Alex MacQuoid
Denmark women arrive in Bergen needing just a point to cement their position at the top of League A Group A, and they face a Serbia side that has managed just one goal across five qualification matches. The math is brutal for Jeff Strasser’s team: bottom of the group, minus-12 goal difference, and a single point to their name. What makes this fixture genuinely interesting is that the only goal Serbia scored in this entire qualification campaign came against Denmark, back in March, in a 3-1 loss. That’s the solitary bright spot in an otherwise grim campaign.
Pernille Harder is the name to watch for Denmark. She came off the bench in the last match against Sweden and still managed to score, showing the kind of quality that separates her from everyone else in this group. On the Serbia side, Emma Petrović has been one of the more composed players in midfield, logging 35 passes and 3 interceptions in her last outing, which in the context of this Serbia team is actually meaningful output.
Hot stat: Denmark have registered 7 corner kicks in their most recent match alone, compared to Serbia’s 2 across the same sample. That attacking pressure from wide areas has been a consistent feature of Andrée Jeglertz’s setup and suggests Serbia’s backline will be under sustained stress from set-piece situations throughout this game.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Women’s World Cup Qualification UEFA 2026, League A Group A |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 09.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Serbia (w) vs Denmark (w) prediction
Denmark winning this match is about as close to a certainty as you get in football. They are unbeaten in the group, Serbia have scored once in five games, and the head-to-head from earlier in the campaign ended 3-1 to Denmark. We think the real question here is not whether Denmark win, but by how much. Serbia’s defensive record in this qualification group is genuinely alarming — they have conceded 13 goals in five games, including a 6-0 loss to Italy. Denmark’s attack, even when not at full intensity, generates enough volume to expose that.
Serbia play a 5-4-1 that is designed to sit deep and limit space, but the data tells a different story. Their pass accuracy has been low, their corner count minimal, and they’ve produced just 8 shots in their last recorded match. Denmark, by contrast, produced 11 shots and 7 corners. The Danes commit fewer fouls (7 vs Serbia’s 11), which keeps them out of disciplinary trouble and allows them to maintain rhythm. Serbia’s tendency to foul more frequently could lead to free kick opportunities in dangerous areas for Denmark.
- We predict a Denmark (w) win as the primary outcome — odds around 1.23-1.24 reflect the reality of this fixture accurately.
- Over 2.5 goals looks like strong value given Serbia’s defensive record and Denmark’s consistent scoring across the group stage.
- Denmark to win and both teams to score is a tempting angle given Serbia’s single goal in this campaign came against Denmark specifically.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Denmark (w) to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Serbia’s last five matches in this qualification group have produced zero wins, zero goals in their last recorded fixture, and a goal difference that reads like a warning sign. The 0-3 loss to Italy was their most recent outing, following a 0-1 defeat to Sweden. Their lone draw came against Sweden in the earlier matchday. The 1-3 loss to Denmark in March was actually their best performance in terms of output — at least they got on the scoresheet. Strasser’s 5-4-1 system has not provided the defensive solidity it promised. Conceding 13 goals while scoring just once is a structural problem, not a run of bad luck. The squad depth is thin, with several players logging minimal minutes and others appearing to be rotational options rather than established starters.
Denmark’s last match was a 2-1 win over Sweden, a result that kept them top of the group with 11 points from five games. Harder came on and scored, Amalie Vangsgaard contributed an assist, and the team managed the game well enough despite Sweden being the second-ranked team in the group by form. Their draw with Italy was the only dropped points in the campaign, and even that result came against a side that has scored 10 goals in the group. Jeglertz has used a 4-2-3-1 consistently across the five matches, and it has functioned well in terms of both attack and defensive shape. Denmark have not lost a single match in this qualification phase. Honestly, they look like a team that knows exactly what it is doing.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Serbia (w) | Denmark (w) |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
| Total shots | 8 | 11 |
| Corner kicks | 2 | 7 |
| Total fouls | 11 | 7 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 10 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Serbia (w) vs Denmark (w) stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Denmark (w) the favourite
- Moneyline Serbia (w) 8.50-9.00 | Denmark (w) 1.23-1.24
- Draw 5.00-5.20
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
The bookmakers are not wrong here. Denmark at 1.23-1.24 is short, but the underlying data supports it. Serbia at 8.50-9.00 reflects a team that has not won a single match in this campaign and has been outscored 13-1. The draw at 5.00-5.20 is priced generously enough to tempt, but Serbia simply have not shown the attacking output to make a stalemate realistic. We think the value, if any, sits in the margin of victory or the total goals market rather than the match result itself, which is practically a foregone conclusion.
Possible Starting Lineups
Serbia (w) possible starting eleven
- GK: Milica Kostic
- MF: Emma Petrović, Jelena Cankovic, Vesna Milivojevic, Miljana Ivanovic
- FW: Alegra Poljak
Milica Kostic has been the most consistently used goalkeeper in the available data, logging a full 90 minutes in the last match and making 4 saves. Emma Petrović is arguably the most important outfield player for Serbia in terms of workload and composure, and she’s the one to watch if Serbia are to create anything meaningful. The 5-4-1 shape will be compact, but given how Denmark create from wide areas, the wing defenders will be under constant pressure. Miljana Ivanovic picked up a yellow card in the last game, so she’ll need to be careful early on.
Denmark (w) possible starting eleven
- DF: Stine Ballisager, Emma Faerge, Sara Thrige Andersen, Sara Holmgaard
- MF: Kathrine Moller Kuhl, Frederikke Thogersen, Sofie Bredgaard, Rikke Madsen
- FW: Pernille Harder, Amalie Vangsgaard
Denmark’s 4-2-3-1 has been their template throughout the campaign and there’s no reason to expect Jeglertz to change it here. Emma Faerge has been one of the more active defenders in terms of ball progression, completing 28 passes in the last match. Kathrine Moller Kuhl and Sofie Bredgaard have been reliable in midfield, keeping the team ticking. Pernille Harder is the obvious danger — even when used from the bench, she scores. Amalie Vangsgaard’s assist in the Sweden match showed her role as a link between midfield and attack is functioning well. Denmark’s goalkeeper data was not available in the provided stats, so the starting shot-stopper remains uncertain.
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Denmark (w). Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Denmark win this. That’s the short version. Serbia have been outclassed in every match of this qualification campaign, and Denmark arrive in Bergen having won their last two, including a 2-1 result over Sweden that required genuine competitive effort. The head-to-head from March already told us what to expect — 3-1 to Denmark, with Serbia’s only goal in the entire group stage coming in that match. We think Denmark win comfortably, likely by two or more goals, and the corner market over 7.5 is worth considering given how Denmark push from wide positions. Both teams to score is marked as No in our tips table — Serbia’s attack has simply not been there, and one fortunate goal in five games is not a trend worth backing. Denmark to win both halves at a reasonable price is our hot tip, because this Serbia side has shown no ability to hold leads or sustain defensive shape across a full 90 minutes against quality opposition.
