Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shandong Taishan Prediction: 30.06.2025 Chinese Super League Preview

With the Chinese Super League entering the heart of its regular season, the encounter between Henan Songshan Longmen and Shandong Taishan at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium promises both intrigue and opportunity. While both clubs have experienced inconsistency lately, there’s a tactical subtext here—Henan’s lively attack led by Frank Acheampong faces Shandong’s structured, if recently stuttering, rearguard. Not only are valuable points at stake for league positioning, but so too is the chance to inject momentum into the back stretch of their campaigns.

Frank Acheampong, with 3 goals in his last 3 appearances for Henan, will undoubtedly be a handful for the Shandong backline. And for the visitors, Carvalho’s rediscovered scoring form (2 goals in his last 2 games) will be key—his movement between the lines could trouble a Henan defence that’s yet to find real stability. In a match like this, individual spark and tactical discipline are likely to make all the difference.

For either side, the “hot stat” is Henan’s remarkable ability to find the net in high-pressure situations: they’ve scored 8 goals in their last five matches—twice netting three against top-five opposition. Can they unlock Shandong with the same clinical edge?

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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shandong Taishan prediction

Given recent form and both sides’ penchant for attacking football, the best value looks to be on a goal-filled spectacle—with a slight edge toward Shandong Taishan. Henan, buoyed by home support and Acheampong’s direct running, can trouble the best, but their defensive frailty (27 goals conceded in 15 matches) remains their Achilles’ heel. Shandong, while not as free-scoring lately, have resilience and higher technical quality in midfield, plus a proven scorer in Carvalho.

Both teams commit fouls at above-league-average rates (Henan: 39, Shandong: 31 over their last five), reflecting physical, pressing styles that could open transitional spaces and, potentially, lead to set-piece opportunities. The high fouls and yellow card counts could add volatility—one rash challenge tilting the match. Ball possession is fairly even, but Henan’s higher pass accuracy (83%) suggests they’re not afraid to play through the lines and will fancy their chances in transition, while Shandong’s recent struggles with ball retention may see them play a touch more conservatively, at least early on.

Team Analysis

Henan Songshan Longmen showed plenty of spirit in their last five, particularly in their 3-2 victory over Zhejiang Professional—a game shaped by dynamic wing play, quick passing in midfield and Acheampong’s relentless movement up front. However, defeat to Yunnan Yukun exposed defensive gaps, especially when forced to chase the game. Their pattern is clear: dangerous in possession, but far less assured without it. The 4-4-2 remains Daniel Ramos’s go-to, and while it facilitates attacking width, it leaves their defensive core exposed, especially late on.

Shandong Taishan come off a confidence-boosting 3-1 win over Wuhan Three Towns, highlighted by Carvalho’s sharp finishing and a much-needed injection of midfield composure from Peng Xinli. Still, the loss to Chengdu Better City was a reminder that defensive lapses can quickly unravel their structure. With a similar 4-4-2, Shandong has struggled with consistency but generally possess more control in the centre, which could prove decisive in stifling the home attack.

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🚨Read our full Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shandong Taishan stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Shandong Taishan the favourite

• Moneyline Henan Songshan Longmen 2.85 | Shandong Taishan 2.25
• Draw 3.75
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 1.95
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.72 | No 2.05

The bookies marginally favour Shandong Taishan, likely weighing their better season-long win percentage (50%) and Henan’s leaky defence. Odds for the home win aren’t drastic though—reflecting respect for Henan’s attacking threat, especially at home. With both teams doing their best work in transition and recent high-scoring affairs, the low odds on over 2.5 and both teams to score are well-justified. Neither side can be trusted to hold a clean sheet at the minute!

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Possible Starting Lineups

Henan Songshan Longmen possible starting eleven

This starting eleven sticks with manager Daniel Ramos’ trusted 4-4-2. Acheampong is the focal point; his pace and movement will worry Shandong’s centre-backs. Nazário offers creative thrust from midfield, and Maia provides defensive stability on the left. There’s youth and energy at full-back, but retaining shape under pressure is crucial—especially with Shandong’s threat on the counter.

Shandong Taishan possible starting eleven

Kang-Hee Choi is expected to stick with 4-4-2 as well. Carvalho will spearhead the attack with the in-form Liu Binbin operating as his supporting act. Peng Xinli’s control in midfield and Gazal’s steadying presence at the back stand out. Shandong’s lineup skews experienced, but balance between keeping the ball and pressing high will be vital if they’re to match Henan’s speed in wide areas.

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My take on the Match

We’ve seen in recent weeks that both sides are capable of the thrilling and the calamitous—sometimes within the same ninety minutes! Henan’s firepower at home keeps them in every game, and Acheampong’s current form could be a real leveller. Still, Shandong’s higher ceiling, classier midfield, and greater consistency on the road nudge this in their favour—though it’s a pick enjoyed by nerves, rather than conviction. My main pick: Shandong Taishan Draw No Bet and Both Teams To Score—yes. Expect a contest rich in goals, cards, and plot twists, as these two go all-in for a vital three points.

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