Blackburn vs Millwall Prediction: 20.12.2025 EFL Championship Preview

A classic clash in the EFL Championship looms at Ewood Park as Blackburn welcome Millwall this December, with both sides jostling for position during a pivotal period in the campaign. Blackburn, guided by Valérien Ismaël, are eager to reverse their run of draws and losses, while Millwall, under Alex Neil, find themselves perched in the promotion-playoff mix after a steadier spell. This isn’t just a contest between two old-fashioned English outfits—it’s a fierce test of physicality, tactical nerve and, perhaps most tellingly, momentum.

For Blackburn, keep an eye on Andri Guðjohnsen. The Icelandic forward, who notched two goals in his last five outings, possesses the poacher’s instinct the Rovers are desperate for. In the Lions’ ranks, Femi Azeez stands out. With two goals and a tireless approach, Azeez offers Millwall both creativity and a raw edge in the final third, often sparking when games grow cagey.

Stat fans, take note: Millwall have managed 7 goals in their last 5 games compared to Blackburn’s 4, showcasing the Lions’ superior cutting edge in recent weeks.

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Blackburn vs Millwall prediction

After scouring the stats, form books and tactical profiles, the value pick leans towards a Millwall result—Double Chance (Millwall or Draw) offers proper value for the shrewd punter. Why? Blackburn have not tasted victory in their last five matches, struggling for both goals and composure at the back. Millwall, conversely, have picked up three wins in their last six, and look far more cohesive in both transitions and when under pressure.

Digging into discipline and playstyle, both teams aren’t shy of challenges—Blackburn collected 12 yellows to Millwall’s 9 in their last five, while fouls are consistently high: Blackburn at 60, Millwall at 61. Millwall enjoy higher interception and shot numbers, signaling their direct, ball-winning intent and willingness to shoot from range. Both sides are prone to midfield turnovers, but Millwall’s pressing is sharper. Ball possession may be close, but neither side is fully in control, as seen by pass accuracy hovering just over 68% for both.

In terms of set pieces, Blackburn edge Millwall for corners, though the Lions’ aggression (even picking up a red card recently) suggests this could get feisty. Expect a physical, high-tempo battle, but Millwall’s edge in final-third creation tips the scales.

Team Analysis

Blackburn recent games:

Blackburn’s winless streak now spans five matches, their most recent result a disappointing 1-2 defeat against Portsmouth. While the Rovers created chances, familiar failings haunted them: lapses in defensive concentration, an inability to take control in midfield, and a worrying lack of clinical finishing. Their previous draws—against Oxford United, Ipswich, and Wrexham—reflect this: promising patches of play, but little end product. The pressing is there, but goals are not, magnifying the reliance on Guðjohnsen and Ohashi to deliver.

Millwall recent games:

Millwall are riding a relative high, despite the recent 1-3 loss to Hull. They rebounded from it with energetic wins over Bristol City and Southampton, and a narrow victory over Sheffield Wednesday. Neil’s Lions are especially dangerous when carrying momentum, pressing high, feeding Azeez and Ivanovic through rapid transitions, and unfazed by physical contests. Even their 1-1 draw against Derby showed Millwall’s ability to scrap for results away from home. There’s a clear belief and sturdiness coursing through this side.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Blackburn vs Millwall stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Blackburn the favourite

• Moneyline Blackburn 2.20 | Millwall 3.40
• Draw 3.30
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.75
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.82 | No 1.98

On paper, the odds lean slightly towards Blackburn, perhaps reflecting the home advantage and market inertia rather than true form. The draw is priced competitively, acknowledging both teams’ recent penchant for stalemates. The bookies anticipate a tight, low-scoring affair, with Under 2.5 favoured—a view that matches both sides’ recent output and robust defensive shows.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Blackburn possible starting eleven

• GK: Aynsley Pears
• DF: Sean McLoughlin, Lewis Miller, Ryan Alebiosu, Yuri Ribeiro
• MF: Sidnei Tavares, Moussa Baradji, Ryoya Morishita, Taylor Gardner-Hickman
• FW: Andri Guðjohnsen, Yuki Ohashi

This expected lineup leans on recent form and manager Valérien Ismaël’s preferred 3-4-1-2, bringing discipline at the back and plenty of legs in midfield. Guðjohnsen is pivotal; his sharpness up front will be key, while Ohashi’s movement and work rate can unsettle Millwall’s organisation. Gardner-Hickman and Morishita provide much-needed energy. Pears in goal must step up after recent lapses.

Millwall possible starting eleven

• GK: Max Crocombe
• DF: Jake Cooper, Dan McNamara, Wes Harding, Tristan Crama
• MF: Alfie Doughty, Casper De Norre, D. Kelly, Thierno Ballo
• FW: Femi Azeez, Mihailo Ivanovic

Alex Neil favours the 4-2-3-1 that delivers balance and pressing power. Femi Azeez is the headline act up top, partnered by Ivanovic whose late runs from deep can decide matches. Doughty and De Norre give this side plenty of bite and guile in midfield. Watch for Jake Cooper both in defence and on set-pieces—never shy of a critical header.

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My take on the Match

These are two proud British sides, both desperate for three points in their respective quests—Blackburn to escape a slide towards the drop, Millwall to push their claim for the play-offs. While home form and crowd can buoy Ismaël’s men, the lack of goals and confidence is a stark warning sign.
Millwall, by contrast, have that all-important commodity: a winning habit. Their pressing, clinical finishing (with Azeez in particularly fine fettle), and tactical cohesion may see them have the final say, especially if the match opens up in the second half.
My main pick? Draw No Bet on Millwall or a cautious Under 2.5 on the goals market. Don’t rule out a cagey, attritional affair, but if anyone can snatch the three points here, the smart money goes to the Lions.

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