Liam Duckstein
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Olympiacos welcome OFI Crete to Karaiskakis Stadium in a fixture that reads like a formality on paper but carries a little more spice underneath. Both sides sit inside the top six after three rounds, and OFI Crete arrive on the back of a genuinely strong run of results, five wins from their last seven outings. What makes this one worth a second look is history: Olympiacos have not conceded a single goal against OFI Crete in any of their last five meetings across league and cup, a run that stretches back to late 2024.
Ayoub El Kaabi and Jota Silva give Olympiacos two very different attacking threats up front, one a target man who draws fouls and offsides, the other a direct dribbler who already has two goals from five appearances this season. On the visiting side, Thiago Nuss has been the standout attacker for OFI Crete, contributing two goals and an assist while averaging close to three shots per match.
Hot stat: Olympiacos have fired 100 total shots and won 42 corners across their last five matches, almost double the corner count OFI Crete managed (17) over the same stretch, a gap that says plenty about the territorial battle expected at Karaiskakis.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Super League 1 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus |
| 🗓️ Date: | 12.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Olympiacos vs OFI Crete prediction
We predict Olympiacos to win this one, but backing them outright at odds hovering around 1.20 offers little to no value. Our team at TipsGG prefers pairing the home win with over 2.5 total goals, a combination that better reflects the gulf in quality while still returning a fair price. Olympiacos have scored freely at home this season and OFI Crete, for all their good form, have been shut out in every recent visit to Piraeus.
Style-wise, Olympiacos control possession and territory, racking up 42 corners and 61 free kicks in their last five games compared to OFI Crete’s 17 corners. OFI Crete foul less (72 fouls to Olympiacos’ 78) but sit deeper and rely on quick transitions through Nuss and Theodosoulakis. That defensive discipline could keep the scoreline tighter than the shot count suggests, though we still expect Olympiacos’ pressure to eventually break through in the second half.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Olympiacos to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Olympiacos’ last outing was a 3-2 win over Volos, a scrappier result than their usual clean-sheet habit and one that followed a 1-1 draw against the same opponent just days earlier. Before that, they thrashed AEL Larisa 4-0 and edged past Asteras Tripolis and Atromitos both 1-0. The Volos double-header exposed a rare defensive wobble, conceding twice in one match after five straight clean or near-clean performances, something worth watching given OFI Crete’s attacking form.
OFI Crete head into this match off a comfortable 3-0 win, following a 2-0 win over Kifisia and a goalless draw with PAOK. Their only blemish in the last five came in a 1-2 loss to Aris Thessaloniki, sandwiched between a 2-0 win over CSKA Sofia. The pattern shows a side capable of grinding out results against mid-table opposition but still prone to slipping up against stronger, more direct attacking teams, a concern heading into Piraeus.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
OFI Crete have failed to score in any of their last five meetings with Olympiacos, losing every single one by at least two goals, most recently 3-0 in January 2026.
| Statistic | Olympiacos | OFI Crete |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Olympiacos vs OFI Crete stats page for more info.
OFI Crete. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Olympiacos the favourite
- Moneyline Olympiacos 1.21 | OFI Crete 10.92
- Draw 6.68
The market leaves almost no doubt here. Odds around 1.21 for Olympiacos imply a win probability close to 80 percent, matching the bookmakers’ own forecast of 77 percent. Draw odds near 6.68 look generous on paper but rarely land against a side this dominant at home, and OFI Crete’s price above 10.00 tells its own story about how one-sided this fixture has been historically.
Possible Starting Lineups
Olympiacos possible starting eleven
- GK: Balša Popović
- DF: David Carmo, Zinedin Smajlovic, Manolis Saliakas, Bruno Onyemaechi
- MF: Gustavo Sá, Nayair Tiknizyan, Kostas Fortounis, Chiquinho, Gelson Martins
- FW: Jota Silva
Alguacil tends to stick with his 4-2-3-1 shape, and the players above have appeared in all five of the last matches tracked. Fortounis pulls the strings behind Jota Silva, who offers the sharpest end product among the front options with two goals already this term. Gustavo Sá and Tiknizyan give the double pivot enough legs to cover for the attacking-minded fullbacks.
OFI Crete possible starting eleven
- GK: Nikolaos Christogeorgos
- DF: Krešimir Krizmanić, Dimitris Nikolaou, Lorenzo Dickmann, Borja González
- MF: Zisis Karachalios, Giannis Apostolakis, Aitor Cantalapiedra, Georgios Kanellopoulos, Taxiarchis Fountas
- FW: Thiago Nuss
Kontis mirrors the same 4-2-3-1 setup. Christogeorgos gets the nod in goal thanks to his save numbers despite fewer total appearances than his backups. Nuss leads the line as the most productive forward in the squad, while Fountas and Apostolakis add creativity from the flanks and midfield respectively. Expect a compact defensive block designed to limit Olympiacos’ service into the box.
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Olympiacos. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Olympiacos look set to extend their dominance over OFI Crete on home turf. The shot and corner numbers from recent matches point to a side that controls games from start to finish, and OFI Crete’s inability to score in five straight meetings with this opponent is hard to ignore. Perhaps the visitors manage a shot or two on target given their recent scoring form, but we lean toward another clean sheet for the hosts. To be honest, the value lies less in the moneyline and more in combining the home win with a goals market, since Olympiacos’ attacking output at Karaiskakis has been consistently high this season.
