Liam Duckstein
The Turkish Cup final brings Trabzonspor and Konyaspor to a neutral ground in Bergen, Norway an unexpected venue for two Turkish sides and an intriguing twist for both teams and their fans. With silverware on the line, every detail could swing the result. Trabzonspor, historically the stronger club and boasting a higher world ranking, face a Konyaspor side with more recent wins. Both clubs have relied on their attacking midfielders for game-changing moments. Ernest Muci for Trabzonspor has netted twice in his last five outings, while Berkan Kutlu’s four goals for Konyaspor in just three matches mark him as a game-shaper. These individuals, alongside the tactical approach of their respective coaches, make this showdown difficult to call.
A hot stat stands out: Konyaspor have scored in every one of their last five matches no draws, only decisive outcomes, and a goal tally that edges Trabzonspor in that span.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Turkish Cup 2025/26 Final |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 22.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:45 CEST |
Trabzonspor vs Konyaspor prediction
We predict Trabzonspor to edge this final. The bookmakers see them as favorites, and our team agrees. Trabzonspor have a 48% win probability, and their ability to control games in midfield and convert chances should help them capitalize in a tense final. Konyaspor’s lack of draws suggests they will attack, but their defensive discipline has wavered evidenced by a higher tally of yellow cards and fouls compared to Trabzonspor.
Ball retention will be crucial. Trabzonspor’s superior passing accuracy (86.6% vs Konyaspor’s 79.3% in recent matches) and higher number of passes hint at a possession-based approach. Konyaspor’s aggression, reflected in their fouls and cards, could create set-piece opportunities for Trabzonspor. Discipline issues might see Konyaspor down a key player or concede dangerous free kicks.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Trabzonspor to win & Over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Trabzonspor’s last match saw a surprising 0-3 defeat against Genclerbirligi. Fatigue or pressure may have played a role, but before that, they notched important wins over Besiktas and Genclerbirligi and managed a draw against Goztepe. The team’s overall form this year stands at 65% winrate. Their attack features Muci and Zubkov, both able to break through tight defenses, but defensive lapses have cropped up recently, raising questions about backline consistency.
Konyaspor, on the other hand, lost 1-2 to Kayserispor in their last outing. Still, their streak shows a readiness to chase results, with 4 wins in the last 7 matches and a 57% winrate in the last month. Berkan Kutlu’s emergence as a scoring threat, plus contributions from Bardhi and Jin-ho Jo, keep their offense lively. The side has shown both resilience and vulnerability big wins balanced by heavy defeats, including a 0-3 loss to Fenerbahce.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Trabzonspor | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 88 | 68 |
| Corner kicks | 30 | 29 |
| Total fouls | 65 | 84 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 87 | 79 |
| Interceptions | 47 | 66 |
| Offsides | 7 | 9 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Trabzonspor vs Konyaspor stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Trabzonspor the favourite
- Moneyline Trabzonspor 1.99 | Konyaspor 3.59
- Draw 3.68
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.75
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.90
The odds reflect the bookmakers’ faith in Trabzonspor’s edge, yet Konyaspor’s attacking form shouldn’t be dismissed. Over 2.5 goals sits at a solid price, matching both teams’ recent scoring patterns. BTTS markets are nearly balanced, a sign of confidence in both attacks. Draw odds are relatively high, mirroring the rarity of stalemates between these sides.
Possible Starting Lineups
Trabzonspor possible starting eleven
- GK: André Onana
- DF: Wagner Pina, Chibuike Nwaiwu, Mathias Lovik, Mustafa Eskihellaç
- MF: Ozan Tufan, Benjamin Bouchouari, Tim Jabol-Folcarelli, Christ Inao Oulaï
- FW: Ernest Muci, Felipe Augusto
This eleven reflects the most consistent performers in the last five matches. Onana’s experience in goal adds calm, while Pina and Nwaiwu provide steel at the back. Bouchouari and Tufan anchor midfield, supporting Muci and Augusto, both recent scorers. Trabzonspor are expected to stick to their 4-2-3-1 shape, balancing control and pace. Muci is the main threat to Konyaspor’s defense.
Konyaspor possible starting eleven
- GK: Deniz Ertas
- DF: Yasir Subaşı, Yhoan Andzouana, Adil Demirbağ, Rayyan Baniya
- MF: Berkan Kutlu, Marko Jevtović, Jin-ho Jo, Enis Bardhi, Sander Svendsen
- FW: Kazeem Olaigbe
Konyaspor’s likely lineup relies on consistency and emerging stars. Ertas has been steady between the posts. Andzouana’s recent goal-scoring from defense could be a wildcard. Kutlu, on his scoring run, is the one to watch, while Bardhi’s set-piece skills offer extra danger. Expect their standard 4-2-3-1 to try to disrupt Trabzonspor’s passing rhythm and play aggressively in midfield.
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Trabzonspor. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Trabzonspor will win the Turkish Cup final, with goals from both sides. Their superior ball control, better passing metrics, and lower fouls put them in a position to control the tempo. Konyaspor will make it a contest, especially with Kutlu’s form, but defensive frailty and discipline issues could cost them. Expect an open game with goals and drama, but Trabzonspor’s quality should shine through.
