Shanghai Port vs Henan Songshan Longmen Prediction: 15.08.2025 Chinese Super League

The Chinese Super League is set for an intriguing regular season clash as Shanghai Port play host to Henan Songshan Longmen at the Shanghai Pudong Football Stadium. While Shanghai Port have proven themselves as one of the top contenders this season, Henan Songshan Longmen arrive looking to punch above their weight and cause an upset. What makes this match especially interesting is Henan’s attacking improvements in recent games coupled with Shanghai Port’s remarkable home consistency. With both managers favouring attacking football but differing in tactical execution, this contest promises more than just routine league points.

Key players to watch in this match include Gabriel Airton de Souza for Shanghai Port, who has racked up 4 goals in his last 4 outings and is central to their attacking scheme, and Frank Acheampong of Henan, whose blistering pace and recent goal scoring run (6 goals in last 5) has refreshed his side’s forward line. Both will be critical in dictating the flow and tempo of attacking sequences.

The “hot stat” from recent matches: Henan Songshan Longmen have delivered a league-leading 24 corner kicks in their last five games, reflecting their aggressive approach in the final third, despite mixed results.

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Shanghai Port vs Henan Songshan Longmen prediction

The home side enters this fixture as clear favourites—not just in the standings but also through current form and underlying metrics. Shanghai Port’s record of scoring 11 goals in their last five speaks to their offensive strength, particularly in combining quick wing play with central penetration. Henan Songshan Longmen, although effective in delivering set piece pressure (corners, free kicks), have struggled to consistently convert opportunities, registering just one win in their last five matches.

The best value in this contest lies in backing Shanghai Port to win with a -1 Asian Handicap. This is grounded in their superior pass accuracy (averaging 84% in the last five), low foul count compared to Henan, and a multi-faceted attack led by both Gabriel Airton de Souza and Leonardo Nascimento. While Henan are aggressive (69 fouls in last five), their tendency to lose shape late in matches could be costly against a technically proficient Port side.

In terms of playing style, Shanghai Port deploy a measured possession game in their 4-2-3-1, leveraging high pass accuracy and patient buildup, punctuated by quick transitions down the wings. Henan operate a more direct approach in a 4-1-4-1, but higher foul and yellow card counts (12 yellows in last five) make them susceptible to discipline lapses—potentially gifting Port advantageous set pieces. Expect Shanghai Port to dominate possession, push for early goals, and maintain a high defensive line, while Henan will rely on counters and set-pieces.

Team Analysis

Shanghai Port are coming into this fixture off a 2-1 win over city rivals Shanghai Shenhua, underscoring their ability to perform against quality opposition. Recently, Port have blended direct counter-attacks with structured possession, registering 3 wins and a draw in their last four. In those matches, they’ve notched up 47 total shots, and averaged just two yellow cards per match—evidence of a team confident in its control and discipline. Their attack is led by Gabriel Airton de Souza and Leonardo, both in superb form, while the midfield, anchored by Xu Xin and Matheus Jussa, ensures balance between attack and defence. Defensively, Yan Junling in goal has provided stability, while passing out from the back remains efficient (over 80% pass completion).

Henan Songshan Longmen approach this clash after a 4-1 home win over Shenzhen Peng City, energised largely by Frank Acheampong’s offensive output. However, this victory is flanked by mixed performances—a 1-2 loss to Qingdao Youth Island and a 2-3 reverse against Shanghai Shenhua—pointing to defensive vulnerabilities despite attacking flare. Henan’s stats reflect a more direct and physical style: 68 total shots in their last five, but with a significant yellow card count. Their midfield, headlined by Wang Shangyuan and Bruno Nazário, works hard but struggles to shield a back line that has conceded 36 goals this season. Wang Guoming in goal will be tested, especially with Shanghai Port’s technical and creative attacking play.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Shanghai Port vs Henan Songshan Longmen stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Shanghai Port the favourite

• Moneyline Shanghai Port 1.44 | Henan Songshan Longmen 5.80
• Draw 4.90
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.70 | Under 2.5 2.10
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.90 | No 1.85

The odds clearly highlight Shanghai Port’s superiority, and for good reason. Their current form, home advantage, and attacking balance make them clear favourites. While Henan possess the potential to nick a goal on the counter, the bookmakers’ odds rightfully reflect differences in technical execution, squad depth, and defensive resilience. The high probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score suggest a match that won’t lack attacking ambition from either side.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Shanghai Port possible starting eleven

This lineup favours a 4-2-3-1, leveraging experience at the back and creativity in the midfield. Yan Junling’s reliability in goal, combined with the passing precision of Matheus Jussa and Kuai Jiwen’s energy, ensures both solidity and forward thrust. Gabriel Airton’s recent scoring run makes him the foundation of the attack, with Mateus Vital and Óscar Melendo supporting from deeper roles.

Henan Songshan Longmen possible starting eleven

Henan should line up in a 4-1-4-1, aiming for midfield solidity with Wang Shangyuan behind a mobile four. The defensive core is anchored by Iago Maidana and Lucas Maia, while Abdul Rou and Bruno Nazário will look to drive transitions. Expect Acheampong to be the focal point for counter-attacks and set-pieces. Wanderson’s versatility adds a different dimension out wide, though the side’s discipline will need to be sharper to withstand Port’s creative surge.

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My take on the Match

This fixture sets up perfectly for Shanghai Port. Their well-drilled structure, high technical level, and confident attacking play establish them as favourites not only in odds but also in tactical potential. While Henan’s pace up front and set-piece threat, particularly from Frank Acheampong, can trouble Port’s backline, their inconsistencies at the back and tendency toward ill-discipline limit their upset potential. My main pick: Shanghai Port to win by at least two goals, with a high-scoring match probable owing to both teams’ willingness to attack. Expect Gabriel Airton to add to his tally and Henan to get on the scoresheet late, but the overall quality gap should prevail.

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