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German football’s biggest rivalry reopens for business on Saturday night. Borussia Dortmund host Bayern Munich in the 2026 Franz Beckenbauer Supercup, the renamed curtain-raiser honouring the late Kaiser, with the first silverware of the season decided in a single 90 minutes in front of the Yellow Wall. Bayern arrive as domestic double winners and heavy favourites. Dortmund arrive as runners-up with home advantage, a stubborn Supercup record, and a point to prove after a bruising pre-season. The Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich odds at BC.Game reflect all of it — a clear favourite, but a market bracing for goals.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich: Match Details and Kick-Off Time
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup — Final |
| Date | Saturday, 22 August 2026 |
| Kick-off | 20:30 local / 18:30 GMT / 19:30 BST |
| Venue | Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund |
| Format | Single leg |
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Odds: 1X2 and Trophy Winner at BC.Game
BC.Game price this as a one-sided 90 minutes on paper and something closer to a contest once the trophy market opens up.
| Market | Selection | BC.Game odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (90 mins) | Borussia Dortmund | 4.70 | 21.3% |
| Draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | |
| Bayern Munich | 1.64 | 61.0% | |
| To lift the trophy | Borussia Dortmund | 2.98 | 33.6% |
| Bayern Munich | 1.37 | 73.0% |
Strip out the roughly 6.6% margin on the 1X2 and Bayern land at around a 57% chance of winning in normal time, with the draw at close to 23% and Dortmund under 20%. That gap between 4.70 and 1.64 is about as wide as this fixture ever gets at a neutral-to-home venue.
The trophy market is the more revealing line. Dortmund shorten from 4.70 to 2.98 the moment a shootout is factored in — a swing that quietly acknowledges what the Supercup head-to-head already tells us. Bayern lead this specific series 5-4 across nine previous meetings with the trophy on the line. That is not the record of a side that steamrolls this fixture.
Goals Markets: Over/Under and BTTS Odds at BC.Game
This is where the market has made its strongest statement.
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Asian) | 3.25 | 1.68 | 2.10 |
| Total (Asian) | 3.75 | 2.04 | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score | BC.Game odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.39 | 71.9% |
| No | 2.78 | 36.0% |
An Asian line pitched at 3.25 is aggressive for a competitive final, and BTTS at 1.39 is priced as near enough a formality. The supporting evidence backs it: five of the last six Supercup finals produced goals at both ends, both teams scored in four of the last five Klassiker meetings, and both sides saw BTTS land in three of their last five friendlies apiece. A 0:0 at full time sits out at 24.00 for a reason.
Handicap and Dortmund Total Odds: Where the Value Sits
| Handicap | Borussia Dortmund | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|
| 0 (draw no bet) | 3.60 | 1.26 |
| ±1 | +1 @ 1.77 | -1 @ 1.99 |
| ±1.5 | +1.5 @ 1.50 | -1.5 @ 2.48 |
| Dortmund total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.27 | 3.35 |
| 1.5 | 2.32 | 1.52 |
Dortmund +1 at 1.77 wins if BVB avoid defeat and refunds if they lose by one — which covers every scoreline in the last five Klassikers bar one. Bayern -1 at 1.99 needs a two-goal margin to land. Dortmund over 0.5 at 1.27 is near-certain; over 1.5 at 2.32 is the live number given Guirassy’s finishing form and Bayern’s patched-up back line.
First Half, Corners and Combo Odds
| First half | BC.Game odds |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 4.30 |
| Draw | 2.66 |
| Bayern Munich | 2.04 |
| Half-time 0:0 | 4.30 |
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| 9.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| 10.5 | 2.36 | 1.52 |
| Combo market | BC.Game odds |
|---|---|
| Bayern & over 2.5 | 2.00 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 8.25 |
| Dortmund & over 2.5 | 5.50 |
| Over 3.5 & BTTS yes | 1.90 |
| Under 4.5 & BTTS yes | 2.15 |
Corners priced as a coin flip at 9.5 (1.85 each way) fits two front-foot sides and a crowd that pushes Dortmund forward. The standout combo is draw & over 2.5 at 8.25 — exactly how two of the last five Klassikers finished.
Why Bayern Munich Arrive in Ruthless Pre-Season Form
Vincent Kompany’s side travel north with the summer’s sharpest attacking numbers. Bayern scored 26 goals and conceded five across their last five friendlies — inflated by a 15-0 demolition of amateur side Rottach-Egern, but backed up by genuine results: 2-1 over Aston Villa, 2-1 against Jeju SK, and a 3-1 win over RB Leipzig in their 15 August finale.
That is a continuation, not a spike. Bayern posted 122 goals in 34 Bundesliga matches last season, an average of 3.6 per game. Luis Díaz has settled quickly alongside Jamal Musiala and Harry Kane, and the high press looked fully wound up against Leipzig. Their only pre-season loss came against Wehen Wiesbaden. Kompany is chasing Bayern’s 12th Supercup crown, with the Champions League as the season’s real target.
