Liam Duckstein
Saudi Pro League action brings Al-Riyadh and Al Qadsiah together at the Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium in Riyadh. Both sides are in very different places this season, but what makes this clash intriguing is the stark contrast in their recent forms and ambitions. Al Qadsiah, guided by Brendan Rodgers, have established themselves as genuine title contenders, while Maurício Dulac’s Al-Riyadh face a relentless relegation battle. With so much at stake, eyes will be on Leandro Antunes for Al-Riyadh, who recently found the net twice in three matches, and Julián Quiñones of Al Qadsiah, a constant attacking threat and scorer of two in his last three.
Hot stat: Al Qadsiah average over 11 corners per match in their last five, a remarkably high tally that shows their attacking intent and wing play.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Saudi Pro League 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh |
| 🗓️ Date: | 29.04.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Al-Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah prediction
We predict Al Qadsiah to secure the win. The difference in quality, form, and squad depth is just too clear. Al Qadsiah have scored 67 league goals so far, their attack regularly breaks down low-block defenses like Al-Riyadh’s. Al-Riyadh, on the other hand, have only managed 3 wins in 18 matches this year, and their defense concedes almost two goals per match.
Expect Al Qadsiah to control the ball and tempo. Their midfield, led by Nahitan Nández and Musab Al-Juwayr, keeps possession well—pass accuracy stands at over 88% across the last five. Al-Riyadh struggle for long spells without the ball, and their discipline is questionable: 39 fouls and 7 yellows in five matches speak to their reactive, at times desperate, style.
Al Qadsiah play with width, generating corners and stretching teams. Their 33 corners in the last five matches is no fluke. Al-Riyadh’s attack is inconsistent, relying on Antunes and the odd direct ball. Given both teams’ foul and card count, expect plenty of stoppages and set-piece opportunities, but only one side is consistent enough to capitalize.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Over 10.5 corners |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 10.5 |
Team Analysis
Al-Riyadh’s most recent result—a 1-2 home defeat to Al-Hazem—sums up their year: short spells of attacking promise followed by defensive lapses. They have lost 16 of 29 league matches, and while Antunes remains their most reliable outlet, support is lacking. The midfield’s inability to retain possession puts them on the back foot. Their form guide reads as a scatter of draws and losses, with the odd win coming more from opponent mistakes than their own creativity.
Al Qadsiah come off a 2-2 draw with Al Shabab, a match where they dominated possession and created more clear chances. Quiñones and Bonsu Baah led the press, forcing errors. Al Qadsiah have suffered only three league defeats and remain unbeaten in the last three, showing resilience even when trailing. Brendan Rodgers’ system favors high pressing and direct transitions, and the team is disciplined—only 26 fouls and 7 yellows in the last five. Their 67 goals for and 31 against reflect the balance between attack and defense.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Al-Riyadh | Al Qadsiah |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 7 | 13 |
| Free kicks | 14 | 11 |
| Corner kicks | 4 | 8 |
| Total fouls | 15 | 11 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 74 | 88 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 9 |
| Offsides | 2 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Al-Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Qadsiah the favourite
- Moneyline Al-Riyadh 5.80 | Al Qadsiah 1.45
- Draw 4.90
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.70 | Under 2.5 2.10
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.00 | No 1.75
Bookmakers clearly expect Al Qadsiah to win, pricing them at 1.45. Al-Riyadh’s odds drift out to 5.80, a reflection of their poor win rate. The over 2.5 goals market sits at 1.70, suggesting confidence in another high-scoring display from the visitors. Both teams to score leans towards ‘No,’ which fits with Al-Riyadh’s struggles in attack against top-four sides. Our team sees little reason to challenge these odds; they align closely with both teams’ recent performance profiles.
Possible Starting Lineups
Al-Riyadh possible starting eleven
- GK: Milan Borjan
- DF: Yoann Barbet, Marzouq Tambakti, Mohammed Al-Khaibari, Sulaiman Hazazi
- MF: Antonio Jose De Carvalho, Victor Lekhal, Ahmed Al Syahi, Talal Riyadh Al Shubili
- FW: Leandro Antunes, Teddy Okou
This eleven maximizes recent appearances and tries to inject stability in defense and pace up front. Borjan remains the preferred option in goal, despite the defensive record. Antunes and Okou should lead the line, with support from Lekhal and De Carvalho. Formation likely stays at 4-2-3-1, with De Carvalho sitting deeper to shield the back four.
Al Qadsiah possible starting eleven
- GK: Koen Casteels
- DF: Nacho Fernández, Gastón Álvarez, Jehad Thakri, Yasir Al-Shahrani
- MF: Nahitan Nández, Musab Al-Juwayr, Ibrahim Mohannashi, Otávio
- FW: Julián Quiñones, Mateo Retegui
This side reflects Rodgers’ trusted lineup—Casteels anchors the defense, with Fernández and Álvarez offering stability. The midfield four deliver a mix of passing, pressing, and transition. Quiñones and Retegui lead a fluid front two, supported by Otávio’s runs from deep. The 4-2-3-1 or an attacking 4-4-2 hybrid is likely. Quiñones’ form makes him the standout to watch.
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Al Qadsiah. Source: Official X/Twitter. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Al Qadsiah to dominate the match from the first whistle, with their superior passing, attacking depth, and consistency. Al-Riyadh’s defensive issues and lack of attacking firepower make it hard to see them troubling Rodgers’ side for long. Al Qadsiah’s high number of corners and shots on goal point to another assertive performance. To be honest, anything but an away win would be a surprise.
