Al Qadsiah vs Al Ittihad Prediction: 22.01.2026 Saudi Pro League

The Saudi Pro League regular season continues with a high-stakes clash between Al Qadsiah and Al Ittihad at the Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium in Khobar. Both teams are battling for top-four relevance in an increasingly competitive campaign. With Brendan Rodgers at the helm for Al Qadsiah and Sérgio Conceição leading Al Ittihad, this fixture is both a tactical chess match and a showcase for standout talent. Notably, the recent upturn in Al Qadsiah’s attacking form, exemplified by their 5-0 victory over Al-Fayha, provides a compelling storyline coming into this matchup. Fans and bettors alike have plenty to analyze, particularly with both teams showing significant recent momentum and star power on the pitch.

Two players to keep a close eye on: For Al Qadsiah, Julián Quiñones has been on a superb scoring run, netting 7 goals in his last 5 league outings. For Al Ittihad, Karim Benzema’s experience and recent form (3 goals in 5) could be fundamental as his side seeks to make up ground in the league table. Their performances will likely have a direct impact on both the match outcome and potential betting markets.

Hot stat: Al Qadsiah boast an imposing 19 goals in their last five league matches – the highest tally in the division over that period – underlining their current attacking prowess.

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Al Qadsiah vs Al Ittihad prediction

Given recent form and statistics, the best value bet here leans towards Al Qadsiah with either a Draw No Bet or a slight Asian Handicap (-0.25). Al Qadsiah are unbeaten in their last six matches and have been especially prolific at home, registering two 5+ goal wins in recent weeks. Contrastingly, Al Ittihad have demonstrated resilience but dropped points against mid-table sides, surrendering goals even in matches where they often controlled possession.

Al Qadsiah’s style is characterized by aggressive pressing and direct play (19 goals, 64 shots, 28 corners in last 5), complemented by the creative engine of Nahitan Nández and the finishing prowess of Quiñones. However, their intensity brings disciplinary risks (13 yellow cards, 61 fouls in last 5). Al Ittihad lean more on ball retention (2,676 passes, 2361 completed) but have recently struggled with cutting edge in the final third (just 9 goals/87 shots last 5), perhaps due to missed opportunities or greater defensive caution. Both sides average over 10 fouls per match, suggesting possible stop-start phases and risk for yellow cards, with Al Ittihad seeing 2 reds in their last 5.

Team Analysis

Al Qadsiah recent games (focus: last match vs Al-Hazem 5-1):
Al Qadsiah dominated Al-Hazem with an explosive attacking display, tallying five goals while managing efficient possession and minimizing mistakes in defense. Their forward structure (usually a 4-2-3-1 with Quiñones up front, Retegui supporting) allowed frequent overloads, resulting in 64 shots over their last five matches. Importantly, they transition quickly from midfield – Nández and Weigl have been instrumental in regaining and distributing possession. Overall, Al Qadsiah’s run of 5 wins and 1 draw across their last six games (83 percent winrate) gives confidence, especially when coupled with improving defensive reliance (No red cards in last five).

Al Ittihad recent games (focus: last match vs Al Ettifaq 0-1):
Al Ittihad’s most recent outing ended in a disappointing 0-1 defeat to Al Ettifaq, exposing lingering limitations in their attacking execution despite decent build-up play. Despite 87 shots in their last five matches, the conversion has been inconsistent, hinting at either poor shot selection or resolute opposition defending. The side’s preferred 5-3-2 ensures midfield solidity (Kanté, Fabinho as screens) but can leave them short of width or support when chasing the game. Still, with five wins in their last seven (71 percent), Al Ittihad have the pedigree and stars (Benzema, Diaby) to turn matches, but need to avoid lapses that have led to recent points dropped.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Al Qadsiah vs Al Ittihad stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Qadsiah the favourite

• Moneyline Al Qadsiah 2.42 | Al Ittihad 2.70 (average)
• Draw 3.65
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.80 | Under 2.5 1.90
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.65 | No 2.10

Bookmakers give a slight edge to Al Qadsiah, with a 40 percent implied win probability. The value of the draw is notable at 25 percent, reflecting the relative parity in overall squad strength and recent form. Markets expect goals – Al Qadsiah’s attack and Al Ittihad’s leaky but dangerous offense tilt the Over 2.5 at 1.80. The tight moneyline suggests no clear runaway, but with Qadsiah’s home form, slight favoritism is justified.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Al Qadsiah possible starting eleven

Under Brendan Rodgers, expect a flexible 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2, balancing forward pressure and midfield structure. Koen Casteels is the clear first-choice goalkeeper, with defensive leadership coming from Nacho Fernández and Gastón Álvarez. Nández and Weigl anchor the midfield, while Quiñones and Retegui form a dangerous attacking duo. The width is often provided by flying fullbacks and midfield runners. Quiñones and Nández are key men to watch, especially for first goalscorer and Man of the Match props.

Al Ittihad possible starting eleven

Sérgio Conceição is likely to stick with his tried-and-tested 5-3-2, prioritizing stability and control. Rajković’s shot-stopping has earned him all recent starts. Danilo Pereira and Hassan Kadesh provide leadership and passing range at the back. Midfield is marshaled by Kanté and Fabinho, with Benzema and Diaby spearheading attacks. Al-Shanqeeti, notable for his contributions in both defense and goals, may be the swing player here. Watch for Benzema to drop deep to orchestrate play and Diaby’s pace to stretch the defense, key for anytime scorer and assist markets.

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The Verdict

Given Al Qadsiah’s relentless attacking streak and home advantage, I lean toward a home positive result—either a straight win or Draw No Bet presents the best value. While Al Ittihad’s experience, defensive structure, and pedigree cannot be dismissed, their inconsistent finishing in recent weeks is a concern. Expect a dynamic game with goals at both ends. If pressed for a scoreline, a 2-1 or 3-2 in favor of Al Qadsiah feels plausible. For punters, focusing on Al Qadsiah DNB, over 2.5 goals, and BTTS markets is supported strongly by both recent stats and matchups.

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