Nottingham Forest vs Brest Prediction: 16 August 2026 International Club Friendly

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Nottingham Forest host Stade Brest at the City Ground on August 16 in what looks like a genuine pre-season test for Oliver Glasner’s side. Forest enter this fixture with a mixed summer, winning four of their last nine matches, while Brest arrive with just one win from five in the same period. The interesting angle here is that Brest have drawn three of those five outings, suggesting a team that is hard to beat but equally hard to back as winners.

One player to watch for Forest is the creative midfielder pulling strings in the 3-5-2 setup, where the wide wing-backs are often the key outlet for quick transitions. For Brest, their 4-1-4-1 structure places a lot of responsibility on the lone forward, who will need to hold the ball and bring the midfield runners into play against a physical Forest back three.

Hot stat: Brest have failed to win in their last four matches heading into this fixture, collecting three draws and one defeat across that run, which underlines their current struggle to convert possession into results.

Nottingham Forest vs Brest Prediction

The bookmakers see Forest as clear favourites at around 51% implied probability, and the form data supports that view. Forest have won four of their last nine games and are playing at home, where they tend to be more structured and direct under Glasner’s system. Brest, meanwhile, have managed just one win from five and have drawn three times, pointing to a low-energy attack that struggles to impose itself.

We predict a Nottingham Forest win. The home advantage, the gap in recent win rates, and Brest’s tendency to sit deep and absorb pressure all point toward Forest finding a goal or two without facing too much threat in return. Brest’s draw-heavy form suggests they are capable of staying compact, but Forest’s directness in a 3-5-2 should eventually break them down.

Forest’s wing-backs in the 3-5-2 generate a high volume of wide deliveries, which tends to produce corner kick opportunities. Brest’s 4-1-4-1 is built to be defensively solid, but their discipline can lead to free kicks conceded in dangerous areas. Both sides have been relatively disciplined this pre-season, so yellow card volume should stay moderate. Forest’s passing game at home should give them a territorial edge, which further supports the corners market leaning their way.

Team Analysis

Nottingham Forest have played nine matches over the last 30 days, producing a record of four wins, four losses, and one draw. Their most recent result was a 2-1 victory over Bayer Leverkusen, which is an encouraging sign heading into this fixture. Before that, they suffered back-to-back defeats against Barcelona (0-1) and Udinese (0-1), then a heavy 1-4 loss to Sporting CP. The win over Leverkusen snapped a difficult run and showed Forest can compete when they are sharp and direct. Their 3-5-2 formation has been consistent across the last five matches, and the wing-back positions are central to how they build attacks.

Brest have been far less active, playing just five matches in the last 30 days with one win, one loss, and three draws. Their most recent outing was a 2-2 draw with Venezia, continuing a pattern of sharing points. Before that, they beat Stade Briochin 2-1, a result against very modest opposition. Earlier in the window they drew 3-3 with Guingamp, lost 0-2 to Al-Wakra, and drew 2-2 with Concarneau. The Al-Wakra defeat stands out as a poor result against a lower-ranked side and raises questions about Brest’s defensive concentration. Their 4-1-4-1 offers shape but the lack of wins against competitive opponents is a concern.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

These two sides have no significant head-to-head history to draw from at this point, making the upcoming match a largely fresh encounter. The only available data point from the head-to-head entry is the forthcoming fixture itself.

🚨Check out our dedicated Nottingham Forest vs Brest stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Nottingham Forest the Favourite

• Moneyline Nottingham Forest 1.83 | Brest 3.77
• Draw 3.87
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

Forest’s odds of around 1.83 reflect their home advantage and superior recent form fairly accurately. The draw price near 3.87 is worth noting given Brest’s tendency to draw, but backing Forest at that price in a home friendly feels like reasonable value. Brest at 3.77 looks too generous to ignore as an outsider, but their attacking output this pre-season does not justify chasing that price. The Forest win at around 1.83 is the most defensible position here, particularly with the clean sheet angle adding extra appeal.

Possible Starting Lineups

Nottingham Forest Possible Starting Eleven

Glasner has stuck with a 3-5-2 throughout this pre-season, and this lineup reflects the most likely arrangement based on squad availability and minutes distribution. Murillo anchors the back three and is one of the more important figures in Forest’s defensive structure, winning aerial duels and stepping into midfield when needed. Morgan Gibbs-White remains the key creative outlet in the middle third, capable of unlocking compact defences with quick combinations. Neco Williams and Ola Aina provide the width in the wing-back roles, which is where most of Forest’s attacking threat originates.

Brest Possible Starting Eleven

Julien Lachuer has used a 4-1-4-1 consistently, with Jonas Martin sitting as the defensive pivot and the midfield four working in a narrow block. Steve Mounié leads the line and will be Brest’s primary aerial threat, though he needs service to be effective. Mathias Pereira Lage on the right side is capable of driving forward and creating chances, and he is arguably the most dangerous attacker in this Brest setup when given space to run into. Marco Bizot in goal is experienced at this level and could be the reason any Forest lead stays narrow.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Nottingham Forest are the pick here. Their home record at the City Ground, the recent momentum gained from beating Bayer Leverkusen 2-1, and Brest’s inability to string wins together all point in one direction. Brest have drawn three of their last five, which tells you they are capable of making things difficult, but Forest’s 3-5-2 with active wing-backs should generate enough chances to find a winner.

We predict a 2-0 Nottingham Forest win. Brest’s lone forward will struggle to hold the ball against a three-man Forest defence, and without consistent supply from midfield, Brest’s attacking output should remain low. Forest to win to nil at around 1.83 is the main selection, with the corners market over 7.5 as a supporting angle given Forest’s wide play style and Brest’s tendency to defend deep and give away set pieces.

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