Rafael Nogueira
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Both clubs share the same home city, making this Group Stage fixture a genuine Potosi derby played at the Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte. Nacional Potosi sit fourth with a game in hand on most of the group and own the best goal difference in the entire table, while their neighbours Real Potosi have struggled to turn draws into wins and now need a result to keep pace. The 2-2 draw these two produced in their last league meeting sets an obvious tone for a match where neither side defends particularly well.
Watch Weslen Junior for Nacional Potosi, he has 3 goals and 3 assists across his last 6 outings and drives most of the home side’s attacking play from a forward role. For Real Potosi, Luis Alí is the man in form, scoring 3 goals in just 5 appearances with a high shot volume that makes him their most direct route to goal.
Hot stat: Nacional Potosi hold the best goal difference of any team in the group stage (+6) despite having played fewer matches than the sides above them, a sign of how ruthless they have been in front of goal at home this season.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa de la División Profesional 2026, Group Stage |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte, Potosi |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Nacional Potosi vs Real Potosi prediction
We favour Nacional Potosi on home soil, but not by a wide margin. They have won 5 of their last 8 matches and their +6 goal difference across only 3 group games speaks to real attacking quality. Real Potosi arrive with 4 draws in their last 14 outings, a pattern that suggests they will make this competitive rather than roll over. Our pick leans toward a Nacional Potosi win combined with goals at both ends, given how open both defences have looked recently.
Nacional Potosi average around 11 goals in 5 matches while committing 54 fouls and picking up 15 yellow cards over that span, a fairly clean disciplinary record for an attacking side. Real Potosi foul more (63 fouls in 5 games) and have picked up 23 yellow cards, nearly double their rivals, which could hand Nacional Potosi extra set-piece chances near the box. Ball control edges toward Nacional Potosi too, their pass accuracy figures outstrip Real Potosi’s across the same sample, and that superior possession share should translate into more sustained pressure at home.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Nacional Potosi Win or Draw (Double Chance) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Nacional Potosi’s run of form reads well on paper, 5 wins from their last 8, but their most recent actual match ended in a shock 0-4 defeat away to Always Ready, snapping what had been a strong sequence. Before that setback they beat GV San Jose 3-0, Real Oruro 2-0 and Blooming 2-1, three convincing wins that show the attacking identity this squad carries into the derby. We expect the home crowd and a favourable matchup to help them bounce back quickly from that one bad night on the road.
Real Potosi head into this one on a mini upswing, their last match brought a 2-0 win over Real Oruro, following a 2-1 win against Oriente Petrolero. Before that stretch they lost 0-1 to Aurora and drew 1-1 with Guabira, results that highlight how inconsistent this side has been all year. Two straight wins give them momentum, but their overall record of 4 draws in the last 14 matches means backing them to win outright away from home feels like a stretch.
🚨Check out our dedicated Nacional Potosi vs Real Potosi stats page for more info.
Possible Starting Lineups
Nacional Potosi possible starting eleven
- DF: Oscar Baldomar, luis eduardo demiquel banegas
- MF: luis pavia, Juan Batista
- FW: Weslen Junior, Maximiliano Núñez, Maicon Solis, C. Abastoflor
Eduardo Villegas typically lines his side up in a 4-4-2, leaning heavily on a front line stacked with runners. Weslen Junior is the standout name here, his goal and assist numbers make him the focal point, while Maximiliano Núñez offers a physical presence up top alongside him.
Real Potosi possible starting eleven
- GK: D. Sandy
- DF: Kevin Alexander Villegas Saldaña, saul severiche, Anderson Brito, Fran Supayabe Alpiri
- MF: Erlan Boris Condori Galvarro, Cristian López, Hugo Rojas, J. Thomas, Jeferson Rivas Tirado
- FW: Luis Alí
Fabio Espada tends to set his team up in a 4-1-4-1, using Erlan Boris Condori Galvarro to shield the back four while Cristian López and Hugo Rojas link play forward. Luis Alí operates as the lone striker and is the man most likely to trouble the Nacional Potosi backline given his recent scoring rate.
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Nacional Potosi. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Nacional Potosi to edge this derby, perhaps not comfortably, but their attacking output and superior goal difference give them the edge over a Real Potosi side that draws too often to be trusted on the road. To be honest, the 2-2 scoreline from their last meeting suggests both defences will leak chances again, so goals at both ends look the safer angle alongside a home-leaning result. Our punters team backs Nacional Potosi Win or Draw with Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes as the value combination for this one.
