Sofia Quijada
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Racing Club welcome Boca Juniors to Estadio Juan Domingo Perón for a Copa Argentina quarterfinal that pits two very different runs of form against each other. Boca arrive unbeaten in eight matches, while Racing have lost three of their last five and looked shaky at home. The twist: Racing have not lost to Boca in six straight head-to-head meetings, a record that sits awkwardly against everything the current form table suggests.
Miguel Merentiel has scored in back-to-back Boca outings and remains the focal point of Arruabarrena’s attack, while Matías Zaracho carries most of Racing’s creative burden through midfield and will need a big performance to unlock a well-drilled Boca back four.
Hot stat: Racing Club have taken 7 goals off Boca across their last six meetings against just 3 conceded, a head-to-head trend that flatly contradicts the current gap in form and ranking between these two sides.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Argentina 2026, Quarterfinals |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Buenos Aires |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 22:00 CEST |
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors prediction
We predict a tight, low-margin affair that leans toward Boca on quality but not by much. Boca’s front three, Merentiel, Velasco and Flores, have combined for five goals and three assists in the last five games, and that kind of output is difficult for a Racing defense conceding regularly of late. Perhaps the smarter angle here, though, is respecting Racing’s h2h resilience rather than chasing the short Boca price outright.
Boca commit more fouls per match (58 over the last five games against Racing’s 37) and collect more yellow cards too, 12 versus 8, which points to a physical, stop-start contest once Racing get any foothold. Boca’s pass accuracy sits comfortably ahead (1919 accurate passes at a higher completion rate) and their corner count is marginally higher, both signs they will dominate territory even if the scoreline stays close.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Half-time/Full-time Draw/Boca Juniors |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Racing Club’s last outing ended in a 3-1 win over Sarmiento Junin, a result that snapped a three-game losing run and briefly steadied the ship. In our preview of Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin we backed Sarmiento to avoid defeat through a double chance and BTTS combination, and the 3-1 scoreline went against us on the double chance side, though the BTTS leg did land. Before that win Racing had lost to Huracan, Atletico Tucuman and Independiente Rivadavia, conceding at least two goals in two of those three games. The Sarmiento win came with plenty of shot volume but a conversion rate that still lags behind what a side of Racing’s stature should produce.
Boca Juniors closed out their last match with a comfortable 2-0 win over San Lorenzo, continuing a run that has not tasted defeat in eight games. In our preview of San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors we called a narrow Boca win via Draw No Bet paired with under 2.5 goals, and the 2-0 result delivered both legs of that combination cleanly. Before that, Boca drew with Sao Paulo and beat Central Cordoba 3-1, a run that shows a team scoring freely without leaking much at the back, a pattern that should worry Racing more than the league table gap already does.
🚨Check out our dedicated Racing Club vs Boca Juniors stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Boca Juniors the favourite
- Moneyline Racing Club 3.82 | Boca Juniors 2.06
- Draw 3.02
Bookmakers price Boca as clear favourites, and their form justifies it on paper. The gap between 2.06 and 3.82 feels a touch wide given how competitive this fixture has been historically, and Racing’s home comfort combined with their unbeaten h2h streak makes the draw price at 3.02 worth a second look for anyone hedging against the favourite.
Possible Starting Lineups
Racing Club possible starting eleven
- GK: Facundo Cambeses
- DF: Gonzalo Escudero, Marcos Rojo, Ezequiel Cannavo, Alfonso Espino
- MF: Matías Zaracho, Gastón Lódico, Diego Ulises Ortegoza, Leonel Pérez, Ignacio Agustín Rodríguez
- FW: Adrián Martínez
Vojvoda’s 4-2-3-1 leans on Zaracho and Lódico screening the back four while Ortegoza and Pérez support Martínez as the lone striker. Martínez has racked up the most minutes among the forward options and remains the man to watch for a Racing goal.
Boca Juniors possible starting eleven
- GK: Álvaro Montero
- DF: Lautaro Blanco, Lautaro Di Lollo, Marco Pellegrino, Dylan Gorosito
- MF: Leandro Paredes, Santiago Ascacibar, Tomás Belmonte
- FW: Leonel Benjamín Flores, Alan Velasco, Miguel Merentiel
Arruabarrena’s 4-3-3 keeps Paredes dictating tempo from deep, with Ascacibar and Belmonte covering the ground around him. Merentiel and Velasco up front carry the biggest goal threat and both have been directly involved in the majority of Boca’s recent goals.
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Boca Juniors. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Boca Juniors edge through to the semifinal, but not without Racing making them work for it. Boca’s form and finishing edge outweigh Racing’s shaky recent results, yet the head-to-head record and cup pressure suggest a tight scoreline rather than a rout. To be honest, backing Boca alongside BTTS Yes captures both the quality gap and Racing’s habit of finding the net against this specific opponent, a combination our team rates as the sharpest read on this quarterfinal.
