Arjun Menon
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Nine fixtures across England, Spain, Italy and France fill the 20-21 September schedule, and there is a call on every one of them. Oleksandr Vaskov and Oleksandr Halian, both Sports Data Managers, take three matches each, while TipsGG Sports & Esports Expert Oleksii Svyrydov handles the remaining trio, and two of the nine games also carry an alternative angle for readers who want a little more risk. Prices run from 1.63 at the shortest to 3.11 on the boldest alternative, and if those figures look unfamiliar in your preferred format, an odds converter will translate them in a click. TipsGG publishes free football predictions with pre-match odds for the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A and Ligue 1. Goal lines dominate these football betting tips, several of them leaning on the idea that European exertion in the week has left defences stretched and squads rotated.
| Match | Market | Odds | Analyst |
| Liverpool vs Fulham | Liverpool to win or draw & Both Teams to Score | 1.80 | Oleksandr Vaskov |
| Tottenham vs Everton | Everton Double Chance (2X) & Under 3.5 Goals | 2.29 | Oleksandr Halian |
| Paris FC vs Lyon | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals | 1.86 | Oleksandr Halian |
| Sunderland vs Arsenal | Over 2.5 Goals | 2.02 | Oleksandr Vaskov |
| Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | Arda Güler to score or assist | 2.35 | Oleksii Svyrydov |
| Le Mans vs Lens | Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 1.65 | Oleksandr Halian |
| Manchester United vs Manchester City | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.63 | Oleksii Svyrydov |
| Napoli vs Bologna | Napoli Team Total Over 1.5 Goals | 1.98 | Oleksandr Vaskov |
| Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals | 1.94 | Oleksii Svyrydov |
Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction
Liverpool have played four competitive matches under Spanish coach Andoni Iraola, and in every one of them the Reds scored exactly two goals. Unfortunately, the defensive problems that carried over from last season have not gone away, which is why two of those four games finished level. Still, two straight wins, one of them against Atletico Madrid in the Champions League, have given the Anfield crowd reason for optimism.
Fulham also hired a Spanish coach, but for Alvaro Arbeloa this is a first job in England and so far it has gone badly — seven goals conceded and three defeats in the first three rounds, even if none of the Cottagers’ opponents managed to beat them by more than a single goal.
Fulham regularly cause Liverpool problems and score against the Reds fairly often, but they tend to take points at their own ground, whereas most of their recent visits to Anfield have ended in defeat. I think that will be the case again.
Prediction: Liverpool to win or draw & Both Teams to Score at odds of 1.80
Tottenham vs Everton Betting Tips
The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium hosts a matchday 4 fixture in the English Premier League, with Tottenham, still without a win in three rounds (two defeats and a draw), welcoming Merseyside’s Everton, who by contrast are still unbeaten (one win and two draws).
After a poor previous season, Spurs spent a solid sum in the summer transfer window. It has not translated into a good start, and despite the significant reinforcements the club lost several important players such as Guglielmo Vicario, Cristian Romero and Djed Spence. With a rebuilt squad, immediate results are hard to expect, though in time this transfer policy may pay off. For now the Londoners, as last season, sit deep in the lower half of the table.
Everton, after beating Crystal Palace (2:0) in the opening round, showed real character in their next two matches, twice rescuing themselves late on against Manchester United and an awkward home tie with Bournemouth. That only confirms the good form of the Toffees.
Tottenham have been a team capable of surprises for some time, though in recent years largely in the negative sense. Everton, meanwhile, are producing better football and a degree of stability. I believe both runs continue here: the hosts still will not win, and the visitors will not lose.
Prediction: Everton Double Chance (2X) & Under 3.5 Goals – 2.29
Paris FC vs Lyon Odds & Pick
At the Stade Jean-Bouin, in matchday 4 of France’s Ligue 1, ambitious Paris FC host the famous Lyon. Notably, the two sides are neighbours in the table, sitting second and third respectively.
Paris FC strengthened well over the summer, spending a little over 66 million euros on new arrivals, which underlines the club’s serious intention to compete for the highest positions in Ligue 1. On top of that, their coach is Liam Rosenior, who previously earned a strong reputation at Strasbourg.
Lyon came as close as possible to returning to the Champions League for the first time in a long while, only for a home defeat by Fenerbahce in the decisive match to get in the way. Now, as last season, Les Gones will play in the Europa League. Across seven matches this season Lyon have been inconsistent: in five of them both teams found the net, while in two only one side left the pitch having scored.
