Liam Duckstein
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Albania arrive at this Nations League fixture at the top of League C Group 1, with four wins from five matches and a commanding goal difference. Belarus sit second on 10 points and still have a path to the group summit. The match takes place at the Illovszky Rudolf Stadion in Budapest, a neutral venue that removes home advantage from the equation.
The head-to-head record gives Albania the edge. Their earlier meeting in this group ended 2-0 in their favour, with Belarus failing to register a shot on target that counted. We expect a similar shape here, with Albania controlling possession and Belarus looking for openings on the break.
Albania rely on Kristjan Asllani to control the tempo from deep. He completed 65 of 75 passes in the reference match and made two interceptions, which makes him the link between defence and attack. Belarus will look to Artem Kontsevoy, who scored in the same fixture and offers the most direct threat in the final third.
Albania scored ten goals in five group matches, which is the best return in the section. That attacking output is the outstanding statistic from their recent work, and it explains why they remain the side to beat in this group.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League C Group 1 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest |
| 🗓️ Date: | 15.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Belarus vs Albania prediction
We predict an Albania win, and we back it to come without conceding. The bookmakers rate Albania at 49 percent, and our reading of the data supports that number. Albania have conceded only three goals in five matches, while Belarus have scored just two in the same span. A team with that defensive record should not struggle to keep Belarus out.
Albania to win to nil is our preferred angle. It rewards the defensive structure and avoids the risk of a late Belarus consolation. The odds sit around 1.90 for the Albania win, so the return on the more specific angle is worth the stake.
Belarus commit more fouls than Albania, with 22 against 15 in the reference match, and they picked up no yellow cards in that game compared with one for Albania. The extra fouls suggest Belarus will be forced to defend deep for long periods, which plays into the hands of a side that keeps the ball well. Albania completed 517 passes in that match, and their control should give them the territorial edge. We expect Belarus to sit in a compact block, which means fewer shots and fewer open chances for both teams.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Albania to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 10.5 |
Team Analysis
Belarus come into this match on the back of a 2-0 win over San Marino. They have won three of their last five, with the most recent result adding momentum. Their only defeat in that run came against Albania, and their attack has been productive enough to score seven times in the group. We expect them to be more compact here than they were in the San Marino win, since Albania possess far better quality.
In our preview of San Marino vs Belarus we called a comfortable Belarus win, and the 2-0 result delivered the victory. The two-goal total fell short of the higher scoring we suggested, so only the main call landed in full.
Albania have won four of their last five and their last match was a 2-0 home win over Finland. They have shown they can grind out results against disciplined opponents, and they carry the confidence of a side that concedes rarely. Their form dipped earlier in the sequence, but the recent run has been strong enough to justify their place at the top of the table.
In our preview of Albania vs Finland we called an Albania win with under 2.5 goals, and the 2-0 result delivered the main call. The exact 2-1 scoreline did not arrive, but the low-scoring shape we expected did.
🚨Check out our dedicated Belarus vs Albania stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Albania the favourite
- Moneyline Belarus 3.95 to 4.40 | Albania 1.82 to 1.96
- Draw 3.20 to 3.36
Albania sit around 1.90 across most bookmakers, which reflects a 49 percent implied probability. Belarus at roughly 4.20 implies 22 percent, and the draw near 3.30 implies 28 percent. We think the market has priced this correctly. Albania deserve the favourite label, but the draw price looks slightly short given how often this group has produced tight results.
Possible Starting Lineups
Belarus possible starting eleven
- GK: Fedor Lapoukhov
- DF: Zakhar Volkov, Kirill Pechenin, Kirill Gomanov
- MF: Vladislav Kalinin, Valery Bocherov, Max Ebong, Aleksandr Selyava, Valeri Gromyko, Aleksandr Svirepa
- FW: Artem Kontsevoy
This selection follows the players who logged the most minutes in the reference match. Volkov and Pechenin were ever-present at the back, and Gomanov offered a goal and an assist from the back line. We expect a 3-4-2-1 shape, with Kalinin and Svirepa providing width and Kontsevoy leading the line alone. Kontsevoy is the player to watch, since he is the only recent scorer in the attack.
Albania possible starting eleven
- GK: Etrit Berisha
- DF: Elseid Hysaj, Berat Djimsiti, Ardian Ismajli, Mario Mitaj
- MF: Kristjan Asllani, Qazim Laci, Ernest Muci, Ylber Ramadani, Juljan Shehu
- FW: Rey Manaj
Albania line up in a 4-1-4-1 shape, which has been their most frequent setup. Asllani sits in front of the back four and dictates the pace of play. Muci brings goal threat from midfield, and Manaj is the focal point up front after scoring in the reference match. Mitaj completed 72 passes, so he will be important in building play from the back.
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Albania. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Albania should win this match by a single goal, perhaps 1-0 or 2-0. Their attack has been productive enough, and their defence has been the best in the group. Belarus have the energy to press, but they have struggled to create consistent chances against stronger sides.
Our call is Albania to win to nil, with under 2.5 goals and no BTTS. The stats support a cautious game with limited chances at both ends.
