Liam Duckstein
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Crvena Zvezda host Inter Escaldes at the Rajko Mitić Stadion with both sides sitting deep in the Conference League standings, a strange sight given how dominant the Serbian champions look domestically. Zvezda have won five of their last seven games in all competitions, yet in this league phase they sit 24th with a single point from two games. Inter Escaldes, a part-time outfit from Andorra, have lost both their opening fixtures and scored just one goal in their last five matches across all competitions combined. On paper this is one of the widest gaps on the entire league phase table, and the numbers behind it back that up.
Watch for Bamba Dieng up front for Zvezda, he has scored three goals in his last four appearances and looks sharp off the left channel. On the other side, Pablo Molina Serafín carries most of Inter Escaldes’ creative burden in midfield, he is one of the few players in their squad who has registered an assist this season, so any attacking spark for the visitors will likely run through him.
Hot stat: Crvena Zvezda have scored 12 goals across their last five matches, Inter Escaldes have managed just 1 in theirs, perhaps the clearest sign of the gulf between these two squads heading into Wednesday night.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Conference League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Rajko Mitić Stadion, Belgrade |
| 🗓️ Date: | 05.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:45 CEST |
Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Escaldes prediction
We predict a comfortable Crvena Zvezda win here, and we are leaning toward backing them with a goal handicap rather than just the straight moneyline given how short the odds already run. Zvezda’s home win rate this year sits at 69%, and their recent attacking output, 12 goals in five matches, dwarfs anything Inter Escaldes have shown on the road. To be honest, the gap in class between a Serbian giant and an Andorran part-time side rarely gets wider than this.
Zvezda’s style leans heavily on possession and pressing, their pass accuracy and interception numbers from the last five games are well clear of their opponent’s, and they commit fouls mainly in midfield duels rather than through reckless tackling. Inter Escaldes foul more per shot taken and have struggled defensively all season, conceding freely even against similarly ranked opposition. That combination, Zvezda’s control plus Inter Escaldes’ defensive fragility, points toward a one-sided, high-tempo match with goals arriving in bunches for the hosts.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Crvena Zvezda -2.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 3.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Crvena Zvezda’s last five results read like a statement of intent domestically: 5-1, 1-0, 2-2, 5-1 and most recently a 4-2 win over Macva. That draw with Copenhagen stands out as their only blemish in the run, and it came in this very competition. In our preview of Crvena Zvezda vs Copenhagen we called for a tight home win built on the hosts’ attacking edge, and the eventual 2-2 scoreline went against us as Copenhagen fought back twice. Against domestic opposition since then Zvezda have looked back to their ruthless best, scoring freely and conceding rarely, which bodes well heading into a fixture against a far weaker continental opponent.
Inter Escaldes have gone five matches without a win in all competitions, including a goalless draw with Penya most recently and a 1-1 stalemate against Santa Coloma before that. Their only real test against continental-level opposition came against Universitatea Craiova, where they lost 1-3. In our preview of Inter Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova we expected Craiova to win and keep a clean sheet, and while Craiova did take the points, Inter Escaldes still found the net, so the shutout half of our call missed the mark. That one goal remains one of the very few they have managed against sides above their level this season, and it underlines how hard they will find things against a side of Zvezda’s quality.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Crvena Zvezda and Inter Escaldes have no recent competitive meetings on record. This is the first time these two clubs have faced off, so there is no historical head-to-head pattern to draw on for this preview.
🚨Check out our dedicated Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Escaldes stats page for more info.
Inter Escaldes. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Crvena Zvezda the favourite
- Moneyline Crvena Zvezda 1.06 | Inter Escaldes 28.89
- Draw 13.11
Bookmakers price this about as one-sided as it gets, with Zvezda’s odds sitting close to 1.05 across most books and Inter Escaldes drifting beyond 25.00 nearly everywhere. Those numbers line up with the underlying stats: Zvezda’s home win rate, their recent goal output, and Inter Escaldes’ struggles in Europe all point the same direction. We see little value backing the straight win at those prices, the handicap and goals markets look far more rewarding here.
Possible Starting Lineups
Crvena Zvezda possible starting eleven
- GK: Savo Radanović
- DF: Yuta Nakayama, Franklin Tebo Uchenna, Mihailo Ristić, Matej Gashtarov
- MF: Rade Krunić, Aleksandar Katai, Timi Elsnik, Muhammed Cham Saracevic
- FW: Bamba Dieng
Albert Riera should stick with the 4-1-4-1 shape that has served Zvezda well in their last five games. Radanović has started most recently in goal, while Krunić anchors the midfield with his interception numbers standing out above anyone else in the squad. Katai and Dieng carry most of the attacking threat, and with Arnautović available off the bench, Zvezda have more than enough firepower to break down a tired Inter Escaldes backline.
Inter Escaldes possible starting eleven
- GK: Javier Díaz
- DF: Jilmar Steed Torres Martínez, Robin Hugues Lafarge, Marc Rodríguez Gelabert
- MF: Domingo Berlanga Ouggouti, Víctor Alonso, Juan Camara, Mamadou Lamine Diaby
- FW: Faysal Chouaib Hassany, Maurizio Pochettino, Soule Sidibe
Felip Ortiz typically sets his side up in a 3-4-2-1, prioritizing defensive numbers over the ball given how limited his squad’s attacking output has been. Díaz has made the most saves among the available goalkeepers and should start again behind a back three that has conceded heavily this season. Sidibe leads the line as the most direct outlet, but with Pochettino and Hassany both without a goal this term, scoring chances will be rare against a Zvezda side defending in numbers.
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Crvena Zvezda. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Crvena Zvezda to win comfortably, perhaps by something close to a 4-0 or 4-1 scoreline. Their attacking numbers over the last five matches, 12 goals compared to Inter Escaldes’ single goal, make this one of the clearer mismatches on the entire league phase calendar. Zvezda’s home form, their possession dominance, and their set-piece record all point toward a heavy win, while Inter Escaldes’ travel-worn squad has shown little capacity to trouble sides even at their own level recently. We are backing the hosts on the handicap, leaning toward over 3.5 goals, and expecting Inter Escaldes to struggle to register a single shot on target.
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