This is a meeting where ambition runs into an established brand that has not looked stable of late. I expect a fierce scrap, a fair few fouls and goals at both ends.
Prediction: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals – 1.86
Alternative prediction: Over 4.0 Total Yellow Cards – 1.72
Sunderland vs Arsenal Preview
Sunderland have started the new season in restrained but resilient fashion. Four points, including two away trips, is a perfectly acceptable return, and the reinforcements that arrived late in the transfer window will make the squad more comfortable while juggling three parallel competitions.
Arsenal are getting everything they want, winning every match in the new year. The game against Napoli was under the Gunners’ full control, and a single goal scored will hardly have bothered the visitors given the outcome.
The Black Cats have not lost their main trademark — defensive discipline — but it rarely saves them in matches against Arsenal specifically. The Londoners usually leave the Stadium of Light as winners, regularly score at least two goals and currently have no shortage of attacking options. At the back, given fatigue and injuries, Sunderland can make a mistake or two.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals at odds of 2.02
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Match Tips
Real Madrid made amends for their defeat by Betis (0:1) with a winning start in the Champions League, beating Inter (2:1) at home. The performance was not as convincing as the fans would have liked. Jose Mourinho tried a high-pressing approach for the first time this season and it paid off early: Kylian Mbappe opened the scoring from a Brahim Diaz pass, and Federico Valverde punished a bad error by the Milan goalkeeper, catching him in possession. Despite the confident start, Los Blancos settled into a reactive role, handing the initiative to their opponents and regularly allowing Inter near their own goal, where Thibaut Courtois shone once again. The Italians did get their goal and the closing minutes were tense. That said, beyond their two goals the hosts created plenty of chances and could well have scored four or even five, with finishing letting them down again.
Rayo Vallecano finally claimed their long-awaited first La Liga win, seeing off Racing (3:2) in a crazy game. The main hero was Sergio Camello with a brace, while Andrei Ratiu added another. Rayo’s defensive work, however, is a major worry: they regularly concede first and allow opponents a mass of chances (two goals conceded against Sevilla, five against Barcelona), while disciplinary problems and two red cards in the last round only underline the confusion in their play.
The head-to-head history shows that Rayo are periodically capable of causing Real Madrid problems, but right now the gap in class and form is too obvious. The engine of Real’s attacks is Arda Güler, and I think he will produce a decisive contribution in this game too.
Prediction: Arda Güler to score or assist – odds of 2.35
Le Mans vs Lens Prediction
At the MMArena, Le Mans, back in the French top flight for the first time since the 2009/10 season, host Lens, arguably the biggest surprise of last season, when they spent a long stretch competing with Ligue 1’s dominant force, PSG.
In three Ligue 1 matches Le Mans have provided entertainment — both teams have scored and conceded, and only in the most recent game did the total stay under 2.5 goals. As for results, the newcomers are still looking for a first win: two draws and one defeat.
Three days before this Ligue 1 fixture, Lens went through a difficult trip to the Czech capital in the Champions League, still managing to win thanks to goals deep into stoppage time against Slavia. That game brought an excellent result — a 3:2 win — while taking plenty out of such a modest club with a thin squad.
Given the hosts’ tendency towards entertaining matches and Lens’s fatigue, the visiting coach will clearly be forced to rotate, which should only help the goals arrive here. I also think it is worth taking a risk by adding the hosts avoiding defeat to the goals at both ends.
Prediction: Both Teams to Score (Yes) – 1.65
Alternative prediction: Le Mans Double Chance (1X) & Both Teams to Score (Yes) – 3.11
Manchester United vs Manchester City Betting Tips
The Red Devils dealt with Sabah at Old Trafford without much trouble and approach the Manchester derby in high spirits. Chief creator Bruno Fernandes is in excellent form, while the rapid Bryan Mbeumo and Marcus Rashford keep finding gaps in opposition defences. After Benjamin Sesko scored in the 88th minute of the matchday 3 game against Everton, United had every chance to take all three points, only to surrender the advantage in the closing stages and draw 2:2. That is the key problem with this United side: they cannot squeeze out results in games that do not go entirely on their terms. Against the backdrop of pre-season talk that made them Arsenal‘s main rivals for the crown, that lack of experience and footballing maturity could play a cruel trick.
