Liam Duckstein
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Lincoln Red Imps welcome Hajduk Split to the Victoria Stadium knowing that a point here would still feel like a small miracle given how the League Phase has unfolded so far. The Gibraltarian side sit bottom of the 36-team standings without a single point, while Hajduk arrive on the back of two wins from two and a genuine shot at a top-eight finish. What makes this fixture interesting is the gap in European pedigree versus domestic form: Lincoln have been winning plenty of games at home in Gibraltar recently, yet none of that form has translated once they step onto a continental pitch against sides with real squad depth.
Marko Livaja remains the player most likely to decide this game on his own, and Hajduk’s shape tends to flow through him whenever they need a goal. On the other side, Kike Gómez is Lincoln’s most dangerous attacking outlet and the one name capable of giving the hosts something to cheer in front of their own fans.
Hot stat: Lincoln Red Imps have shipped six goals in just two Conference League matches this season, a defensive record matched by only one other club in the entire 36-team League Phase table.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Conference League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar |
| 🗓️ Date: | 05.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:45 CEST |
Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split prediction
We predict a routine Hajduk Split win here, and the numbers behind that call are hard to argue with. Hajduk have won five of their last six matches across competitions, sit eighth in the League Phase with six points from two games, and have conceded just once in that European run. Lincoln, by contrast, have lost both of their continental fixtures by a combined score of 2-6 and have struggled badly once the opposition brings any kind of quality. Our staff lean toward Hajduk Split to win and cover a healthy goal margin, perhaps by two clear goals or more.
Style-wise, Hajduk are the far more physical and possession-dominant side. Over their last five matches they have racked up 71 shots compared to Lincoln’s 12, and their passing numbers dwarf what the Gibraltarians produce in a typical game. Hajduk also pick up more fouls and yellow cards per match, a sign of their higher pressing intensity rather than poor discipline, while Lincoln commit fewer fouls simply because they see so much less of the ball. That gap in control should translate into territorial dominance for the visitors from the opening whistle.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hajduk Split to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Lincoln Red Imps’ most recent outing ended in a 5-0 win over Hound Dogs, a result that flatters their current European standing more than it should. That scoreline came against domestic-level opposition, and it sits awkwardly next to their 1-4 defeat to Twente just weeks earlier in this same competition. The pattern across their last five games is clear: Lincoln dominate at home against weaker Gibraltarian clubs but concede freely once the level rises, having shipped six goals in two Conference League matches already. In our preview of Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente we called for a comfortable Twente win by at least two goals, and the 1-4 result backed that read up fully.
Hajduk Split’s last match brought a 5-0 demolition of Gorica, continuing a run where they have won five of their last six fixtures with the only blemish a 2-2 draw against Istra 1961. Their European form has been just as strong, with two wins from two in the League Phase and only one goal conceded. In our preview of Thun vs Hajduk Split we backed Hajduk to win away from home combined with under 2.5 total goals, and the eventual 1-0 scoreline matched that call almost perfectly.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Lincoln Red Imps and Hajduk Split have no recent competitive meetings on record before this fixture, so there is no head-to-head sample to draw from here.
🚨Check out our dedicated Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split stats page for more info.
Lincoln Red Imps. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hajduk Split the favourite
- Moneyline Lincoln Red Imps 7.90 | Hajduk Split 1.36
- Draw 4.78
The market gives Hajduk roughly a 70% chance of winning this fixture, and nothing in the squad depth or recent output suggests that number is wrong. Lincoln’s odds near 8.00 reflect a team that has looked completely outmatched whenever it has faced sides above the lowest tier of continental football this season, and we see no reason to fade the bookmakers here.
Possible Starting Lineups
Lincoln Red Imps possible starting eleven
- GK: Jaylan Hankins
- DF: Bernardo Lopes, José Manuel Martínez Oliver, Christian Rutjens, Julliani Eersteling
- MF: Mandi, Nano, Nicolas Sellassie Clara Pinto, Manuel Toledano Ortiz, Alvaro Romero
- FW: Kike Gómez
Lincoln should line up in their usual 4-2-3-1, with Mandi and Nano screening the back four and Kike Gómez leading the line as the club’s most reliable source of goals. Jaylan Hankins has carried the bulk of the goalkeeping workload and his shot-stopping will be tested early and often against a team used to generating 14 shots per game.
Hajduk Split possible starting eleven
- GK: Toni Silic
- DF: Dario Melnjak, Simun Hrgovic, Mathieu Acapandie, Dennis Hadzikadunić
- MF: Leander Dendoncker, Khalil Fayad, Alberto del Moral, Andelo Šutalo, Adam Huram
- FW: Marko Livaja
Gonzalo García should stick with the same 4-2-3-1 that has delivered consistent results, with Khalil Fayad and Leander Dendoncker offering defensive cover while Marko Livaja leads the attack. Dennis Hadzikadunić’s interception numbers make him a key figure if Lincoln try to counter on the break.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Hajduk Split. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a one-sided affair in Gibraltar. Hajduk’s shot volume, passing control and defensive solidity all point toward a comfortable away win, and the historical gap between the two sides in European competition supports that view fully. Lincoln’s best hope is probably a single goal on the counter, but even that feels optimistic given how often they have been overrun this season. Our pick is Hajduk Split to win, over 2.5 total goals, and both teams to score marked as no.
Read also: Europa League Betting Tips: 4 Picks — 05 November
Read also: Conference League Betting Tips: 4 Picks — 05 November
