Levi Rothermund
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Freiburg arrive at Deutsche Bank Park sitting top of the Bundesliga table, unbeaten in seven straight games across all competitions. Frankfurt, meanwhile, have looked shaky at home this season despite a couple of eye-catching wins domestically. The gap in early-season momentum is stark, and honestly it shows in how bookmakers are pricing this one closer than the form lines suggest they should.
There’s an interesting wrinkle here too. Frankfurt have won three of the last four league meetings against Freiburg, so recent history actually leans their way. But Freiburg’s squad this year looks sharper and more clinical in front of goal than in those past fixtures, which makes trusting the head-to-head record a risky habit for punters this weekend.
Two names worth tracking closely. Jonathan Burkardt has been Frankfurt’s most reliable attacking outlet, netting 5 goals in his last 4 appearances, and he’ll need a big shift if the hosts are going to trouble a stingy Freiburg backline. On the other side, Igor Matanovic has been ruthless, with 6 goals in 5 games, and his movement inside the box could stretch Frankfurt’s defense all afternoon.
Hot stat: Frankfurt’s 11-0 cup demolition of DJK Teutonia St.Tonis stands out on paper, but it came against lower-tier opposition and tells us little about their league form. The more telling number belongs to Freiburg, who have won 7 of their last 7 matches, a run that includes a 5-0 thrashing of Borussia Mönchengladbach just days ago.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Bundesliga 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt |
| 🗓️ Date: | 19.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:30 CEST |
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg prediction
We think the smart play here is Freiburg on the Draw No Bet market. They’re unbeaten in seven, sit top of the table with a plus-9 goal difference, and their attack has scored 19 goals across the last five matches compared to Frankfurt’s 18 conceded issues on defense. Backing them outright is tempting given odds around 2.65, but the DNB line offers protection against a Frankfurt side that has shown flashes of quality at home this season.
Style-wise, this should be an open game. Frankfurt have picked up 39 fouls and 8 yellow cards across their last five, a slightly more aggressive approach than Freiburg’s 40 fouls and just 6 cards in the same span. Freiburg complete passes at a noticeably higher rate too, roughly 86% accuracy compared to Frankfurt’s 83%, and they’ve generated 100 shots in that stretch against Frankfurt’s 74. That volume of chances, paired with Frankfurt’s leaky defense, points toward goals at both ends.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Both Teams To Score & Freiburg to Win |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Frankfurt’s last league outing was a 3-1 win over Mainz, a result that at least steadied nerves after a rocky patch. Before that came a heavy 1-4 loss to Augsburg and a wild 3-3 draw with Union Berlin, showing a defense that leaks goals in bunches. The 0-7 European hammering by Brentford still lingers as a red flag on their overall consistency this campaign. Adi Hütter’s side clearly has attacking talent but the back line keeps letting them down.
Freiburg closed out their last fixture with a 5-0 rout of Borussia Mönchengladbach, extending an already impressive run. Before that, narrow 1-0 and 4-1 wins over Paderborn and Werder Bremen showed they can grind out results as well as blow teams away. Julian Schuster’s group looks balanced, scoring freely while conceding sparingly, and that combination is exactly why they sit top of the Bundesliga after just three rounds.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Eintracht Frankfurt | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 11 | 4 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite
- Moneyline Eintracht Frankfurt 2.37 | Freiburg 2.67
- Draw 3.85
Bookmakers still lean slightly toward Frankfurt at home, likely weighing the head-to-head record and home advantage more heavily than current form. We’re not fully convinced by that pricing. Freiburg’s odds look generous given they haven’t lost in seven matches, and the value here sits clearly with the visitors rather than the hosts.
Possible Starting Lineups
Eintracht Frankfurt possible starting eleven
- GK: Kauã Santos
- DF: Robin Koch, Elias Niklas Baum, Keita Kosugi, Otávio Fernandes
- MF: Mario Götze, Raphael Onyedika Nwadike, Can Yilmaz Uzun, Jeremiaha Maluze
- FW: Jonathan Burkardt, Younes Ebnoutalib
Hütter should stick with his usual 4-2-3-1 shape. Götze and Onyedika sit deep to protect a defense that’s conceded too easily this term, while Burkardt leads the line as the clear focal point after his hot scoring run. Younes Ebnoutalib’s directness off the flank gives them an outlet against a well-organized Freiburg back line.
Freiburg possible starting eleven
- GK: Mio Backhaus
- DF: Christian Günter, Philipp Lienhart, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Treu
- MF: Maximilian Eggestein, Yannick Engelhardt, Yuito Suzuki, Derry Lionel Scherhant
- FW: Igor Matanovic, Vincenzo Grifo
Schuster’s 4-4-2 has barely changed in weeks, and there’s little reason to fix something that isn’t broken. Matanovic leads the attack as the clear top scorer, with Grifo’s creativity and set-piece delivery adding another layer up front. Eggestein and Engelhardt control the middle, giving the front two space to work with.
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Eintracht Frankfurt. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Our punters team leans toward Freiburg here, backed by the numbers rather than the recent head-to-head history. Seven straight wins, a plus-9 goal difference through three league rounds, and a clinical striker in Matanovic all point one direction. Frankfurt’s home comforts and attacking spark could keep this closer than some expect, but we think the away side edges it or at worst shares the points. Expect goals from both sides given the shot volume and defensive gaps on show from Frankfurt this season.