Manchester City arrive as favourites, having hit a winning stride in every competition. Enzo Maresca‘s side have four straight victories, including a convincing away win at Porto (2:0) in the Champions League. The key factor is the ruthless efficiency of Erling Haaland, who struck another brace and is scoring at a phenomenal rate. On top of that, the smooth integration of Enzo Fernandez has added variety and control in midfield, while the defence has regained its solidity with clean sheets in the last two competitive matches.
The Manchester derby has been extremely unpredictable in recent years: the Red Devils have managed to outplay their neighbours regularly while carrying underdog status. I think this will be a tough contest after draining Champions League battles, so I do not see a large number of goals.
Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals – odds of 1.63
Napoli vs Bologna Odds & Pick
Despite a confident win over Genoa, Napoli have lost two league games in a row, throwing away their lead late on against Inter. The Champions League setback against Arsenal also raised questions: at home the Italian runners-up looked too passive and barely threatened their opponents’ goal.
Bologna, after a weak start, finally picked up their first points of the season with a draw against Sassuolo, although the earlier defeats by Lazio and Atalanta were not entirely deserved — Domenico Tedesco‘s team created chances but struggled to convert them. Now, with the goalless run broken, the Rossoblù attack has an extra spark.
Napoli traditionally perform well against Bologna at their own stadium, the visitors do not look stable yet, and personnel losses could complicate their attempt to build on that first draw.
Prediction: Napoli Team Total Over 1.5 Goals at 1.98
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Preview
Real Sociedad come into this one after a dramatic away win at Elche (3:2). The Basque club held a comfortable 2:0 lead thanks to goals from Ochieng and Herrera, but after Jon Martin was sent off Elche levelled. Down to ten men, Luka Sucic had the final word in the 90th minute, his goal after a solo run earning three points. Pellegrino Matarazzo‘s players are showing real character and gradually emerging from the crisis that followed their opening defeats, though the suspension of a key defender is an extra headache before facing the Madrid side.
Atletico Madrid are under pressure after two straight defeats. Following a 0:3 hammering by Athletic in La Liga, Diego Simeone‘s team lost to Liverpool (1:2) at the start of the Champions League. At Anfield, Los Colchoneros opened the scoring through a fine combination between Julian Alvarez and Marcos Llorente, but then lost control of the game entirely and allowed their opponents to turn the tie around. Curiously, the man who supplied the assist might not have started at all — at least that was the hint from Simeone at the pre-match press conference. The clouds over Alvarez appear to be gathering, if he no longer has the backing of his compatriot coach.
In my view there will be goals at both ends here. The hosts are traditionally productive at home, while the visitors are a considerably better and more structured team, even if they are going through a minor slump.
Prediction: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals – odds of 1.94
Seven of the nine main selections sit between 1.63 and 2.02, with the Arda Güler market at 2.35 and the Everton double chance combination at 2.29 offering the longest main prices, plus two alternatives at 1.72 and 3.11. Combining short-priced goal lines changes the maths quickly, so run any multiple through a free bet calculator before staking to see what these selections would actually return.
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FAQ
How many picks are in this 20-21 September digest and who made them?
There are nine main selections plus two alternatives. Sports Data Managers Oleksandr Vaskov and Oleksandr Halian contributed three expert football predictions each, and TipsGG Sports & Esports Expert Oleksii Svyrydov provided the other three.
What are the shortest and longest odds on the card?
The shortest main price is 1.63 on Under 3.5 Goals in the Manchester derby. The longest figure anywhere in the digest is 3.11, on the alternative Le Mans Double Chance (1X) and Both Teams to Score combination.
Which competitions are covered on these two days?
Four Premier League fixtures (Liverpool vs Fulham, Tottenham vs Everton, Sunderland vs Arsenal, Manchester United vs Manchester City), two Ligue 1 games (Paris FC vs Lyon and Le Mans vs Lens), two La Liga matches (Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid) and one Serie A game, Napoli vs Bologna.
Are there any player-based selections?
Yes, one. For Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano, Oleksii Svyrydov backs Arda Güler to score or assist at 2.35, arguing that the Turkish playmaker drives Real Madrid’s attacks.
Which fixtures come with an alternative bet?
Two of them, both from Oleksandr Halian. Paris FC vs Lyon has Over 4.0 Total Yellow Cards at 1.72, and Le Mans vs Lens has Le Mans 1X plus Both Teams to Score at 3.11.