Der Klassiker Head-to-Head: Recent Meetings and Supercup Record
| Date | Competition | Fixture | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Bundesliga | Dortmund vs Bayern | 2-3 |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Bundesliga | Bayern vs Dortmund | 2-1 |
| 12 Apr | Bundesliga | Bayern vs Dortmund | 2-2 |
| 30 Nov | Bundesliga | Dortmund vs Bayern | 1-1 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Bundesliga | Bayern vs Dortmund | 0-2 |
Across those five meetings: two Bayern wins, two draws, one Dortmund win — and goals dead level at 8-8. Both teams scored in four of the five, and three went over 2.5 goals. The most recent visit to Signal Iduna Park produced a five-goal thriller that Bayern edged 3-2.
Two points stand out for anyone weighing the Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich odds. First, Bayern’s league double over BVB last term came by a single goal each time. Second, Dortmund have drawn Bayern twice in this run — which is exactly why 4.10 on the draw deserves a second look.
Predicted XIs and Team News: Kompany’s Injury Headache
Borussia Dortmund predicted XI: Kobel; Anton, Reggiani, Ryerson; Bellingham, Nmecha, Sabitzer, Beier; Brandt, Guirassy, Inácio
Bayern Munich predicted XI: Urbig; Stanisic, Upamecano, Tah, Bischof; Kimmich, Olise, Musiala, Laimer, Díaz; Kane
No confirmed lineups have been released by either club. Kovač has no listed injury or suspension concerns, which is a rare luxury in this fixture. Kompany’s picture is murkier. Konrad Laimer came off early against Leipzig with an apparent foot or knee problem and was unable to walk unaided afterwards, with no timeline offered. Jamal Musiala was withdrawn late in the same match after a dizzy spell and circulatory problems in the heat, though Bayern confirmed he improved after the whistle. Min-jae Kim also limped off with a thigh issue. Three doubts in one friendly means this is unlikely to be Bayern’s strongest available side.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction: Score and Goalscorers
Everything about this fixture points the same direction: goals at both ends, and a margin thinner than 1.64 suggests.
Bayern’s attack barely needs an argument. Harry Kane scored 36 goals in 31 Bundesliga appearances last season and has 98 in 94 league matches for the club — the most obvious name on any scoresheet you care to write. Luis Díaz has hit the ground running.
The value lies at the other end. Serhou Guirassy scored four goals in his final five league games last term and found the net in both Dortmund’s first and last pre-season outings, including the Roma comeback. The Guinea forward has yet to score against Bayern in a Dortmund shirt — and a home cup final against a patched-up back four is the ideal place to fix that.
Predicted score: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Bayern Munich
Predicted scorers: Guirassy, Karetsas (BVB); Kane, Díaz (Bayern)
Best Bets: Three BC.Game Angles for the Beckenbauer Supercup
- Over 3.25 goals (Asian) @ 1.68 — the line is high, but so are both teams’ goal counts, the Supercup’s recent history, and Bayern’s 3.6-per-game league average.
- Both teams to score & over 3.5 @ 1.90 — the cleanest expression of a 2-2 or 3-2 scoreline, with BTTS landing in four of the last five Klassikers.
- Dortmund +1 Asian handicap @ 1.77 — covers a home win, a draw, and a one-goal loss; both of Bayern’s league wins over BVB last season came by exactly one.
Franz Beckenbauer Supercup FAQ
Who are the favourites for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich?
Bayern Munich, at 1.64 with BC.Game to win in 90 minutes and 1.37 to lift the trophy. Dortmund are 4.70 and 2.98 respectively.
What are the both teams to score odds?
BTTS yes is 1.39 at BC.Game, with no at 2.78 — implying roughly a 72% chance of goals at both ends.
Who has won more Franz Beckenbauer Supercup meetings?
Bayern lead the Supercup head-to-head 5-4. Saturday is the 10th meeting between the two clubs in this fixture, so a Dortmund win levels the series.
Where is the 2026 Supercup being played?
Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, with BVB hosting after finishing as Bundesliga runners-up in 2025/26.
Are there major injury doubts?
Bayern have three: Laimer, Musiala and Kim all left the Leipzig friendly early. Dortmund have no confirmed concerns.
What Saturday Night Really Decides
A single trophy is on the line, but the subtext is bigger. Kovač needs evidence that Dortmund can live with Bayern over a full season rather than just a single half; Kompany needs to prove that a squad chasing a Champions League title can start the domestic campaign without a stumble. The Bundesliga begins next week, and whichever side walks out of Signal Iduna Park with momentum will carry it into a title race that Bayern have controlled for too long to take for granted. For updated Supercup markets and further analysis across the German season, Tips.gg has the full picture.