Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shanghai Port Prediction: 27 June 2026 Chinese Super League

Henan Songshan Longmen welcome Shanghai Port to Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium on 27 June in a Chinese Super League clash that carries real mid-table weight. Henan sit ninth with 20 points from 14 games, while Shanghai Port occupy tenth with 17 points from 15 outings. The gap is slim, and a loss for either side could seriously damage their top-half ambitions.

One player to track for Henan is midfielder Wang Shangyuan, who has registered an assist in recent games and contributes heavily to build-up play with over 70 passes per appearance. For Shanghai Port, defender Li Shuai has been surprisingly productive, contributing a goal from the backline and recording three offsides draws in his last two matches, showing his willingness to push forward.

Hot stat: Shanghai Port have kept an impressive 8 interceptions across their last match data sample, compared to just 4 for Henan, suggesting Kevin Muscat’s side disrupts opposition attacks more actively in the defensive phase.

Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shanghai Port Prediction

Henan have been the more consistent side over the past 30 days, winning two of their last three matches with a 67% win rate in that stretch. Shanghai Port managed just one win in the same period, with a draw and a loss. Daniel Ramos has his team playing with a clear structure at home, and that home advantage is reflected in the bookmakers’ numbers, where Henan are listed as the favourite at 43%.

We predict a Henan Songshan Longmen win here. Their home form is strong, their recent results show momentum, and Shanghai Port have struggled for consistency all season with only a 24% win rate across 21 matches. The 4-4-2 shape Henan have been using gives them width and directness, which tends to work well in home fixtures against teams sitting in a 5-4-1 block like Shanghai Port.

Henan average 11 fouls and carry 1 yellow card in the recent sample, suggesting a disciplined enough approach. Shanghai Port commit 9 fouls on average but have picked up 3 yellow cards, pointing to slightly more reckless challenges. Both teams show moderate pass accuracy, with Shanghai Port edging the possession metrics, but Henan’s directness in attack may prove more effective on the day.

The corner kick data is also telling. Shanghai Port have earned 16 corners across the recent sample versus Henan’s 10, meaning Shanghai generate more wide-area pressure. This could push the corners market over despite the defensive nature of their 5-4-1 setup.

Team Analysis

Henan Songshan Longmen have shown good form in their most recent run. They beat Jiangxi Lushan 2-0 in their latest outing, a clean and controlled performance that built on back-to-back wins over Beijing Guoan (2-1) and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (2-1). Before that, a 0-2 loss to Zhejiang Professional was the only blemish in a five-match stretch that included four victories. The win over Beijing Guoan, a side ranked 427th globally, stands out as a genuine quality result.

Shanghai Port have had a more mixed run. Their last match was a 2-1 win over Shanghai Segenda, which provided some relief after a 2-3 home defeat to Liaoning Tieren in the game before that. A 1-1 draw against Tianjin and a notable 1-0 win over league leaders Chengdu Better City earlier in the sequence shows Shanghai Port are capable of results against good opposition. The problem is they cannot string wins together, and that inconsistency has left them stranded in tenth place. Kevin Muscat has not yet found a reliable formula.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

The head-to-head record between these two clubs favours Shanghai Port historically, but the most recent meeting in 2026 went to Henan with a 2-1 result. That reversed a trend of three consecutive Shanghai Port wins, including dominant 3-1 and 4-1 victories in the 2025 season. The 2024 encounter ended 0-1 to Shanghai Port at odds that heavily favoured a draw, suggesting bookmakers have often underestimated the visitors. The 2026 reversal matters here because it shows Henan have addressed whatever structural issues plagued their earlier meetings.

🚨Check out our dedicated Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shanghai Port stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Henan Songshan Longmen the Favourite

• Moneyline Henan Songshan Longmen 2.20 | Shanghai Port 3.20
• Draw 3.40

The odds at around 2.20 for Henan represent fair value given their home advantage and recent form. Shanghai Port at 3.20 reflects their inconsistency this season, and to be honest, that price feels about right. The draw at 3.40 is tempting on paper given the tight league standings, but neither side has shown a tendency for draws recently. Henan have zero draws in their last three matches, and Shanghai Port’s single draw in that period came against a mid-table Tianjin side. We lean toward backing Henan at these odds rather than the draw.

Possible Starting Lineups

Henan Songshan Longmen Possible Starting Eleven

Daniel Ramos is expected to set his side up in a 4-4-2, matching their recent pattern. Shi Chenglong takes the gloves after accumulating the most playing time in goal. The back four picks itself based on appearances, with Iago Maidana and Lucas Jaques Varone Maia providing the central pairing. Wang Shangyuan is the creative hub in midfield, already contributing an assist in this run, and Zhong Yihao leads the line having scored once in the last two matches. Gustavo adds physicality and shot volume up front. Bruno dos Santos Nazário carries some disciplinary risk after picking up a yellow card, but his technical quality makes him hard to drop.

Shanghai Port Possible Starting Eleven

Kevin Muscat looks set to deploy a 5-4-1 shape, with Yan Junling as the clear first-choice goalkeeper. The five-man defensive line is anchored by Umidjan Yusup, who posts strong pass accuracy figures from deep, and Wei Zhen, who has two interceptions and a yellow card already. Li Shuai is arguably the most dynamic of the defenders, having scored and created multiple offside traps. Mateus Vital pulls the strings in midfield when available, and Liu Zhurun leads the attack as the lone striker, having contributed a goal in recent appearances. Zhang Yuan and Lu Yongtao both carry yellow card risk in the engine room.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Henan Songshan Longmen are the pick here. Their 67% win rate over the last 30 days, combined with a home record that includes wins over quality opponents like Beijing Guoan, makes them the side to back at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium. Shanghai Port have the better global club ranking and stronger possession metrics, but their 24% win rate across 21 league games this season tells a damaging story.

The most recent head-to-head in 2026 also went Henan’s way, and we see no reason to expect a different outcome. We predict a Henan win, with both teams finding the net, and the match staying under 2.5 goals total. The corner market, given Shanghai Port’s tendency to generate wide play, should also go over 9.5. Perhaps the most value sits in the Henan win to nil both halves market, but a straightforward home win is the core of the prediction.

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