Liam Duckstein
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Como welcome Sassuolo to the Sinigaglia on the back of a flying start under Cesc Fàbregas, sitting fifth in Serie A after seven rounds. Sassuolo arrive in rough shape, winless in their last three outings and stuck in the bottom half under Alberto Aquilani. The gap in form between these two sides right now is wide, and the shot numbers from the last five matches back that up almost perfectly.
Como have doubled Sassuolo’s shot output across their last five games, and that attacking volume is the story heading into this one. Fàbregas has built a side that controls possession and creates chances in bunches, while Sassuolo have looked short of ideas going forward away from home.
Nico Paz has been Como’s standout performer, with three goals and two assists in his last four appearances, pulling strings from midfield with real quality on the ball. On the other side, Domenico Berardi remains Sassuolo’s biggest individual threat, a player capable of changing a game from nothing even when his team is struggling collectively.
Hot stat: Como have fired 57 shots across their last five matches compared to just 24 from Sassuolo, while outscoring them 9-3 in that same stretch. That gulf in attacking production is hard to ignore when assessing this fixture.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Como vs Sassuolo prediction
We predict a comfortable Como win here. Fàbregas’s side have scored nine goals in five matches and sit fifth in the table on merit, while Sassuolo have managed just three goals and zero wins in their own last five. The home crowd at Sinigaglia and Como’s control of the ball should see them dominate large stretches of this match.
Perhaps the more interesting angle is the goals market rather than the straight win bet. Como’s attack has been relentless, but their defense has also conceded in recent weeks, which opens the door for Sassuolo to nick a goal or two of their own through Berardi or Esposito. Como average far higher pass accuracy and fewer fouls per match than Sassuolo, who tend to commit more cards and concede more free kicks in dangerous areas, something Como’s set-piece takers could exploit.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Como to win & over 3.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Como go into this one unbeaten in their last meaningful run, headlined by a 4-1 demolition of Manchester United in their most recent outing. That win followed a 3-1 defeat of Fiorentina and a narrow 2-3 loss to Feyenoord, showing a team capable of scoring freely against varied opposition. A 0-0 draw with Roma and a 0-2 loss to Frosinone remind us Como can still go quiet against well-organized defenses, but the overall trend points firmly upward. In our preview of Como vs Manchester United we backed the home side to win with both teams scoring and the total going past 2.5 goals, and the eventual 4-1 scoreline delivered on every part of that call, even if the margin ended up wider than the single-goal edge we initially floated.
Sassuolo’s recent form tells a different story entirely. Their last match saw them beaten 4-2 by Frosinone in a game that swung wildly from start to finish, following a 1-1 draw with Milan, a 1-2 loss to Monza, a 3-2 win over Juventus and a 2-2 draw with Bologna. That is one win from five, and the defensive numbers in that span, conceding multiple goals in four of those five matches, are a genuine concern against a Como side this sharp in front of goal. In our preview of Frosinone vs Sassuolo we gave Frosinone the narrow edge with goals at both ends, and while the eventual 4-2 scoreline went further than the tight margin we expected, the home win and the goals both landed as called.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two have met three times in the past year or so, with Como winning twice and Sassuolo taking one. Como beat Sassuolo 3-0 in the Coppa Italia and 2-0 in last season’s Serie A meeting, while Sassuolo claimed a 2-1 win in their other league clash. Detailed shot-by-shot and passing data from those specific fixtures was not made available for this preview, so we are keeping this section focused on the scorelines rather than padding it with numbers we cannot confirm.
🚨Check out our dedicated Como vs Sassuolo stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Como the favourite
- Moneyline Como 1.47 | Sassuolo 5.50
- Draw 4.75
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.75 | Under 2.5 2.05
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.80 | No 1.95
The market lines up almost exactly with what the stats say. Como at 1.47 reflect a team on a strong run at home against opposition that has not won in three. The draw price above 4.70 looks fair given how rarely these two sides have played out tight, low-event matches historically. Sassuolo at 5.50 feels about right too, they have the attacking pieces to score but lack the defensive discipline to keep this close for ninety minutes.
Possible Starting Lineups
Como possible starting eleven
- GK: Jean Butez
- DF: Yan Couto, Marc-Oliver Kempf, Ivan Smolcic, Álex Valle
- MF: Maximo Perrone, Lucas Da Cunha, Nico Paz, Martin Baturina, Maxence Caqueret
- FW: Anastasios Douvikas
Fàbregas tends to stick with his 4-2-3-1 and the same core group that has delivered results lately. Nico Paz operates just behind Douvikas and is the player defenders will worry about most, while Butez has started every recent game in goal and offers stability behind a back four that has been settled for weeks.
Sassuolo possible starting eleven
- GK: Arijanet Murić
- DF: Josh Doig, Cas Odenthal, Duje Ćaleta-Car, Sebastian Walukiewicz
- MF: Nemanja Matić, Darryl Bakola, Kristian Thorstvedt
- FW: Armand Lauriente, Domenico Berardi, Sebastiano Esposito
Aquilani also runs a 4-2-3-1, with Matić anchoring the midfield alongside Bakola to give Thorstvedt, Lauriente and Berardi license to roam behind Esposito. Berardi is the one player capable of punishing Como on the counter if the hosts get careless pushing numbers forward.
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Sassuolo. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Como’s attacking numbers over the last five matches, nine goals and 57 shots against Sassuolo’s three goals and 24 shots, make this a straightforward lean for our punters team. Sassuolo’s defense has leaked goals in four of their last five outings, and nothing in their recent run suggests they can keep a Paz-led attack quiet for a full ninety minutes at Sinigaglia. We predict a Como win with both teams scoring and the total goals climbing past 2.5, with a real chance this one gets out of hand for the visitors in the second half. To be honest, Sassuolo’s only realistic path is an early goal that forces Como into an open game they might not fully need to chase.
