Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin SJ Prediction: 14 June 2026 Primera Nacional

Gimnasia Jujuy and San Martin SJ meet at the Estadio 23 de Agosto in a Primera Nacional 2026 matchup that carries real table weight. Gimnasia sit 5th with 27 points from 15 games, still in the promotion conversation, while San Martin occupy 17th with 20 points from 15 games and need results to escape the bottom third. The home side have scored 21 goals this season but conceded 18, making their defensive record a concern despite their attacking output. Francisco Molina has been Gimnasia’s most productive midfielder in recent weeks, contributing a goal and an assist across the last five matches, while San Martin’s Nazareno Fúnez leads their forward line with a goal and an assist in three appearances and will be the primary threat to watch on the visitors’ side.

Hot stat: Gimnasia Jujuy conceded 6 goals in a single match against Belgrano in their last five games, a defensive collapse that underlines how exposed they can be when pressed high.

Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin SJ Prediction

Gimnasia Jujuy carry home advantage and a stronger season record, but their last 30 days have been rough: one win from five matches, with three defeats. San Martin are marginally better in that same window at two wins from six, so neither side arrives in great form. The bookmakers favor Gimnasia at around 45% win probability, and we agree the home side are the likelier winners given venue advantage and league position, but the odds on offer around 2.10-2.15 reflect real risk given Gimnasia’s current dip.

Gimnasia average 28 corner kicks across their last five matches compared to San Martin’s 16, showing a significant difference in territorial dominance. Gimnasia also committed 13 fouls over five games with 12 yellow cards, suggesting a physical edge that sometimes tips into recklessness. San Martin’s data is sparse but their 10 yellow cards in five matches indicates they match Gimnasia’s aggression. Both teams play 4-4-2, so central midfield battles will dictate tempo. Gimnasia’s pass volume (333 passes, 251 accurate) shows they try to build through the middle, which could be exploited by San Martin on the counter.

Team Analysis

Gimnasia Jujuy’s last five matches paint a mixed picture. They opened with a 0-2 defeat to San Martin Tucuman, then drew 1-1 with local rivals Gimnasia y Tiro before beating Temperley 1-0. The standout result was a chaotic 4-6 loss to Belgrano, a match that exposed the backline badly. Their most recent outing ended 0-3 against Atletico Atlanta, who are second in the table, so context matters. Across these five games, Gimnasia managed only 41 shots total, which is modest, and their 28 corners suggest they press wide often. Coach Hernán Pellerano will need a sharper defensive shape at home against a San Martin side that can score.

San Martin SJ arrive off a 1-2 defeat to Temperley in their last outing, which followed a positive 2-1 win over Deportivo Maipu. Before that, they beat Almagro 2-1 and lost 3-4 to Platense in a high-scoring game, and drew 1-1 with Patronato. Three of their last five matches produced three or more goals combined, reinforcing the case for an open game. Gabriel Hachen and Nazareno Fúnez have each contributed a goal and an assist across the last three matches, giving coach Alejandro Schiapparelli genuine attacking options despite the side’s mid-table struggles.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

The two sides have met twice in recent years. Gimnasia won 1-0 in the 2024 Primera Nacional regular season and the 2025 Copa Argentina first-round tie ended 0-0, pointing to tight, low-scoring encounters historically. Bookmakers set both sides at 35% win probability for that Copa clash, reflecting genuine parity when they meet.

🚨 Check out our dedicated Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin SJ stats page for more info.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Gimnasia Jujuy the Favourite

• Moneyline Gimnasia Jujuy 2.12 | San Martin SJ 3.65 (avg)
• Draw 3.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 — approx 2.00 | Under 2.5 — approx 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — approx 1.90 | No — approx 1.90

The Gimnasia Jujuy moneyline around 2.10-2.15 is fair but not generous given their poor recent form. The draw at 3.00 deserves attention given two of the last three H2H results ended level or tight. San Martin at 3.60-3.75 is a long shot but not impossible given Gimnasia’s leaky defense. We find the most value in the BTTS Yes market and Over 2.5 goals, supported by both teams’ recent scoring patterns and the 4-6 and 3-4 scorelines appearing in their respective last five matches.

Possible Starting Lineups

Gimnasia Jujuy Possible Starting Eleven

Pellerano is likely to line up in the familiar 4-4-2 shape that has been used across all five recent matches. Milton Álvarez is the clear first-choice goalkeeper with four appearances. The defensive four picks itself based on minutes played, though Diego López’s limited data suggests he may be rotation. In midfield, Francisco Molina stands out as the most productive player with a goal and an assist, and his work rate across 334 minutes makes him a certainty to start. Mauro Daniel Cachi offers a goal and an assist from 200 minutes up front and pairs well with David Gallardo, who has featured in all four recent outings.

San Martin SJ Possible Starting Eleven

Schiapparelli also defaults to 4-4-2. Velazco takes the goalkeeping spot based on available data, though Lautaro Garzon has also featured. The back four builds around Emanuel Aguilera (250 minutes) and Federico Murillo (191 minutes) as the more established starters. Gabriel Hachen is the key man in midfield with a goal and an assist from three games, and Nazareno Fúnez leads the line with the same output. Bruno Juncos provides 186 minutes of forward presence and completes the front two. San Martin’s squad data is limited in detail, but this lineup reflects consistent appearances across the last three matches.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict a Gimnasia Jujuy win, but not a clean sheet. Their home record and league position give them the edge, and San Martin have lost three of their last five, including their most recent game. The H2H history is tight, but Gimnasia won the last Primera Nacional meeting 1-0 and carry the crowd advantage at Estadio 23 de Agosto.

To be honest, the more compelling market here is goals. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, Gimnasia conceding six in one game and San Martin shipping four in another. The 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2 setup leaves space in behind for both attacks. We predict Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes as the strongest plays, with Gimnasia Jujuy to win as the match result call.

• Match result: Gimnasia Jujuy Win
• Total goals: Over 2.5
• Both teams to score: Yes
• Total corners: Over 8.5

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