Granada CF vs Mallorca Prediction: 24 August 2026 La Liga 2

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Granada CF host Mallorca at Nuevo Los Cármenes on Matchday 2 of the La Liga 2 2026/2027 season. Granada opened their campaign with a goalless draw, sitting 15th, while Mallorca arrive with a perfect start, a 2-0 win already banked and three points from one game placing them 8th. Mallorca’s drop from La Liga adds quality to this second-division fixture, and Pacheta’s side will need a strong home performance to contain a team that has won four of its last five matches across all competitions.

Two players stand out heading into this match. For Mallorca, defender Antonio José Raíllo Arenas has contributed two goals from the back in just two recent appearances, making him a set-piece threat Granada cannot ignore. For the hosts, midfielder Rubén Alcaraz carries the most defensive responsibility in the middle, averaging four fouls per appearance, and his ability to disrupt Mallorca’s rhythm will be central to Granada’s chances.

The standout stat from recent matches: Mallorca registered 24 total shots and 8 corner kicks in their last game alone, compared to Granada’s 10 shots and 2 corners. That volume gap reflects a significant difference in attacking output between these two sides right now.

Granada CF vs Mallorca Prediction

Mallorca are the value pick here. Bookmakers price them as favourites at around 2.35-2.53, which reflects their stronger recent form, superior squad depth, and the fact they have won four of their last five games without a single defeat in that run. Granada, by contrast, have been inconsistent, mixing wins with back-to-back losses in that same period, and their last outing produced no goals and minimal attacking output.

Granada play a 4-2-3-1 that tends to sit compact and defend through structure rather than pressing. Their foul count is moderate and their pass accuracy in the last match was low, suggesting they struggled to build from the back under pressure. Mallorca’s 4-3-3 generates high shot volumes and corner counts, and their midfield trio controls possession well, with players like Sergi Darder and Manuel Morlanes completing passes at a high rate. That possession dominance should translate into sustained pressure on a Granada side that has not scored in their most recent league game.

We predict Mallorca to win, with the match staying relatively tight in the first half before Mallorca’s quality tells. An Asian handicap or Mallorca win on the moneyline at Pinnacle’s 2.53 represents the best value.

Team Analysis

Granada’s season has started with caution. Their last five competitive matches show a mixed picture: wins over Antequera (3-0), Almeria (2-0), and Real Betis (1-0) are offset by a 0-2 home loss to Cadiz and a 0-0 draw with Real Oviedo in their La Liga 2 opener. The Cadiz defeat is particularly relevant, as it came at home and highlighted defensive fragility when pressed by a direct, physical side. Against Oviedo, Granada generated only 10 shots and 2 corners, and their passing was disjointed, with only 244 accurate passes from 324 attempts. Coach Pacheta will need a more purposeful attacking approach to trouble a Mallorca backline that has conceded zero goals in their last two matches.

Mallorca have looked sharp since the season began. Their 2-0 win over Real Valladolid in their La Liga 2 opener was dominant, backed by 24 shots and 8 corners. Before that, they beat Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 and Al Ittihad 4-2 in pre-season or friendly competition, and drew with Elversberg 1-1. Their squad carries genuine top-flight pedigree, and players like Pablo Torre, Zito Luvumbo, and Adrian Fuentes give Luis García Fernández multiple attacking options from wide positions. Mallorca have conceded just two goals in their last five matches, and their defensive structure, anchored by Raíllo and Martin Valjent, looks organised and difficult to break down.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Granada CF vs Mallorca stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Mallorca the Favourite

• Moneyline Granada CF 3.10 | Mallorca 2.44
• Draw 2.94
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The moneyline odds align with the bookmakers’ probability estimates, which give Mallorca a 38% chance of winning against Granada’s 31%. At Pinnacle, Mallorca are available at 2.53, which is the longest price among major books and therefore the best value entry point. Granada at 3.10-3.25 reflects their underdog status, and to be honest, those odds look fair given the recent output gap between the two sides. The draw at around 2.94-3.03 is not something we find attractive given Mallorca’s attacking volume and Granada’s lack of cutting edge.

Possible Starting Lineups

Granada CF Possible Starting Eleven

Pacheta is likely to set up in his preferred 4-2-3-1, with Alcaraz and Gumbau as the double pivot providing defensive cover. Raúl Lizoain starts in goal after appearing in the most recent match. Sergio López and Baïla Diallo provide width and defensive cover on the flanks. Up front, Arnáiz offers movement behind the striker, and Rodelas provides the most direct threat in the final third. Granada will need their midfield to win second balls and limit Mallorca’s transition speed.

Mallorca Possible Starting Eleven

Luis García Fernández will likely deploy his 4-3-3 with Arnau Tenas between the posts after two appearances. The central defensive partnership of Raíllo and Valjent has been solid, and Raíllo’s two recent goals from set pieces make him a player Granada must track at corners and free kicks. In midfield, Darder pulls the strings with Morlanes providing cover and Torre adding creativity. Luvumbo is perhaps the most dangerous attacker, combining pace and directness from the left channel, and his 154 minutes of recent playing time suggest he starts.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

The numbers consistently point in one direction. Mallorca outshot their last opponent 24 to 10 in terms of total attempts, generated four times as many corners, and scored five goals across their recent matches while conceding none. Granada, playing at home, will be motivated, but their attacking output has been minimal and their passing has been disjointed in recent games. Mallorca’s squad quality, built from La Liga experience, is a level above what most La Liga 2 sides can match early in the season.

We predict a Mallorca win, with the match producing under 2.5 goals total given Granada’s defensive discipline and Mallorca’s tendency to manage games efficiently once ahead. The corner market also favours Mallorca heavily, and Raíllo scoring from a set piece is a live option worth noting at extended prices.

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