Liam Duckstein
England host Ukraine at Brann Stadion in Bergen on June 9th, with both sides having already played out their penultimate group stage fixtures. The Lionesses sit joint-top of League A Group C alongside Spain on 12 points, but their goal difference of +5 puts them behind Spain’s +13, meaning a big win here could still matter if the title race tightens. England already beat Ukraine 6-1 earlier in this very campaign, and the bookmakers see no reason for a different outcome this time around.
Watch Alessia Russo up front for England. She has been leading the line consistently and her physical presence against Ukraine’s stretched defence could be decisive early. For Ukraine, Roksolana Kravchuk is arguably their most active attacking presence, registering three shots in their last outing, though she managed just 57 minutes before being taken off.
Hot stat: Ukraine have conceded 16 goals in five group games this campaign, averaging more than three per match, making them the most porous side in the group by a considerable margin.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Women’s World Cup Qualification UEFA 2026, League A Group C |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 09.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
England (w) vs Ukraine (w) prediction
The case for a heavy England win is straightforward. Ukraine sit bottom of the group with zero points and a goal difference of -14. They have failed to score in four of their five matches and lost to Iceland, the third-placed side, in their most recent game. England’s only stumble was a 4-0 defeat to Spain, which was an outlier against an elite opponent. Against comparable or weaker opposition, Sarina Wiegman’s side has been clinical.
We predict England to win with a large margin and over 3.5 goals in the match. The 6-1 result from the reverse fixture gives a clear indication of the gap between these two sides. England’s passing volume is high and their defensive structure is tight, conceding just five goals across five matches, three of which came in a single game against Spain.
Ukraine commit fouls at a high rate and pick up yellow cards frequently. In their last recorded match data, they accumulated 12 fouls and three yellow cards compared to England’s four fouls and zero bookings. That aggressive, disorganized defensive shape tends to open space for a technically better side to exploit. England’s ball retention and pass accuracy, 303 accurate passes in their last game versus Ukraine’s 257, reflects a clear gap in composure and structure.
Corners could also be plentiful. England generated three corners in their most recent match, which was a 0-4 loss to Spain where they were largely on the back foot. Against Ukraine, expect them to dominate territory and generate significantly more set-piece opportunities.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | England Win to Nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 3.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
England’s recent run has been mixed in terms of raw results but highly context-dependent. Their four wins this year came against Iceland (twice) and Ukraine, with a tight 1-0 win over Spain sandwiched in between. The 0-4 loss to Spain in their last outing was a reality check, but Spain are the runaway group leaders and that result tells us little about how England will perform against bottom-placed Ukraine.
In their last match, England managed just three total shots and relied heavily on their defensive organization, recording 13 interceptions. The squad rotated, with several players logging limited minutes, suggesting Wiegman may have been managing the squad ahead of this final group game.
Ukraine’s campaign has been a difficult one from start to finish. They have lost all five matches, scoring just twice while conceding 16. Their most recent defeat came at home to Iceland, a 0-1 loss that effectively confirmed their exit from qualification contention. In that game, their midfield struggled to create anything meaningful, and defensively they were repeatedly exposed on transitions.
Anna Petryk picked up a yellow card and committed two fouls in that match, while Lyubov Shmatko logged the most passes for Ukraine with 60, yet only 42 were accurate, a 70% completion rate that highlights their struggles in build-up play. Coach Nataliya Zinchenko has few options to change the dynamic, and a trip to face England in the final round is the toughest possible way to close out the group.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | England (w) | Ukraine (w) |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated England (w) vs Ukraine (w) stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: England (w) the favourite
- Moneyline England (w) 1.01 | Ukraine (w) 61.00
- Draw 17.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
England at 1.01 is essentially a guaranteed return with almost no margin, which reflects the bookmakers’ near-total certainty about the outcome. To be honest, the value here is not in the match winner market at all. At those odds, you are staking a large amount to win almost nothing. The smarter plays are in the goals market or the Win to Nil option, where the odds are more generous and the rationale is just as strong. Ukraine’s inability to score across most of their campaign backs up the Both Teams to Score: No selection, and England’s firepower in front of goal supports the Over 3.5 total goals line.
Possible Starting Lineups
England (w) possible starting eleven
- GK: Anna Moorhouse
- DF: Lucy Bronze, Lotte Wubben-Moy, Esme Morgan, Niamh Charles
- MF: Keira Walsh, Georgia Stanway, Ella Toone
- FW: Lauren Hemp, Alessia Russo, Bethany Mead
England will likely line up in their familiar 4-3-3 shape. Keira Walsh anchors the midfield and controls tempo, while Georgia Stanway adds energy and box-to-box coverage. Walsh’s ability to dictate passing rhythm will be particularly important given Ukraine’s high foul rate. Alessia Russo leads the attack and should find plenty of space in behind Ukraine’s defensive line. Lauren Hemp on the left provides width and directness. Lucy Bronze and Esme Morgan offer defensive stability while also contributing to the attack down the flanks.
Ukraine (w) possible starting eleven
- GK: Kateryna Samson
- DF: Lyubov Shmatko
- MF: Nadiia Kunina, Anna Petryk, Roksolana Kravchuk
- FW: Inna Hlushchenko
Ukraine’s available lineup data is limited to six confirmed players from their last match, which makes a full eleven projection speculative. Based on appearances, Lyubov Shmatko is their most active defender, and Anna Petryk takes on a central midfield role despite her yellow card in the last game. Roksolana Kravchuk is the most forward-thinking player in their setup and is worth watching for any isolated moments of quality. Ukraine are expected to set up in a 4-3-3 or a compact 4-5-1 to absorb pressure, but their defensive record suggests that shape rarely holds for 90 minutes.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Ukraine (w). Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
England should win this match comfortably. The data from their five group games, their style of play, their squad depth, and the head-to-head result earlier in the campaign all point in the same direction. Ukraine have not won a single point this campaign and have shown no signs of finding a way to change that in the final game.
We predict England to win to nil, with over 3.5 goals scored. The match winner market at 1.01 offers no real betting value, but backing England to keep a clean sheet while scoring heavily is a reasonable proposition given Ukraine’s attacking output across the entire campaign. With Wiegman likely to field a strong side given England’s goal difference chase against Spain, expect a high-scoring and one-sided 90 minutes at Brann Stadion.
