Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Prediction: 28.12.2025 Premier League

With both teams residing in the mid-table mix of the Premier League, this late December clash at Selhurst Park stands as a pivotal test for Crystal Palace’s top-half ambitions and Tottenham’s quest to halt a worrisome slide. Fresh off a battling draw with Arsenal, Palace display resilience, while Spurs’ recent struggles reflect a side seeking stability under Thomas Frank. Notably, this fixture pits two progressive managers—Oliver Glasner and Frank—against each other, both known for tweaking systems to exploit opposition frailties.

Two key players to monitor are Palace’s Justin Devenny, who’s bolstered midfield creativity with two goals and an assist in his last five, and Tottenham’s Cristian Romero, a marauding centre-back whose brace and pacy recoveries have driven rare bright sparks for the visitors. Both managers must finesse squad rotations as injuries begin to mount during the congested winter schedule.

The “hot stat”? Tottenham have amassed 14 yellow cards in just five matches, underscoring a growing disciplinary issue that could influence both team selection and their approach to this fiercely contested London derby.

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Crystal Palace vs Tottenham prediction

The best value for punters in this fiercely competitive fixture appears to be backing Crystal Palace with a -0.25 Asian handicap. Given Palace’s solid form over the last month and home advantage, their sharp and high-pressing midfield has contributed to notable wins and hard-fought points—even against the likes of Arsenal. Tottenham’s defensive record, coupled with their frequent bookings, suggests vulnerability against teams adept at transitions and set-piece routines. Palace’s improved pressing could rattle a Tottenham back line that’s shipped 23 goals already.

Looking deeper, Palace average over 56 total fouls and 8 yellow cards across their last five matches—indicative of a combative but sometimes reckless style. Tottenham, not to be outdone, have committed 54 fouls and an eye-popping 14 yellow cards in the same window. High foul and card counts could disrupt the flow but also create set-piece scenarios, where Palace have thrived lately. Both sides average a near-identical number of corners (28 from last five), hinting at sustained attacking pressure but also some wastefulness in the final third. Expect another scrappy, high-intensity contest where midfield turnovers will be key.

Team Analysis

Crystal Palace’s recent spike in output culminated with a 1-1 home draw against title-chasing Arsenal—a result that both underlined defensive discipline and flagged some attacking inefficiency. Olvier Glasner’s charges outshot Arsenal, but their willingness to dig deep and block passing lanes showcased collective resolve. Before that, hiccups like the Leeds defeat (1-4) clearly rattled confidence but were counterbalanced by emphatic cup wins and a strong showing against Shelbourne. Their 4-2-3-1 formation benefits from width and directness through the likes of Yeremy Pino, but set-piece threats remain central to their scoring blueprint. Squad depth has allowed key midfielders, like Devenny, to take on advanced creative roles while the defence marshals threats with physicality, sometimes sailing close to disciplinary danger.

Tottenham looked toothless in their most recent 1-2 loss to Liverpool, conceding twice from defensive lapses before regaining some late composure. That result compounds a disappointing run where only a solitary win lifts their spirits. They persist with an adventurous 3-4-2-1 but often leave themselves open in wide areas, as evidenced by the Nottingham Forest 0-3 reverse. While the likes of Richarlison and Romero have offered moments of inspiration—indeed, Romero scored twice in the last five—Tottenham’s pronounced disciplinary issues (14 yellows, two reds in five matches) have hampered rhythm. Cohesion is still a work in progress; Tottenham’s passing in the final third often breaks down amid high pressing, and Frank’s side must tighten up to avoid more self-inflicted wounds.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Crystal Palace vs Tottenham stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Crystal Palace the favourite

• Moneyline Crystal Palace 2.30 | Tottenham 3.40
• Draw 3.30
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.04 | Under 2.5 1.82
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.91 | No 1.91

The bookies make Crystal Palace mild favourites, reflecting their superior form and head-to-head home record. Given Tottenham’s patchy away results and Palace’s robust homework, the odds for a Palace victory (ranging around 2.30–2.38) present genuine value. The draw is not to be discounted—both sides exhibit a nagging inconsistency, and their last few meetings have trended low-scoring, suggesting high draw potential. The BTTS market is delicately poised; both sides are struggling for creative solutions, so “No” is more appealing based on current output and discipline issues.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Crystal Palace possible starting eleven

Expect Glasner to opt for the familiar 4-2-3-1, blending stability at the back—with Lacroix and Guehi excelling as main stoppers—and guile in midfield courtesy of Wharton and Hughes. Wide areas will be patrolled by Pino, while Devenny pulls the strings in the No.10 pocket. The in-form Uche offers a potent presence up front, while Lerma’s ability to break up counters will be pivotal. Benítez’s distribution from the back has become increasingly important against Tottenham’s press.

Tottenham possible starting eleven

Frank’s reliance on a 3-4-2-1 setup will see Romero anchoring the defence, flanked by the ever-adventurous Porro and van de Ven. In midfield, Bentancur and Palhinha must balance creative duties and defensive cover, while Simons’ late runs are set to provide an attacking edge. Richarlison, as the lone striker, will look to exploit any lapses in Palace’s high line. Eyes should be on Simons (2 goals/1 assist in five) and Romero for their two-way impact.

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My take on the Match

Given current trajectories, Crystal Palace appear poised to edge this fixture—perhaps narrowly, but with enough tactical nous to exploit Tottenham’s persistent defensive wobbles. Palace’s set-piece threat and well-drilled midfield press may prove too much for a Spurs side that, for all its attacking potential, still lacks structure in transition. In what could be a fractious affair, a 1-0 or 2-0 Palace win looks the shrewd play. That said, Premier League unpredictability never fails to surprise, so one cannot discount the possibility of an explosive moment from Tottenham’s talented, if inconsistent, lineup.

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