Coquimbo vs O'Higgins Prediction: 13.06.2026 Chilean Primera Division

Coquimbo host O’Higgins at the Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso on June 13, with both clubs sitting in the top half of the Chilean Primera Division table and separated by just four points. Coquimbo arrive in strong form, winning five of their last seven matches, while O’Higgins have stumbled recently with three losses in their last five games. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in two of their last three home league outings, which makes their defensive shape one of the key factors here.

Nicolas Johansen leads Coquimbo’s attack with four goals in the last five matches and 11 total shots, making him the most dangerous player on the pitch. For O’Higgins, Francisco González stands out with two goals and three assists in four appearances, combining well with Arnaldo Castillo up front.

Hot stat: O’Higgins have attempted 87 total shots across their last five matches compared to Coquimbo’s 60, yet they scored only one more goal. That shot-conversion gap tells you a lot about the finishing quality on both sides and may keep the scoreline tight.

Coquimbo vs O’Higgins Prediction

Coquimbo are the clear pick here. They are at home, in better form, and their defensive numbers hold up well against an O’Higgins side that has been leaking results on the road. O’Higgins lost three of their last five, including a 3-2 defeat to Everton and a 3-1 loss to Boston River, so their defensive stability is questionable. Coquimbo’s 4-2-3-1 structure provides a solid base and enough attacking outlet through Johansen and Cristian Zavala to create consistent danger.

Both sides commit fouls at a moderate rate, with O’Higgins slightly more aggressive at 64 total fouls versus Coquimbo’s 57 across the last five games. O’Higgins also collect more yellow cards proportionally and have generated 46 free kicks to Coquimbo’s 35, suggesting they press high and risk more. That approach could open space for Coquimbo on the counter. O’Higgins’ pass accuracy is marginally higher (1485 accurate passes vs. 1439), but Coquimbo are more efficient with fewer shots and a similar goal return, pointing to better decision-making in the final third.

• Match Winner: Coquimbo
• Both Teams To Score: Yes
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Total Corners: Over 9.5

Team Analysis

Coquimbo have been one of the more consistent sides in the division over the past month, winning five of seven matches. Their last match was a 2-1 win over D. Concepcion, a side sitting bottom of the table, but Coquimbo still needed to work for that result against a team in poor form. Before that, they beat Limache 3-2 in a tight match and were knocked out of a cup tie by Club Nacional (0-1). The draw with Everton and the 3-0 win over Deportes Tolima show they can control games when the opposition allows them space. Gonzalo Flores has been reliable in goal with 12 saves over five matches, and the defensive unit led by Juan Cornejo, who contributed three assists from the back, gives Hernán Caputto’s side a well-rounded look.

O’Higgins come in on the back of a 2-1 win over Palestino, which snapped a run that included a 2-3 loss to Everton and a 1-0 home defeat to Universidad de Concepcion. Their 2-1 win over Millonarios showed they can compete in cup football, but the 2-3 loss to Boston River, a team with a mediocre recent record, is a red flag. Lucas Bovaglio’s side generate plenty of shots but lack the cutting edge to convert. Omar Carabali has been solid in goal with 13 saves, and the defensive pairing of Miguel Brizuela and Alan Robledo provides some structure, but the midfield can be bypassed too easily when O’Higgins are not compact.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨 Check out our dedicated Coquimbo vs O’Higgins stats page for more info.

The head-to-head record strongly favors Coquimbo. They won the last two meetings, 2-0 and 1-0, and drew the encounter before that 1-1. Coquimbo have not lost to O’Higgins in three straight H2H fixtures, and both wins came with a clean sheet. Bookmakers expected those matches to be competitive, and they were not, which adds further weight to Coquimbo’s home advantage here.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Coquimbo the Favourite

• Moneyline Coquimbo 1.77 | O’Higgins 4.10
• Draw 3.55

The 1.77 on Coquimbo at Everygame and Bovada is reasonable value given their home form, recent run of results, and the H2H dominance. The 53% average bookmaker probability for Coquimbo aligns with our own read of this match. O’Higgins at 4.10 reflects a side that has been inconsistent and scores against quality opposition only sporadically. The draw at 3.55 is the least attractive option given Coquimbo’s tendency to push for wins at home. We see the Coquimbo win as the best single-outcome bet, with the combined “Coquimbo win and BTTS” market offering more value for those who want a higher return.

Possible Starting Lineups

Coquimbo Possible Starting Eleven

Hernán Caputto is expected to stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has served them well in recent weeks. Gonzalo Flores is the first-choice keeper with 12 saves in five games. Manuel Fernández brings both defensive cover and attacking contribution, having scored once and assisted once from the left back role. Juan Cornejo’s three assists from defense highlight how Coquimbo build from the back. Nicolas Johansen is the main attacking threat with four goals in five matches and must be watched closely. Cristian Zavala offers a goal threat from wide positions, and Alejandro Camargo adds creativity through the middle.

O’Higgins Possible Starting Eleven

Lucas Bovaglio is likely to mirror the 4-2-3-1 shape. Omar Carabali holds the starting spot in goal, having made 13 saves in four matches, and he will be tested here. Francisco González is the standout player with two goals and three assists, linking play between midfield and attack. Arnaldo Castillo leads the forward line with two goals but has picked up three yellow cards in five games, putting him at risk of suspension if he is not careful. Thiago Vecino and Martín Sarrafiore provide width and creativity, but O’Higgins will need more defensive discipline to avoid giving Johansen too much room.

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The Verdict

Coquimbo are the right side to back here. They are at home, they have won their last two H2H meetings without conceding, and their form over the past 30 days (71% win rate) is significantly better than O’Higgins’ 40%. O’Higgins generate more shots but convert poorly, and their defensive record away from home has been leaky. We predict Coquimbo to win, with both teams finding the net given O’Higgins’ attacking quality through González and Castillo. A 2-1 or 2-0 scoreline looks most likely, and the corners market (O’Higgins average 6.8 corners per game in recent matches) supports an over bet on that line. To be honest, the value is not exceptional at 1.77, but the case for Coquimbo is clear enough that we back them with confidence.

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