Liam Duckstein
Two sides sitting at the wrong end of the Chinese Super League table meet on June 28 at Qingdao West Coast University Town Stadium. Qingdao Youth Island sit 15th, but their recent form is arguably the more stable of the two. Zhejiang Professional have won zero of their last five matches, with four defeats in that run. The bookmakers call this an exact coin flip at 37% each, and the odds across the market reflect that. What makes this match particularly interesting is that Zhejiang have lost their last three head-to-head meetings against Qingdao, including a 0-2 win earlier this season.
Midfielder Wang Peng is one to watch for Qingdao. He covers ground well, picks up positioning fouls, and has been involved in the build-up in recent games. For Zhejiang, Romanian forward Alexandru Mitriță brings creative threat from wide and has contributed a goal in recent outings, making him the most dangerous attacking option in their squad right now.
Hot stat: Zhejiang Professional conceded six goals in their most recent match against Shaanxi Union, a 5-6 defeat. That is not the kind of form that inspires confidence going into a must-not-lose fixture against a side sitting just two points below them.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Chinese Super League 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Qingdao West Coast University Town Stadium, Qingdao |
| 🗓️ Date: | 28.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 12:00 CEST |
Qingdao Youth Island vs Zhejiang Professional Prediction
Qingdao Youth Island have not won in their last five matches, but four of those were draws. That is a team that is hard to beat at home, even without a genuine winning run. Zhejiang, by contrast, have lost four of their last five, including a 0-5 thrashing away at Liaoning. Their defensive structure has been repeatedly exposed.
The value here sits with Qingdao on the home win. Playing at home in the Chinese Super League matters more than the raw rankings suggest, and Zheng Zhi’s side have already held Shanghai Shenhua to a 2-2 draw and beaten Yunnan Yukun and Dalian Yingbo at home this season. Zhejiang have the more familiar names, but their recent performances suggest a team low on confidence and struggling to keep shape defensively.
Qingdao average 11 total shots per game across their last five, compared to Zhejiang’s eight. Zhejiang commit 17 fouls per game on average, which is noticeably higher, and their pass accuracy sits at just 168 completed passes from 239 attempted. That is a team under pressure, giving the ball away frequently and inviting pressure. Qingdao’s 473 passes with 404 completed shows a more controlled approach, and that difference in ball management should matter in a tight, low-scoring match.
Zhejiang’s foul count and yellow card accumulation also suggests a side that chases the game and plays reactively. That could open space for Qingdao on the break, particularly through their forward line.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Qingdao Youth Island to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Qingdao Youth Island have drawn four of their last five matches, which tells its own story. They are not a team blowing opponents away, but they are resilient. Their most recent result was a remarkable 6-5 win over Xian Ronghai, a match that flattered neither goalkeeper but showed Qingdao can produce attacking output when given space. Before that, they drew 2-2 with Shanghai Shenhua, a top-two side, which is a respectable result on its own. Wins over Yunnan Yukun (3-2) and Dalian Yingbo (3-2) also show they can grind out narrow victories against mid-table opposition.
Zhejiang Professional’s recent run is difficult to defend. They lost 5-6 to Shaanxi Union, a side ranked far lower in the global club rankings, in their most recent outing. That followed a 0-5 loss to Liaoning Tieren. Their one bright result was a 2-0 win over Henan Songshan Longmen and a 4-1 win over Shandong Taishan, both of which now look like outliers rather than signs of genuine form. Ross Aloisi’s side sit 9th in the table with a goal difference of -4, and the underlying numbers suggest things could get worse before they improve.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Qingdao Youth Island | Zhejiang Professional |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 10 | 8 |
| Free kicks | 17 | 10 |
| Corner kicks | 6 | 1 |
| Total fouls | 11 | 17 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 85 | 70 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 6 |
| Offsides | 1 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Qingdao Youth Island vs Zhejiang Professional stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Even Match with Slight Home Edge
- Moneyline Qingdao Youth Island 2.55 | Zhejiang Professional 2.55
- Draw 3.52
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.72
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.05 | No 1.75
The market has priced this as a near-perfect 50/50 between the two sides, which is fair on paper but perhaps undervalues Qingdao’s home advantage and Zhejiang’s poor defensive record. The draw price at around 3.50 reflects the genuine chance of a stalemate, given Qingdao’s tendency to draw. We see the home win as the better value pick at around 2.55, particularly given Zhejiang’s current form. The under 2.5 goals market is also worth noting, as Qingdao’s last five games averaged just two goals per match in their team stats column, and Zhejiang’s attacking output has been inconsistent outside of high-scoring collapses.
Possible Starting Lineups
Qingdao Youth Island Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Dong Hang
- DF: Dong Yu, Wang Gengrui, Samir Memisevic, Zhang Chengdong
- MF: Wang Peng, Peng Xinli, Zhang Xiuwei
- FW: Davidson da Luz Pereira, Aziz Yakubu, Eiffelding Escal
Zheng Zhi has consistently used a 4-3-3 shape, and the players above reflect the most frequently appearing names across the last five matches. Dong Hang gets the nod in goal based on his appearances. The back four of Dong Yu, Wang Gengrui, Samir Memisevic, and Zhang Chengdong offers a mix of experience and physicality. In midfield, Wang Peng is the key organiser, with Peng Xinli providing energy and Xiuwei adding cover. Up front, Davidson da Luz Pereira and Aziz Yakubu both scored in recent matches, making them the most dangerous attacking options. Eiffelding Escal’s goal contribution across two appearances also earns him a spot.
Zhejiang Professional Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Zhao Bo
- DF: Sun Guowen, Lucas Possignolo, Tong Lei, Liu Haofan
- MF: Wu Wei, Cheng Jin, Zhang Jiaqi, Alexander N’Doumbou, Ablikim Abdusalam
- FW: Alexandru Mitriță
Ross Aloisi has favoured a 4-5-1 structure in recent games, which makes sense for a side that has been leaking goals and needs defensive cover. Zhao Bo starts in goal. The back four is built around Sun Guowen and Lucas Possignolo, with Tong Lei and Liu Haofan on either side. Liu Haofan has an assist in recent games and contributes from deep. In the wide midfield positions, Alexander N’Doumbou and Ablikim Abdusalam provide legs, while Wu Wei has scored once and offers a goal threat from midfield. Alexandru Mitriță leads the line and is the creative focal point, having scored and created chances in recent outings. He is the player most likely to cause problems for Qingdao’s defence.
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Zhejiang Professional. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict a narrow Qingdao Youth Island home win. The home side’s pass accuracy, shot volume, and corner count all exceed Zhejiang’s recent averages. More importantly, Zhejiang arrive here without a win in five, having shipped 11 goals across their last two matches. That is not a team equipped to grind out a result away from home.
Qingdao are not in spectacular form either, but their draws have come against quality opposition and their home record shows more fight than the table suggests. The 6-5 win over Xian Ronghai was chaotic, but before that they were relatively compact, conceding just two goals across three matches. Zhejiang’s 17 fouls per game average also points to a team that will give away set pieces, and Qingdao’s six corner kicks per game average suggests they will generate chances from wide areas.
To be honest, the head-to-head record also favours Zhejiang on paper, with three wins from the last four meetings. But those results came when Zhejiang were in better shape. Right now, this Zhejiang side looks nothing like the team that won those fixtures. We back Qingdao Youth Island to win 1-0 or 2-0, with the clean sheet market offering genuine value at current odds.
