Wexford vs Longford Prediction: 20.06.2025 First Division Preview

Wexford face Longford at Ferrycarrig Park in what promises to be a pivotal clash for the First Division standings. With Wexford holding fourth place and targeting a playoff push, Longford’s struggle to get out of the bottom two and their recent winless run add a layer of urgency and intrigue to this matchup. Notably, Wexford’s attack has shown flashes of quality—particularly at home—while Longford’s issues in the final third have stalled their momentum all season.
Two key figures to keep an eye on are Wexford’s creative midfielder, pivotal in orchestrating attacks and recent game-winning moments, and Longford’s hard-working center-back, whose performances will be integral if the visitors seek to stifle Wexford’s attacking threats. Both players’ influence could tip the balance, especially in a match important for the playoff narrative.
Hot Stat: Wexford have only been beaten once in their last four home fixtures and average 1.4 goals scored per match at Ferrycarrig Park during that period—a clear comparison to Longford’s away record, where they have failed to win and averaged just 0.5 goals per match in their last four on the road.

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Wexford vs Longford prediction

Given the contrast in form and efficiency in attack, Wexford emerge as the strong play in this matchup. The betting markets, with odds averaging 1.56 on Wexford to win, are heavily siding with the home team, which is justified by Wexford’s superior recent results and notably better goal output, especially in front of their own supporters. Longford, without a win in their last four and struggling to find the net with just two goals in five games, look unlikely to cause an upset based on recent evidence.
Wexford’s tactical approach, usually lining up in a balanced 4-4-2, prioritizes possession and transitions quickly through midfield, which has contributed to their above-average number of attacking moves per game. Their discipline is decent, picking up seven yellow cards but no reds in their last five matches; this suggests aggressive pressing but within control. Longford utilize a 3-5-2 formation, aiming for width but often conceding ground in midfield and lacking clinical finishers, reflected in high concession and a low goal tally. With their discipline tested (eight yellows and one red over the last five), there’s also risk of losing shape under pressure.
Expect Wexford to dominate possession and put Longford’s defense under sustained pressure. An Asian Handicap play on Wexford, betting on a win by at least one goal, or Draw No Bet for safety, looks like the best value.

Team Analysis

Wexford Recent Games

Wexford’s form is building positively, having lost just once in their last four fixtures. Their most recent game was a 1-1 draw with Finn Harps—a match where they dominated possession and created more high-quality scoring chances but struggled to convert beyond their early opening. Before that, a tight 2-3 loss to league leaders Dundalk showcased resilience against top opposition, while wins over Bray (2-1) and another home draw against Kerry (1-1) highlight their well-rounded performances. Consistently, Wexford are able to score yet have found clean sheets elusive.

Longford Recent Games

Longford remain winless in their last four, most recently coming off a 1-1 home draw with Cobh Ramblers. They fought hard after conceding and showed some spark late on, yet their inability to capitalize on opportunities has become a recurring problem. A disappointing 0-2 defeat to Kerry away and a heavy 1-5 home loss to Treaty United underscore their defensive vulnerabilities, and a goalless draw against Finn Harps did little to change perceptions about their ability to influence games offensively. With only two goals scored and eight conceded in the last five, attacking improvements are urgently needed.

Possible Starting Lineups

🚨Read our full Wexford vs Longford stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Wexford the favourite

• Moneyline Wexford 1.56 | Longford 4.60
• Draw 3.85
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.75

With Wexford priced as odds-on favourites, the market clearly favours the home side, reflecting their superior form and attacking output. The draw is seen as a distant possibility, with Longford a clear underdog on current form. The goal lines suggest it could be a cagey game with unders in play: Longford’s away struggles are well-documented, while Wexford are relatively measured offensively. Both teams to score is considered marginal, leaning slightly towards “No” given Longford’s poor attacking record.

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The Verdict

The data is overwhelmingly in favour of Wexford, especially factoring in home advantage, superior scoring record, and a Longford side that have not managed a win across their last four outings. Wexford’s sharper attack, greater squad stability, and the bookmakers’ clear preference suggest a home win is the smart play here. Backing Wexford on the Asian Handicap -1 is my top recommendation, with under 2.5 goals another angle for those expecting a more controlled contest. Unless Longford find a way to shore up their defense and offer more up front, it’s hard to look past three points for the hosts.

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