back of a much-needed 1-0 win over Nice, snapping a run of three straight losses that included a heavy 2-5 defeat to Lens and back-to-back 1-3 losses against Angers and Lyon. That win over Nice was scrappy rather than convincing, with Still’s side doing just enough in the final third to hold the lead. Before that grim stretch they’d shown promise with a 1-0 win over Werder Bremen, so results have swung heavily from game to game rather than following any clear pattern.
Brest’s most recent outing ended in a narrow 0-1 loss at home to Paris Saint Germain, a game where they matched PSG for spells but couldn’t find an equalizer. In our preview of Brest vs Paris Saint Germain we leaned toward a tight PSG win with goals at both ends, and the 0-1 scoreline backed our call on the winner even though Brest themselves failed to get on the scoresheet. Before that they beat Le Havre 2-1 and drew twice, against Toulouse and Le Mans, both ending 2-2, showing a side capable of scoring freely but leaking goals just as easily at the other end.
🚨Check out our dedicated Auxerre vs Brest stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Brest the favourite
- Moneyline Auxerre 2.87 | Brest 2.45
- Draw 3.50
Brest sit as marginal favourites across the market, priced around 2.45 against Auxerre’s near 2.87, with the draw hovering close to 3.50. That gap is thin enough to reflect Auxerre’s home advantage and Brest’s inconsistent away form this season, just one win from their last five on the road. We don’t see this as a lopsided contest despite the table gap between seventh and fifteenth, and the odds seem to agree with that reading.
Possible Starting Lineups
Auxerre possible starting eleven
- GK: Mamadou Diop
- DF: Clément Akpa, Lamine Sy, Arthur Piedfort
- MF: Elikya Legros, Kevin Danois, Naouirou Ahamada, Christ Makosso
- FW: Danny Namaso, Romain Faivre, Cameron Archer
Still tends to favour a back three this season, and the 3-4-2-1 shape suits the personnel available. Akpa, Sy and Piedfort have started nearly every match and should anchor the defense again. Cameron Archer is the name worth watching up front, two goals from limited minutes suggests he could start ahead of Aristide Zossou if fit, with Namaso and Faivre operating just behind him.
Brest possible starting eleven
- GK: Egil Selvik
- DF: Kenny Lala, Raphaël Le Guen, Gautier Lloris, Bradley Locko
- MF: Joris Chotard, Lucas Tousart
- FW: Kamory Doumbia, Hugo Magnetti, Mama Baldé, Ludovic Ajorque
Lachuer sticks with a 4-2-3-1 built around Chotard and Tousart screening the back four. Doumbia is the player to watch in behind Ajorque, his four goals in five games make him Brest’s biggest attacking threat by some distance, and how Auxerre’s midfield copes with his movement could decide the game’s tempo.
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Brest. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Our punters team expects goals in this one more than a clear-cut winner. Auxerre’s defensive record this season, 11 conceded in just four matches, gives Brest’s attack, led by Doumbia and Ajorque, a real route to goals, while Namaso and a home crowd chasing form should give Auxerre enough to trouble Selvik at the other end. We’re backing Over 2.5 goals with BTTS Yes as the shape of this game, and if pushed to pick a winner we’d lean Brest by the narrowest of margins, maybe 2-1 or 3-2, rather than anything settled comfortably.
