Tottenham vs Doncaster Prediction: 24.09.2025 EFL Cup

Tottenham welcomes Doncaster to Brann Stadion in Bergen for the Round of 32 in the EFL Cup 2025/26. On paper, this appears to be a classic David vs Goliath encounter, but punters should be mindful of Doncaster’s impressive win rate this season and their ability to punch above their weight in knock-out formats. Tottenham manager Thomas Frank will be wary of potential complacency, especially as Doncaster have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last seven away fixtures, proving capable of capitalizing on counter-attacks. Look for James Maxwell’s delivery from the left and Richarlison’s current form as key individual duels — both have influenced recent outcomes for their respective teams. The “hot stat”: Doncaster have tallied an impressive 70 total shots in their last five contests, outshooting their opponents in this run.

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Tottenham vs Doncaster prediction

The best value lies with Tottenham to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.15, reflecting both their dominant home record and Doncaster’s tendency to compete without collapsing defensively. Tottenham are overwhelming favourites (over 80 percent implied win probability across bookmakers) with Doncaster given only an outside chance, but market value for a blowout remains low given Doncaster’s resilience. Tottenham’s 4-3-3 under Thomas Frank focuses on vertical build-up and creating overloads in wide areas, but their recent shot efficiency (6 goals from 40 shots in last five) reveals a need for improved final-third sharpness.

Discipline, possession trends, and set-piece effectiveness could all affect this match’s tempo. Tottenham draw more fouls on average (51 vs 49 in last five), yet Doncaster are actually more efficient in transition, intercepting 48 passes in that same period. With both sides keeping cards to a minimum (Tottenham 9 yellows, Doncaster 7 in five games), expect a tactically measured contest rather than a frenetic cup tie. Ball retention will favour Tottenham (84 percent pass accuracy vs Doncaster’s 76 percent), but Doncaster’s higher shot volume suggests they won’t simply retreat — both will look to exploit set plays, with Doncaster averaging 5.4 corners per game.

Team Analysis

Tottenham are coming off a 2-2 draw against Brighton in a match that showcased both attacking potential and lingering defensive fragility. Despite controlling 58 percent possession and completing 404 passes at 87 percent accuracy, they were caught out twice by precise Brighton counter-attacks. Richarlison found the net and has 7 shots in last four matches, emerging as a consistent offensive threat. Their previous results include a clinical 1-0 win over Villarreal and a dominant 3-0 showing against West Ham, illustrating strategic flexibility — but a surprise 0-1 loss to Bournemouth earlier hints at occasional breakdowns when pressured defensively.

Doncaster arrive here off a disappointing 1-2 home defeat to AFC Wimbledon, a match marked by inefficient finishing (just 3 shots on target from 16 attempts) and defensive lapses. Nevertheless, in the seven games prior, Grant McCann’s charges not only won five but did so with attacking variety — their 3-1 win over Bradford City and 2-1 result over Everton U21 showcased dynamic transitions and strong pressing from midfield. The tactical versatility of Maxwell at left back and Bailey in the engine room has propelled their counter-attacking style, but their last two losses came when facing high press and pace.

Possible Starting Lineups

Tottenham possible starting eleven

Given both recent appearances and squad rotation, Vicario is likely to retain the goalkeeper slot for cup stability. The back four sees Van de Ven’s pace alongside Romero’s aggression, while Porro and Udogie provide width. In midfield, Bentancur’s deep distribution is complemented by Bergvall’s forward runs, while Sarr offers box-to-box energy. Up front, Richarlison spearheads the attack with support from Johnson’s direct runs and Kudus’ destabilizing dribbles. Expect Frank to stick with a 4-3-3, maximizing width — keep an eye on Bergvall for late runs into the box and Richarlison’s movement in transition.

Doncaster possible starting eleven

Grant McCann may opt for a conservative 4-2-3-1 variation to counter Tottenham’s wide play. Lawlor anchors as a reliable shot-stopper. Maxwell and Pearson offer overlapping potential at fullback, while O’Riordan brings aerial stability. Bailey marshals midfield transitions, assisted by Broadbent’s interceptions, and Gibson’s creativity. Up front, veteran Billy Sharp leads the line for clinical finishing, with Molyneux as secondary support — look for Maxwell’s set-piece deliveries to create problems. Doncaster’s lineup is built to soak up pressure, with quick shifts into attack, but midfield battles will be key to keeping the game close.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Tottenham vs Doncaster stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Tottenham the favourite

• Moneyline Tottenham 1.15-1.18 | Doncaster 14.5-15.00
• Draw 7.10-8.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.68 | Under 2.5 2.23
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.25 | No 1.55

Bookmakers rightfully position Tottenham at overwhelming odds-on favourite status, reflecting their squad quality and Premier League pedigree. Value on the away win or a draw is extremely low given Doncaster’s rating and squad depth, but the under markets offer more intrigue since Doncaster tend to keep games competitive despite being outmatched. Both teams to score is offered at an interesting 2.25 but the strong defensive numbers for Tottenham and Doncaster’s inefficiency against high-level opposition tilt the expected outcome to ‘No.’

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My take on the Match

The consensus is clear: Tottenham’s quality, depth, and experience should prove decisive. The -1.5 Asian Handicap offers the best balance of risk and payout given Doncaster’s likelihood to defend deeply but struggle for consistent phases of possession. Expect Tottenham to dominate ball control and territory, but Doncaster’s shot-happy approach and set-piece threat could generate moments of anxiety. Ultimately, Tottenham’s structure and attacking width should see them through by two goals or more, with a clean sheet a strong possibility. The combination of a high pass accuracy and a relatively low foul count from both sides supports a game with limited chaos and a result dictated by technical superiority.

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