Liam Duckstein
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Torino welcome Como to Turin on the back of three straight wins, yet find themselves facing the division’s form side in disguise. Como sit fourth in Serie A with 17 points from eight games, a tally built on Cesc Fàbregas turning a mid-table squad into one of the league’s sharpest attacking units. The interesting wrinkle here is the recent head-to-head record: Como have scored twelve goals and conceded just two across the last four meetings between these clubs, a gap that feels completely at odds with Torino’s current momentum.
Nico Paz has been the engine behind Como’s rise, contributing three goals and two assists in his last five appearances while dictating tempo through the middle. For Torino, Giovanni Simeone remains the man to watch, with two goals and an assist in his last three outings and a knack for showing up in the box when his side need a finish.
Hot stat: Como have fired 71 shots across their last five matches, nearly double Torino’s 38, and they have done it while completing passes at roughly 90% accuracy compared to Torino’s 81%. That volume and precision gap says plenty about who controls games right now.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Torino vs Como prediction
We predict a Como win, and the value lies in backing them to win with both teams scoring rather than a straight moneyline bet. Torino have won three on the bounce, but those victories came against Udinese, Parma and Monza, three sides sitting in the bottom half of the table. Como have taken points off Roma and pushed Feyenoord close, evidence of a squad that competes at a higher level than most of Torino’s recent opponents.
Style-wise, Como are the busier, more physical side in possession. They have picked up 11 yellow cards in their last five matches against Torino’s three, and they commit more fouls per game (63 versus 28), a sign of a team that presses hard and wins the ball back aggressively. Torino’s pass accuracy trails Como’s by nearly nine points, which could matter once Como start dictating tempo in midfield. Perhaps Torino’s home advantage keeps this tighter than the head-to-head numbers suggest, but we lean Como to edge it.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Como win & BTTS |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Torino arrive full of confidence after beating Monza 3-2, Parma 3-0 and Udinese 2-1 in succession, a run that lifted them to seven wins in their last nine competitive fixtures overall. The Monza win was scrappy at the back, conceding twice despite the three-goal haul, which hints at defensive gaps that a sharper attack like Como’s could exploit. Before that stretch, Torino drew 1-1 with Bologna and lost 0-2 to Roma, so the current form represents a genuine upturn rather than season-long dominance. In our preview of Torino vs Monza we backed the home side to win with goals at both ends, and the eventual 3-2 scoreline delivered exactly that outcome.
Como have been just as busy, winning three of their last five while also handing Manchester United a 4-1 defeat in a standout midweek friendly. Their most recent competitive result, a 2-0 win over Sassuolo, kept their push for a European spot alive and extended Nico Paz’s run of involvement in goals. The only blemish in that stretch was a 2-3 loss to Feyenoord, showing Como can be got at when they leave gaps in transition. In our preview of Como vs Sassuolo we called a comfortable Como win built on their attacking numbers, and the 2-0 result confirmed that call even if the game stayed tighter on goals than our secondary markets suggested.
🚨Check out our dedicated Torino vs Como stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Como the favourite
- Moneyline Torino 4.60 | Como 1.76
- Draw 3.60
The market leans heavily toward Como, and the numbers back that up. Bookmakers give Torino roughly a one-in-five shot at the win, while Como sit close to even money favourites across nearly every book we track. Pinnacle, usually the sharpest line in the market, prices Como at 1.76, which lines up with their superior underlying numbers in shots, passes and recent quality of opposition. We see little reason to fade that price, though a small draw hedge wouldn’t surprise our punters team given Torino’s recent confidence at home.
Possible Starting Lineups
Torino possible starting eleven
- GK: Lucas Perri
- DF: Saúl Coco, Pietro Comuzzo, Ardian Ismajli, Rafik Belghali
- MF: Rolando Mandragora, Cesare Casadei, Nikola Vlašić, Gaetano Oristanio, Gvidas Gineitis
- FW: Giovanni Simeone
Abate should stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has delivered three straight wins. Belghali’s attacking output from fullback, two assists and a goal in his last three appearances, gives Torino width, while Simeone leads the line as the clear focal point up front. Vlašić’s role just behind him will decide how much service the striker gets against a Como side that likes to press high.
Como possible starting eleven
- GK: Jean Butez
- DF: Yan Couto, Marc-Oliver Kempf, Ivan Smolcic, Álex Valle
- MF: Maximo Perrone, Samuele Ricci, Nico Paz, Martin Baturina, Maxence Caqueret
- FW: Anastasios Douvikas
Fàbregas also favours a 4-2-3-1, with Perrone and Ricci screening the back four while Nico Paz operates centrally between the lines. Douvikas has scored five goals in his last five games and should test an Torino back line that has looked shaky in the final third of recent wins. Caqueret’s two assists in four appearances make him worth watching off the bench or in the starting XI depending on fitness.
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Como. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Torino’s three-match winning run looks good on paper, but the quality of opposition matters. Como have scored more, created more and faced tougher tests over the same period, and their head-to-head record against this exact opponent borders on dominant. We predict Como to win this one, with goals likely at both ends given Torino’s tendency to concede even in victories. To be honest, a repeat of last season’s one-sided scorelines seems unlikely with Torino playing at home and full of confidence, but we expect Como’s class to show through in a tight, open contest.
