Rafael Nogueira
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Al Taawoun welcome Al-Hilal to Buraidah with the gap between these two sides looking about as wide as it gets in the Saudi top flight right now. The hosts sit second from bottom with a single point from three draws in six games, while the visitors top the table unbeaten in five of their last six outings. One quirky wrinkle: the last two competitive meetings between these clubs both ended level, so recent history says this fixture is closer than the current form table suggests, at least on paper.
Watch Sergej Milinković-Savić, who has scored four goals in his last five appearances for Al-Hilal and drives their attack from midfield. On the other side, Abderrazak Hamdallah is Al Taawoun’s only reliable source of goals, netting twice in his last four matches despite the team’s wider struggles.
Hot stat: Al-Hilal have scored 13 goals across their last five matches, more than four times Al Taawoun’s total of three over the same stretch, a gap that tells most of this story before kickoff.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Saudi Pro League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Al-Taawoun Stadium, Buraidah |
| 🗓️ Date: | 12.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:50 CEST |
Al Taawoun vs Al-Hilal prediction
We predict a comfortable win for Al-Hilal, and the numbers back that view up without much argument. Al Taawoun have not won a single league game this season, sit 14th with three points, and have scored only three goals across their last five matches. Al-Hilal, by contrast, sit first with 15 points from six games and have found the net 13 times in the same window. Perhaps the only concern for the visitors is a wobble against Neom SC last time out, a 0-2 loss that snapped a four-game winning run, but that looks like an outlier against a mid-table side rather than a sign of decline.
Style-wise, Al Taawoun foul more often (68 fouls across five games versus Al-Hilal’s 48) yet pick up fewer cards (4 yellows to Al-Hilal’s 7), suggesting Al-Hilal commit more tactical fouls higher up the pitch while pressing. Passing numbers favor the visitors too, with roughly 88% accuracy against Al Taawoun’s 86%, a small gap but one that matters when Al-Hilal dominate possession for long spells. Al Taawoun do win more corners on average (40 to 28 over five games), a byproduct of sustained defending and set-piece chances rather than genuine attacking threat.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Al-Hilal win & BTTS Yes |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Al Taawoun’s recent form reads three losses and two draws in their last five, with zero wins and just three goals scored across that stretch. Their last outing ended 0-1 against Al-Hazem, continuing a run where they have failed to score in three of five matches. Before that, back-to-back 0-0 draws against Al Fateh and Al-Fayha showed some defensive resilience, but a 1-2 loss to Al Nassr and a 2-3 defeat against Al Kholood expose a leaky backline once opponents create chances. Zarko Lazetic’s side simply lacks a consistent goal threat outside of Hamdallah, and that will be tested hard against a defense as organized as Al-Hilal’s.
Al-Hilal arrive having won four straight before a surprising 0-2 loss to Neom SC in their last game, the only blemish across seven matches in the past month. Prior wins came comfortably: 2-0 over Al Shabab, 3-0 against Al Ahli SC, a 5-1 rout of Al Khaleej, and 3-0 versus Al-Fayha. Simone Inzaghi’s side has scored 13 goals in that five-game span while conceding just three, and the attacking trio of Milinković-Savić, Summerville and Mandash has combined for eight goals and five assists. The Neom SC result looks like a rare off-night rather than a trend, and this squad’s overall quality gap on Al Taawoun remains vast.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Al Taawoun | Al-Hilal |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 3 | 7 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Al Taawoun vs Al-Hilal stats page for more info.
Al Taawoun. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Al-Hilal the favourite
- Moneyline Al Taawoun 10.17 | Al-Hilal 1.20
- Draw 6.68
- Over/Under Over 2.5 available | Under 2.5 available
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes / No available
Bookmakers give Al-Hilal roughly a 76% implied win chance, and the market odds hardly leave room for debate, with prices on the visitors sitting around 1.17 to 1.23 across most books. Al Taawoun’s price above 9.00 reflects a side without a league win this season facing the table’s clear best team. Draw odds near 6.68 look tempting given the two most recent head-to-head results were both draws, but current form gaps make backing an upset outcome risky, to be honest.
Possible Starting Lineups
Al Taawoun possible starting eleven
- GK: Mailson Tenorio dos Santos
- DF: Awn Al-Saluli, Muteb Al-Mufarrij, Zinéddine Belaïd, Abdulrahman Hendi
- MF: Ashraf El Mahdioui, Oscar Dorley, Marin Plamenov Petkov, Younes El Bahraoui, Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
- FW: Abderrazak Hamdallah
Lazetic sticks with the 4-2-3-1 shape used in each of the last five matches. El Mahdioui and Dorley shield the back four, while Petkov and El Bahraoui look to supply Hamdallah, the one player consistently threatening in behind. Al Hurayji’s goal contribution from midfield gives them a second scoring option, though the overall attacking output remains thin against a defense of Al-Hilal’s caliber.
Al-Hilal possible starting eleven
- GK: Mohammed Al-Owais
- DF: Kalidou Koulibaly, Moteb Al-Harbi, Mishaal Al-Dawood, Theo Hernandez
- MF: Rúben Neves, Mohamed Kanno, Nasser Al-Dawsari, Sergej Milinković-Savić, Mohammed Mahzari
- FW: Crysencio Summerville
Inzaghi’s 4-2-3-1 leans on Neves and Kanno to control tempo, freeing Milinković-Savić, Al-Dawsari and Mahzari to rotate around Summerville up top. Summerville’s 20 shots and four combined goals plus assists over five games make him the biggest individual threat, with Koulibaly anchoring a defense that has conceded just three goals in five matches.
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Al-Hilal. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Our team backs Al-Hilal to win comfortably here, likely by two goals or more. Al Taawoun have not managed a league victory all season and have scored only three times in their last five games, while Al-Hilal’s attack has produced 13 goals in the same span with a defense that rarely leaks. The recent 0-2 slip against Neom SC feels like a one-off rather than a pattern, and Al Taawoun’s home form does not offer enough resistance to change that outlook. Expect goals at both ends given Al Taawoun’s set-piece habits and occasional scoring bursts against Al Kholood and Al Nassr, but the three points travel back with the visitors.
