Livingston vs Celtic Prediction: 27.12.2025 Scottish Premiership Preview

On December 27th, Livingston host Celtic in the Scottish Premiership at Brann Stadion, Bergen, making for an intriguing contest between a club fighting to escape the relegation zone and a perennial powerhouse chasing the league lead. While Livingston find themselves at the foot of the table with just one win in 17, Celtic arrive as clear favourites, riding a considerably stronger form despite a recent wobble. For bettors and neutral observers alike, this match offers a snapshot into the structural gap between Scottish football’s elite and those struggling for consistency.

Two players to watch in this encounter are Livingston’s Tete Yengi, who has notched a goal recently despite the club’s poor run, and Celtic’s Daizen Maeda, whose energetic performances have yielded both goals and assists over his last five appearances.

Celtic’s “hot stat”: They have almost doubled Livingston’s shot count over their previous five matches (87 shots vs Livingston’s 46), underlining their attacking intent and dominance in terms of goal threat.

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Livingston vs Celtic prediction

Celtic enter this match as overwhelming favourites, with major bookmakers pricing a Celtic win around 1.37-1.39 and giving Livingston less than a 15% implied probability of victory. The disparity in form and output is stark: Livingston have failed to win in their last five league outings (D1, L4), while Celtic, although recently troubled by some defeats, have five wins in their last nine matches.

The best value prediction here is Celtic to win with a -1.5 Asian Handicap. Livingston’s defense has been particularly vulnerable, conceding 9 goals in their last five league fixtures, while scoring only twice. Celtic’s shot volume and ball possession (frequently exceeding 60%) suggest sustained attacking pressure, and their ability to turn that into goals is reflected in their 29 goals from 17 league games. Statistically, Livingston average over 13 fouls and nearly 1.5 yellow cards per match, indicating frequent defensive breakdowns and discipline issues. Celtic, meanwhile, tend to dominate possession and play with a measured aggression—accumulating less than a yellow card per match—helping them maintain tactical control and minimize opposition threats.

Team Analysis

Livingston’s recent form is deeply concerning from a betting perspective. Their last five matches show a pattern of defensive instability, narrowly escaping heavier losses thanks to goalkeeper Jérôme Prior’s interventions. A 0-1 defeat to Saint Mirren and a 0-3 loss to Motherwell underlined their attacking ineffectiveness (just 2 goals in the last 5 games), while their midfield struggles to retain possession (67% pass accuracy, well below Celtic’s standards). They have also conceded 7 yellow cards in the last five, meaning suspensions and player caution will affect their aggression.

Celtic, by contrast, arrive after a mixed run but with clear attacking intent. Their 3-1 win over Aberdeen showcased an efficient front line, with significant contributions from Maeda and James Forrest. Even in defeat, such as the 1-3 home loss to St. Mirren, Celtic outshot opponents, created 30 corners across five games, and maintained a 86.5% average pass accuracy. Defensive lapses do occur, but their ability to generate pressure and dominate ball circulation remains a constant asset. Fouls per match remain moderate (9 per game), and the side faces minimal disciplinary risk heading into this round.

Possible Starting Lineups

Livingston possible starting eleven

This lineup reflects Livingston’s 3-4-2-1 shape under David Martindale, prioritizing defensive coverage while tasking Pitman and Tait to anchor the midfield. Defensive consistency has been lacking, but Prior’s recent shot-stopping could keep the scoreline respectable. The attacking trio will once again rely on Yengi’s driving runs and Bokila’s opportunistic finishing, though service has been an issue in recent weeks.

Celtic possible starting eleven

Celtic’s established 3-4-2-1 allows Hatate and McGregor to dictate tempo in central areas, with Tierney offering attacking threat alongside Nygren and Maeda. Schmeichel provides proven reliability between the posts, and the central defensive trio balances physicality with composure on the ball. Watch for Maeda’s off-ball movement and Tierney’s overlapping runs to stretch Livingston’s defensive block.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Livingston vs Celtic stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Celtic the favourite

• Moneyline Livingston 8.50 | Celtic 1.37
• Draw 5.04
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.75 | Under 2.5 2.15
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.70

The consensus from major bookmakers is clear: Celtic are deemed highly likely to take all three points, with odds rarely pushing above 1.39. The -1.5 Asian Handicap market offers value for punters expecting Celtic’s superior shot count and ball control to translate into a multi-goal win. Markets for total goals and BTTS reflect skepticism about Livingston’s ability to break through, further highlighted by their recent attacking struggles.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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My take on the Match

In summary, Celtic’s attacking proficiency and tactical organization should see them dominate possession and territory against a Livingston side lacking confidence and form. The gulf in recent performances and underlying statistics makes the case for a comfortable away win, with the visitors likely to exploit Livingston’s defensive lapses and set-piece vulnerabilities. The best value pick is Celtic -1.5 Asian Handicap, with a correct scoreline prediction of 0-3 not out of the question given both teams’ recent outputs.

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