Rafael Nogueira
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Fluminense RJ welcome Remo to the Estádio do Maracanã in Matchday 24 of the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. Sitting fourth on 38 points, Fluminense are firmly in the title conversation, yet their last 30 days tell a cautious story: one win, one loss, and six draws across eight matches. Remo arrive as genuine underdogs in 17th place, battling to stay clear of the relegation zone, and their record away from home makes this a fixture where the hosts should dominate possession and territory. The twist worth watching is that Remo have already scored in their last two away trips, so a clean sheet for Flu is far from guaranteed.
Kevin Serna leads Fluminense’s attacking output with two goals and one assist across the last five matches, combining well on the left channel with Matheus Martinelli Lima, who has contributed a goal and an assist from midfield while logging the most passes of any outfield player in the squad. For Remo, Jandir Breno Souza Silva is the man to watch up front: ten shots in five matches and one goal make him the most direct threat Léo Condé’s side carries.
Hot stat: Remo’s midfield duo of Ze Ricardo and José Welison combined for 17 interceptions in just five matches, the highest defensive midfield interception count of any player pairing in this fixture’s data, suggesting Remo will sit deep and look to disrupt Fluminense’s build-up rather than press high.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro |
| 🗓️ Date: | 22.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Fluminense RJ vs Remo Prediction
Fluminense are the clear value pick on the moneyline at home, but the draw-heavy run of form from both sides — Flu collected eight draws in their last fifteen league results while Remo have drawn three of their last seven — points toward a match where goals are hard to come by. The bookmakers price Fluminense at roughly 66% probability, and that feels about right given the venue and the standings gap.
We predict a Fluminense win, but the most value lies in the Under 2.5 goals market. Fluminense managed only six goals across five recent matches and Remo scored just four in the same sample. Neither side is prolific right now, and Remo’s compact defensive shape, built around those high-interception central midfielders, will slow Flu’s transitions. A tight 1-0 or 2-0 home win is the most likely scenario.
Fluminense average 14.2 shots per match in the last five games but convert at a modest rate, and their 61 total fouls conceded suggest Marcão’s side can be physical enough to earn set-piece opportunities. Remo commit fewer fouls (47) and carry fewer yellow cards (13 vs 16), meaning they are disciplined in the block but do not generate much going forward, which reinforces the low-scoring outlook. Fluminense’s 86% pass accuracy in the last five games dwarfs Remo’s 81%, so Flu will control the ball, but Remo’s low defensive block should limit clear-cut chances.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Fluminense RJ to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Fluminense have been frustratingly inconsistent in recent weeks. They beat Palmeiras 3-2 in an impressive result, but bookended that performance with a 1-3 home defeat to Vasco and two goalless draws against Independiente Rivadavia in what appear to be Copa Sudamericana fixtures. Across the last five competitive matches, Flu scored six goals but also conceded seven, showing that the defensive structure under Marcão still has vulnerabilities, particularly on transitions. Their last league outing, a 1-1 draw with Botafogo, was a missed opportunity to close the gap on the top three.
Remo’s recent run is one of a team grinding for points rather than playing with any fluency. A 1-1 draw at home to Internacional is their latest result, following a 2-2 draw with Atletico Mineiro and back-to-back matches against Santos where they managed a 0-0 draw before losing 0-1. They did beat Mirassol 2-1 in between, but that win over a fellow relegation candidate is their only victory in five. Léo Condé’s side is conceding too often, with 37 goals against in 23 league games, and their away record makes this trip to Maracanã a daunting ask.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Fluminense RJ | Remo |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 4 |
| Total shots | 71 | 55 |
| Free kicks | 88 | 59 |
| Corner kicks | 24 | 17 |
| Total fouls | 61 | 47 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 86% | 81% |
| Interceptions | 22 | 54 |
| Offsides | 3 | 9 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Fluminense RJ vs Remo stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Fluminense RJ the Favourite
- Moneyline Fluminense RJ 1.42 | Remo 7.57
- Draw 4.69
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
Pinnacle’s 1.42 on Fluminense reflects the market consensus, and the 7.57 on Remo is generous enough to tempt a small speculative play only if you believe in the upset. The draw at 4.69 is not without logic given both teams’ recent form, but backing a draw at Maracanã when Flu are playing a relegation-threatened side feels like chasing variance. The moneyline on Fluminense, combined with the under-goals angle, represents the sharpest approach to this fixture.
Possible Starting Lineups
Fluminense RJ Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Fábio Deivson Lopes Maciel
- DF: Samuel Xavier Brito, Thiago Silva, Ignácio da Silva Oliveira, Renê Rodrigues Martins
- MF: Gustavo Nonato Santana, Matheus Martinelli Lima, Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima, Hércules Pereira do Nascimento
- FW: Kevin Serna, Germán Cano
Marcão is expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, with Fábio Maciel the first-choice goalkeeper across all five recent games. Thiago Silva and Ignácio form the central defensive partnership, with Ignácio’s goal threat from set pieces adding an extra dimension. Matheus Martinelli Lima sits as the engine in midfield, and Kevin Serna provides the pace and directness in the wide attacking role. Germán Cano leads the line despite modest shot numbers, bringing hold-up play that links the midfield to the press. Yeferson Soteldo is the likeliest wide option to rotate in if Marcão wants more dribbling threat in the second half.
Remo Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Marcelo Rangel
- DF: Mayk Van Van, Marllon, Matheus Felipe, Marcelo Rodrigues Souza
- MF: Ze Ricardo, José Welison, Leonel Picco, Vitor Bueno
- FW: Jandir Breno Souza Silva, Gabriel Taliari
Léo Condé’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Ze Ricardo and José Welison screening the backline — together they account for 17 interceptions in five games, the defensive foundation of everything Remo does away from home. Marcelo Rangel is the established goalkeeper with 12 saves in five appearances. Jandir Breno Souza Silva leads the line with genuine aggression (ten shots, one goal) and will be the focal point of any counter-attack. Gabriel Taliari provides the second forward outlet with seven shots and one goal in the same period. Vitor Bueno, who has contributed a goal and an assist from midfield, is the creative outlet Remo will lean on to manufacture chances from deeper positions.
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Remo. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Fluminense hold every structural advantage here: home venue, superior league position, better passing quality, and a higher shot volume. Remo’s only realistic path to a positive result is a disciplined low block and a clinical counter, something their recent away record suggests they cannot execute consistently enough to trouble a top-four side at Maracanã.
The draw-heavy form from both camps is the one genuine complication. Fluminense have drawn eight of their last fifteen and Remo have not won away in several weeks. We predict a narrow Fluminense RJ win, 1-0 or 2-0, with the match staying under 2.5 goals total. Remo’s interception-heavy midfield will frustrate Flu for stretches, but the quality gap should tell in the second half when Remo’s legs tire. Fluminense to win to nil is the standout bet for this fixture.
