Liverpool (w) vs Chelsea (w) Prediction: 16.11.2025 FA Women's Super League Preview

The West Lancashire College Stadium braces itself for a fascinating encounter as Liverpool (w) host the high-flying Chelsea (w) in the 2025/26 FA Women’s Super League. While the odds heavily favour the visitors, this clash is more than a routine round – it’s a litmus test for a Liverpool side desperate to turn potential into points against one of Europe’s most polished outfits. Notably, both managers—Gareth Taylor and Sonia Bompastor—will deploy their preferred 4-2-3-1 formations, ensuring a tactically intricate battle in midfield.

Among the many talents on display, Liverpool’s Beata Olsson, responsible for half her team’s recent goals, will hope to pierce Chelsea’s formidable defensive line. For the Blues, attention is firmly fixed on Sam Kerr who, with three goals in her last four appearances, remains a constant threat in the final third. Their performances could prove decisive in swinging the match’s momentum.

Hot stat: Chelsea (w) have fired in a staggering 97 shots and conceded only 1 yellow card over their last five matches—a testament to both attacking intent and remarkable discipline.

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Liverpool (w) vs Chelsea (w) prediction

Given Chelsea (w)’s superior win rate of 74% this season, their ability to outscore and outclass their domestic rivals has been unmatched. The contrast could hardly be starker: Liverpool (w) languish near the table’s foot, notching a solitary point in seven outings, while Chelsea (w) have gone unbeaten and boast a robust +11 goal difference.

The stark difference in attacking efficiency and defensive discipline shapes our prediction. Chelsea’s ability to control possession, limit fouls (22 in five games versus Liverpool’s 15), and flood the penalty area with shots makes them heavy favourites. However, Liverpool’s switch to a tighter 4-2-3-1 with Olsson up front offers hope for a more competitive display, particularly if the Reds can harness their home crowd and play to their physical strengths.

Expect Chelsea to dominate ball retention, passing accuracy (an excellent 86.8%), and corners, but Liverpool may exploit any rare opportunities on the break. Considering both sides’ recent discipline stats, a low card count is likely, but the gulf in overall quality should see the away side notch a comfortable win.

Team Analysis

Liverpool (w): The Reds’ last outing—a 1-1 draw with Brighton—signalled a flicker of resilience after a torrid start. Olsson’s contributions in attack and Ceri Holland’s industry in midfield kept Liverpool in the contest, though their lack of cutting edge was evident. Prior defeats to Tottenham (1-2) and Manchester City (1-2) show a side struggling to finish matches strong. Defensively, individual errors and lapses in concentration remain an Achilles’ heel, but a recent switch to a compact 4-2-3-1 suggests a pragmatic approach to stemming the tide.

Chelsea (w): A 6-0 demolition of St. Polten (w) in European competition underlined Chelsea’s relentless attacking style and squad depth, especially with Sam Kerr and Catarina Macario in form. A 1-1 draw versus Arsenal (w) demonstrated their maturity in managing tight, tactical battles, while recent straight wins over London City Lionesses and Paris point to a well-oiled machine. Chelsea’s defensive line, marshalled by Millie Bright and Nathalie Bjorn, has conceded just four goals in eight league matches, making them a daunting prospect for any attack in England.

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🚨Read our full Liverpool (w) vs Chelsea (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Liverpool (w) 15.00 | Chelsea (w) 1.12
• Draw 6.50
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.47 | Under 2.5 2.40
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.01 | No 1.75

Chelsea (w) are overwhelming favourites with bookmakers assigning them a win probability upward of 75%. The odds reflect both the stark form lines and personnel. Liverpool’s struggles in attack contrast Chelsea’s free-scoring run, and with the visitors’ defensive record, it’s easy to see why the goal lines and BTTS market tilt towards a routine result. However, with Liverpool scraping a home draw last time, a minor upset is never totally out of the question.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Liverpool (w) possible starting eleven

• GK: F. Kirby
• DF: Risa Shimizu, G. Fisk, Jenna Clark, Gemma Evans
• MF: Fuka Nagano, S. Kerr, Cornelia Kapocs, Ceri Holland
• FW: Beata Olsson, M. Enderby

This starting XI draws from the most consistent performers in Liverpool’s recent fixtures, blending defensive solidity with a little attacking thrust. Risa Shimizu and G. Fisk provide reliability at the back, while the midfield axis of Ceri Holland and Fuka Nagano offers a blend of energy and invention. In attack, Beata Olsson’s clinical edge and M. Enderby’s movement will be pivotal if Liverpool are to trouble Chelsea’s defence. Expect a solid 4-2-3-1, with midfielders tracking back to limit Chelsea’s space.

Chelsea (w) possible starting eleven

• GK: Hannah Hampton
• DF: Millie Bright, Nathalie Bjorn, Niamh Charles, Ellie Carpenter
• MF: Erin Cuthbert, Keira Walsh, Sjoeke Nüsken, Alyssa Thompson
• FW: Sam Kerr, Catarina Macario

Chelsea’s starting lineup leans into both experience and current form, with Hampton behind a formidable defensive line anchored by Bright and Bjorn—expect little in the way of cheap giveaways. The midfield mixes Keira Walsh’s calm control with Erin Cuthbert’s drive and Alyssa Thompson’s dynamism. Sam Kerr leads the line, supported by the incisive Macario, in a fluid 4-2-3-1 formation that quickly transitions into a 4-3-3 during attacks. The real magic could come from the combination play between Kerr and Macario, who have terrorised defences in recent fixtures.

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My take on the Match

Chelsea (w) should justify their overwhelming favourite status on Sunday, boasting superior form, quality across every department, and the match-winning firepower of Sam Kerr and Catarina Macario. Despite the gulf in class, there is still a sense of opportunity about Liverpool’s challenge—they’ve shown glimmers of resilience and, with home support, could make it competitive. My pick is Chelsea (w) to win with a clean sheet, but if Olsson brightens Liverpool’s attack, a single goal on the break isn’t out of the question. Regardless of the final outcome, every game is a chance for Liverpool’s young squad to learn and for fans to witness future stars in the making.

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