Liam Duckstein
In the Nations League semi-final, Spain will face France in Stuttgart. Picking a favorite in this matchup is no easy task, but goals are likely to be plentiful.
The billing for this match could easily belong to a final, as it pits two perennial favorites of major tournaments against each other. Luis de la Fuente’s men secured their spot in the semi-finals with a thrilling penalty shootout victory over the Netherlands in the quarter-finals. Spain remains unbeaten in the tournament, with their last defeat dating back to March 2024, when they fell to Colombia in a friendly.
France, on the other hand, gave their fans a rollercoaster ride. They lost 0-2 to Croatia in the first leg of their quarter-final tie but, buoyed by home support, staged a comeback to win on penalties in the return leg—just like Spain. Prior to that, the Les Bleus suffered defeats to Italy in the Nations League and to Spain in a recent head-to-head clash.
- 🚨Read our full Spain vs France stats for more analysis.
Most experts lean toward a Spanish victory in this semi-final, and it’s hard to argue against that. Just a year ago, in Germany at the European Championship, Spain defeated France in the semi-finals, with Yamal and Olmo quickly responding to Kolo Muani’s goal. Under Luis de la Fuente, Spain plays fast, attacking football without an over-reliance on possession. While they’ve been leaky at the back—conceding eight goals in their last four matches—they can break down almost any defense and compensate for defensive lapses with a scintillating attack.
Both teams boast potent and versatile attacking lines. Spain fields the likes of Lamine Yamal, Ferran Torres, and Nico Williams, while France counters with Kylian Mbappé, Désiré Doué, and Ousmane Dembélé. The current squads allow both sides to play bold, aggressive football in attack. With that in mind, we suggest considering a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.05.
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