Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction: 17.01.2026 English Premier League

At Anfield on 17 January 2026, Liverpool take on Burnley in a Premier League clash that may seem straightforward on paper, but recent form and evolving team dynamics warrant a closer look. While Liverpool retain a firm grasp over the upper echelons of the league, Burnley’s scrappy nature under Scott Parker hints at a match that could be dictated by intensity as much as pedigree. Intriguingly, Liverpool’s struggles to convert draws into wins, and Burnley’s ability to frustrate more fancied sides recently, add extra spice to this encounter.

Key players to watch? For Liverpool, Florian Wirtz stands out, having netted 3 times in his last five games and emerging as a creative linchpin under Arne Slot. On Burnley’s side, Jaidon Anthony has matched that tally with 2 crucial goals recently, offering the spark in Parker’s otherwise cautious setup. Liverpool’s midfield dynamism, epitomised by Alexis Mac Allister and Dominik Szoboszlai, will be crucial, while Josh Laurent brings bite and steel for Burnley.

The “hot stat”: Burnley’s recent 5-1 demolition of Millwall was their biggest away league win in more than two years – a clear warning that underestimating their attacking threat could cost Liverpool dearly.

🏅Best bets for Liverpool vs Burnley at WinSpirit with a Welcome bonus 100% up to 100$ and 25% Freebet💰

Liverpool vs Burnley prediction

Liverpool’s undeniable quality and home advantage position them as clear favourites, but caution must be exercised. Their three draws in their last six matches highlight some attacking inconsistency, particularly in breaking down well-organised defences. Burnley, freshly emboldened by a resounding win over Millwall and a draw against Manchester United, are unlikely to roll over. Nevertheless, Liverpool’s superior passing accuracy (88.6% to Burnley’s 82.3% recent average), higher creative output, and bench strength should edge it.

Expect Liverpool to dominate possession and set the tempo. Their disciplined approach (only 4 yellow cards in five matches) allows them to push high and recover quickly, while Burnley’s higher foul (52 in last five) and card count (11 yellows) reflects a more rugged, desperate style – which could result in dangerous set-piece opportunities for the hosts. Both lineups share a 4-2-3-1 formation preference, setting up an intriguing tactical battle in midfield.

Team Analysis

Liverpool recent games: The Reds are riding a six-match unbeaten streak, although three of those were draws. The latest – a 4-1 thrashing of Barnsley – saw Wirtz and Gakpo at their incisive best, but the goalless stalemates with Arsenal and Leeds expose some vulnerabilities against deep-lying defences. Notably, Liverpool’s pressing from Szoboszlai, industrious play from Mac Allister, and rock-solid defending from Van Dijk underline an overall balanced approach, but they have, at times, been wasteful in front of goal. Arne Slot’s men work the ball superbly – more than 630 passes per match on average – with patient probing that often tires out opponents late on.

Burnley recent games: Burnley enter this fixture buoyed by their 5-1 away win at Millwall and a plucky 2-2 draw with Manchester United. However, this is offset by damaging defeats to Newcastle (1-3) and Brighton (0-2). While Burnley’s defensive stats are unremarkable, their high foul and yellow card figures speak to a combative, at times frantic, approach. Parker’s tactical flexibility has seen attacking fullbacks like Lucas Pires Silva and goal-poachers such as Ashley Barnes come to the fore. Still, their persistent weakness is when facing high-calibre midfields like Liverpool’s, often resulting in turnovers and loss of shape.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Liverpool vs Burnley stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the favourite

• Moneyline Liverpool 1.22–1.27 | Burnley 10.00–13.50
• Draw 6.00–7.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.58 | Under 2.5 2.40
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.25 | No 1.60

These odds underscore Liverpool’s overwhelming status as favourites – justified given their attacking prowess, home advantage, and Burnley’s defensive frailties. However, the value lies with goal markets and handicaps, as Burnley’s resilience and recent attacking improvements could see them notch on the counter. The bookies’ pricing on a high-scoring match is in line with both sides’ recent trends.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

Possible Starting Lineups

Liverpool possible starting eleven

Arne Slot is likely to stick with the familiar 4-2-3-1 that has yielded a blend of balance and attacking verve. Alisson is a lock between the sticks, with Van Dijk and Konaté providing a formidable presence in the heart of defence. Robertson and Frimpong offer width, while Jones and Mac Allister orchestrate from deep. Szoboszlai, Wirtz and Gakpo will operate behind lone forward Ekitiké. Key to Liverpool’s structure will be the fluid front line – watch for Wirtz’s late runs and Gakpo’s hold-up ability to unsettle Burnley’s back four.

Burnley possible starting eleven

Scott Parker is also expected to go with a 4-2-3-1, seeking solidity through Ekdal and Humphreys in defence, with Walker and Silva bombarding down the flanks when possible. Burnley will hope Laurent’s energy and Ugochukwu’s distribution can staunch Liverpool’s midfield press. Up front, Anthony’s pace, Tchaouna’s direct running, and Barnes’ predatory instincts are critical – Marcus Edwards is a potential wild card, supporting attacks from deep.

Best football betting sites and Bonuses

My take on the Match

All signs point to Liverpool securing three points at Anfield, but Burnley’s fighting spirit and fresh attacking options could see them sneak a consolation goal. I’m backing Liverpool to cover the -1.5 handicap – their superior squad, organisation and clinical edge should overpower a Burnley side with plenty of heart but persistent defensive concerns. Expect Wirtz or Gakpo to be among the goals, with Burnley’s Anthony making a nuisance of himself. In the grander scheme, this match could see Liverpool solidify their top-four credentials, while Burnley’s ability to keep things close will be key to survival hopes in the long run.

More useful links for football fans

• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG