Liam Duckstein
London braces for a fiercely contested Premier League clash as Graham Potter’s West Ham host Thomas Frank’s Tottenham at London Stadium. With both sides aiming to cement their presence in the upper reaches of the table, this London derby carries more than just local bragging rights. Tottenham have begun the season brightly, but West Ham’s latest result – a resounding 3-0 win over Nottingham Forest – has the Hammers’ faithful hoping the irons have turned a corner. The subplot? Graham Potter’s tactical acumen meeting Thomas Frank’s rejuvenated Spurs, each urging for an early season statement.
Among the cast, Lucas Paquetá’s recent surge (three goals in four games) makes him the creative linchpin for the Hammers, while Tottenham’s Richarlison (two goals, one assist) spearheads Spurs with renewed sharpness. These two, flanked by supporting casts with clear instructions, could tip the balance.
“Hot stat”: Tottenham have kept their discipline issues bubbling, collecting an eyebrow-raising eight yellow cards in their last five games – a potential pressure point West Ham are sure to probe!
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | London Stadium, London |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.09.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
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West Ham vs Tottenham prediction
Taking the pulse of both squads and their recent fortunes, Tottenham step onto the London Stadium turf as deserved favourites, reflected by both the bookmakers’ probabilities and their more stable early-season form. Still, a revitalised West Ham are tricky when buoyed by home support, recently thumping Forest and scoring six in their last five.
The safest value appears to lie with an Asian Handicap (Draw No Bet) for Tottenham, given their attacking prowess and depth, against a West Ham side that’s been defensively inconsistent – conceding eight in three league games. Add Tottenham’s extra bite going forward (Richarlison and Brennan Johnson both in form), and the Lilywhites could find joy on the break.
Across metrics, Tottenham’s recent high card tally and direct style contrast with West Ham’s lower foul count and passing focus (nearly 300 more passes in the last five outings). Expect West Ham to attempt controlling possession, but Tottenham’s higher foul numbers and the Hammers’ creative mids hint at a match loaded with tempers and midfield tussles. Statistically, Tottenham edge the attack (seven goals to six in last five), but West Ham’s X-factor remains Lucas Paquetá’s creative freedom.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Tottenham Draw No Bet (DNB) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
West Ham’s rollercoaster run continued in their last five, with a stunning 3-0 victory over Nottingham Forest their most impressive showing. Lucas Paquetá was central to everything positive, netting frequently and knitting play together in midfield. Prior to that, results stuttered – a galling 1-5 loss to Chelsea and a disappointing 0-3 showing against Sunderland highlighted the side’s defensive vulnerabilities. West Ham’s sporadic pressing and intricate short passing paid off against Forest, but against physical sides their backline has looked stretched.
Tottenham’s run has blended moments of brilliance with flashes of concern. A recent 0-1 loss to Bournemouth was a misstep born of profligacy and lapses, yet the 2-0 triumph over Manchester City was a stand-out, with aggressive midfield pressing forcing turnovers and rapid transitions. Spurs’ 3-0 dismissal of Burnley further confirmed Richarlison’s sharpness and Spurs’ comfort in a 4-2-3-1 setup. Their discipline (eight yellows in five) is a worry, and games have sometimes teetered on the edge with tempers running high, but the elevated press and wing overloads make them a dangerous proposition.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | West Ham | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 5 |
| Total shots | 13 | 19 |
| Free kicks | 17 | 19 |
| Corner kicks | 8 | 7 |
| Total fouls | 19 | 21 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 83 | 81 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 17 |
| Offsides | 3 | 4 |
🚨Read our full West Ham vs Tottenham stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Tottenham the favourite
- Moneyline West Ham 3.32 | Tottenham 2.10
- Draw 3.58
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.98 | Under 2.5 1.85
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.72 | No 2.10
The odds reflect Tottenham’s edge in both squad depth and recent league output, with the visitors offered at a best price of 2.10. The generous price on a draw suggests punters still rate West Ham’s home threat, particularly after their last win. The Over 2.5 line sits as a fair value, given both teams’ scoring trends and defensive lapses. Both teams to score is also short, reflecting attacking intent on both sides and suspect defending in recent matches.
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Possible Starting Lineups
West Ham possible starting eleven
- GK: Alphonse Aréola
- DF: Jean-Clair Todibo, Max Kilman, Konstantinos Mavropanos, Aaron Wan-Bissaka
- MF: Lucas Paquetá, James Ward-Prowse, Tomáš Souček
- FW: Jarrod Bowen, Niclas Füllkrug, Callum Wilson
This setup maximises West Ham’s creative spark and athleticism. Aréola’s stability in goal is crucial. The back four balances experience and agility, while the midfield trio, led by Paquetá, provides progressive passing and bite. Bowen and Wilson offer direct running and finishing up front, flanking the physical presence of Füllkrug. Expect the side to switch between a 4-3-3 in attack and a more compact 4-5-1 when out of possession. Paquetá remains the man to watch – his link-up play can be match-defining.
Tottenham possible starting eleven
- GK: Guglielmo Vicario
- DF: Pedro Porro, Micky van de Ven, Cristian Romero, Djed Spence
- MF: Rodrigo Bentancur, Pape Matar Sarr, João Palhinha
- FW: Richarlison, Brennan Johnson, Mohammed Kudus
Tottenham’s 4-2-3-1 morphs fluidly, with Vicario commanding the back line and Romero providing composure and bite. Porro’s overlapping runs add width, while Sarr and Palhinha anchor a dynamic midfield. Brennan Johnson and Mohammed Kudus inject pace and unpredictability, supporting Richarlison’s ability to finish chances or drop deep to link play. Look for Spurs to push their fullbacks high and overload the flanks, especially if West Ham sit deep.
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Tottenham. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
The Verdict
We’ve seen enough already this season to believe Tottenham’s pace and directness under Thomas Frank will test a West Ham side still gelling under Potter. That said, the Hammers’ recent showings – led by a resurgent Paquetá and Bowen – prove they’re capable of disrupting even favoured opponents. Expect a fiercely competitive London derby, with both sides likely to find the net and tempers flaring late on. Main pick: Tottenham Draw No Bet, with a strong case for Over 2.5 goals as both managers fancy their chances and neither rearguard inspires complete confidence. Should be a cracker – and for the neutral, goals look assured!
