Tottenham (w) vs Arsenal (w) Prediction: 16.11.2025 FA Women's Super League

When Tottenham (w) face Arsenal (w) at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London’s North will once more echo with footballing ambition and rivalry. The context of this clash is as compelling as they come both sides level on 15 points, jostling for top-four relevance while trying to put a marker down in the title race. Add to this the fact that Arsenal have historically dominated this fixture, and Tottenham are out to rewrite the recent narrative. The tactical match-up, with Spurs under Jeff Strasser favouring the 4-2-3-1 and Arsenal’s Renée Slegers sticking to a reliable 4-4-2, promises intrigue in every phase of the pitch.

Keep a close eye on Olivia Holdt for Tottenham her energy and knack for finding goals from midfield have been crucial in keeping Spurs ticking, notching 2 goals in the last five appearances. For Arsenal, Alessia Russo stands out; her three goals across the last four matches are more than just numbers, they’re statements of intent at the razor’s edge of attack.

A hot stat? Arsenal have won the last two head-to-heads by an aggregate of 8-0, underlining their psychological (and tactical) stranglehold over their London rivals.

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Tottenham (w) vs Arsenal (w) prediction

Given Arsenal’s commanding form in this fixture, coupled with their higher goal tally and the fluidity inherited from their 4-4-2, the prediction leans towards an Arsenal win. Their front line, driven by Russo and ably assisted by Mead and Blackstenius, has outscored not just Tottenham, but nearly every opponent in their path, with nine goals in their last five matches.

Both teams play with a high degree of technical discipline, but a notable difference surfaces in midfield battle and discipline. Arsenal have committed 34 fouls to Tottenham’s 23 over the last five games; they are a touch more combative, evidenced also by their three yellow cards (Spurs, six). Arsenal’s pass accuracy stands out as well: 1676 successful passes (84.5 percent), dwarfing Spurs’ 662 (76.5 percent). This level of ball retention should starve Tottenham of momentum, though Spurs’ set piece threat with a free-kick goal recently tallied remains an X-factor.

Team Analysis

Tottenham’s recent run has them alternating between grit and growing pains. They edged Liverpool 2-1 in a nervy contest, flexed creativity in a controlled 3-0 dispatch of Birmingham, but their leaky defence was exposed in the 2-4 home loss to London City Lionesses. Bethany England’s return adds bite, while Olivia Holdt’s form in midfield gives hope. Still, their 1-0 home defeat to Chelsea shows there’s a gap to bridge to the league’s real heavyweights.

Arsenal’s last handful of games reveal a team toughened by elite opposition. A gutsy 1-1 draw versus Chelsea was a testing ground for their ambitions, while a resounding 4-1 hammering of Leicester displayed their attacking depth. Even the 2-3 defeat by Bayern, though a setback, loaned tactical learnings and underlined their willingness to slug it out with Europe’s big guns. Russo’s scoring, Blackstenius’ creative contribution, and van Domselaar’s reliability in goal establish them as firm favourites.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Tottenham (w) vs Arsenal (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Tottenham (w) 7.00 | Arsenal (w) 1.33
• Draw 4.60
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.60 | Under 2.5 2.20
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.25 | No 1.60

These odds sharply highlight Arsenal’s dominance and bookmakers’ trust in their superiority. Spurs’ long price tells the story of recent head-to-heads and their minus goal difference. The short price on Over 2.5 suggests punters, too, expect goals, mainly from Arsenal’s potent frontline. “Both Teams To Score: No” at 1.60 further underlines the belief in Arsenal’s defensive mettle against a Spurs attack still in transition.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Tottenham (w) possible starting eleven

The back four of Hunt, Nildén, Koga, and Grant provides familiarity and the club’s best chance of defensive stability. Kop starts between the sticks, with her recent performances saving points for Spurs when they’ve been under the cosh. Holdt and Summanen offer creative thrust, while England’s experience and Tandberg’s pace up front should trouble a high Arsenal line. Expect a 4-2-3-1, looking to absorb pressure and hit on the counter.

Arsenal (w) possible starting eleven

Arsenal’s likely 4-4-2 banks on the attacking synergy between Russo and Blackstenius up top, flanked by Caldentey and Kelly who bomb forward relentlessly. Van Domselaar offers both assurance and distribution from the back. The experienced midfielder Kim Little, pulling the strings with Pelova, is a key to their high-possession game. Fox and Catley, as fullbacks, give balance and width.

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The Verdict

All signs point towards an Arsenal (w) victory composure, firepower, and tactical clarity are all in their favour. Yet, these derbies have a way of springing surprises, particularly if Spurs find some early rhythm. My main pick remains Arsenal to win with at least a two-goal margin, and there’s value in a clean sheet for the Gunners, who rarely switch off against inferior rivals.

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