Sofia Quijada
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Platense sit second from bottom of the Clausura table, nine points off a Newells Old Boys side that has gone unbeaten in five matches. Martín Palermo’s men still get backed as favourites at home, a pattern that says more about their home comfort under Palermo than about current form. Frank Kudelka’s Newells arrive with three draws and two wins in their last five, a run that puts them sixteenth, comfortably clear of the relegation zone Platense are staring at. That gap between table position and market price is the real story here.
Guido Mainero has been Platense’s most productive attacker across the last five games, contributing two goals and an assist, and he carries most of the home side’s creative burden. Matías Cóccaro is the man to watch for Newells, three goals in just four appearances gives him the sharpest conversion rate on the pitch.
Hot stat: Cóccaro has scored three times from twelve shots in four matches for Newells, a strike rate that outpaces every other forward involved in this fixture and makes him the single biggest individual threat on show.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Argentine Primera Division 2026, Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez, Florida |
| 🗓️ Date: | 20.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 22:00 CEST |
Platense vs Newells Old Boys prediction
We lean toward Newells Old Boys avoiding defeat here. Platense have won just two of nine league games this season and conceded seven goals across their last five, while Newells have not lost since a run of four straight games and keep leaking only three in the same span. Draw No Bet on Newells looks the smarter route than backing them outright, since Platense’s home comfort under Palermo keeps them competitive even when results dry up.
Platense average roughly fourteen fouls and 6.2 corners per match over their last five outings against Newells’ twelve fouls and 2.6 corners, a gap that points to territorial pressure without conversion. Pass accuracy sits close for both sides, around 75% for Platense and 74% for Newells, so neither team dominates possession cleanly. Cards run slightly higher for Platense too, roughly two yellows per game against Newells’ 1.6, which fits a side pressing hard but lacking control in the final third.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw No Bet: Newells Old Boys |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Platense beat Fluminense RJ 2-1 in their most recent outing, a rare bright spot after back-to-back losses to Estudiantes LP and the same Fluminense side in the previous leg. Before that they drew with Deportivo Riestra and lost to Defensa y Justicia, a stretch of one win in five that mirrors their season-long struggle to string results together. In our preview of Platense vs Fluminense RJ we backed Fluminense to progress on aggregate through a win or a point-saving draw, and the 2-1 scoreline in Platense’s favour went against that call.
Newells drew 1-1 with Velez Sarsfield last time out, extending a run that also includes draws with Rosario Central and Estudiantes LP either side of wins over Banfield and Deportivo Riestra. Three draws and two wins in five is unspectacular on paper, but it has kept Kudelka’s side unbeaten and defensively tidy, conceding just three goals across that stretch. The consistency without a loss is arguably more valuable heading into this trip than any single standout result.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Platense | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Platense vs Newells Old Boys stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Platense the favourite
- Moneyline Platense 2.25 | Newells Old Boys 3.80
- Draw 2.90
Bookmakers still tip Platense at roughly 44% implied probability against Newells’ 26%, a gap that owes more to home advantage and Palermo’s reputation than to league form. Given Newells sit ten places and four points clear of Platense with a better defensive record, the away price at 3.80 reads as fair value rather than a longshot, and it explains why we favour Newells to avoid defeat over backing the host outright.
Possible Starting Lineups
Platense possible starting eleven
- GK: Juan Cozzani
- DF: Ignacio Vazquez, Tomás Silva, Agustin Lagos, Mateo Mendía
- MF: Martin Barrios, Ivan Gómez, Franco Zapiola Yamartino, Gastón Togni, Bautista Merlini
- FW: Guido Mainero
Palermo keeps faith with the 4-2-3-1 that has featured across the last five matches. Barrios and Gómez shield the back four while Mainero, the side’s top scorer in this stretch, leads the line. Zapiola Yamartino and Merlini offer the width needed to exploit Newells’ higher defensive line.
Newells Old Boys possible starting eleven
- GK: Josué Reinatti
- DF: Lautaro Gianetti, Martin Ortega, Lucas Carrizo, Bruno Cabrera
- MF: Luca Regiardo, Facundo Samuel Guch, Rodrigo Herrera, Walter Mazzantti, Jerónimo Gómez Mattar
- FW: Matías Cóccaro
Kudelka also sticks with 4-2-3-1. Regiardo and Guch sit deep to protect a back four that has conceded sparingly of late, while Cóccaro, the standout finisher of this preview, spearheads the attack with Mazzantti and Gómez Mattar rotating around him.
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Platense. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Newells Old Boys leave Florida with something to show for the trip. Platense’s home draw at bookmakers looks generous next to a table that has them second from bottom, and their five-game defensive record, seven goals conceded, does not inspire confidence against a Newells attack led by Cóccaro. Perhaps Platense grab an early goal through Mainero to unsettle the visitors, but Newells’ habit of not losing across their last five games should carry them to at least a share of the points. Our call: Newells Draw No Bet, under 2.5 goals, both teams to score.
