Liam Duckstein
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Torino welcome Monza to the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino on matchday eight with both clubs sitting just three points apart in the bottom half of the table. Torino have won their last two outings and look the sturdier of the pair right now, while Monza arrive having scored four goals in their previous match yet still looking shaky at the back. The interesting wrinkle here is that these two sides have already met once this season in Coppa Italia, with Monza stealing a 1-0 win on the road, so Ignazio Abate’s players will fancy a bit of revenge on league turf.
Giovanni Simeone has been Torino’s sharpest weapon lately, netting twice in his last two appearances and offering a real focal point up front. For Monza, Gustavo Varela has quietly been their most productive attacker with two goals and an assist in the same span, and he will need a big night if Monza are to leave Turin with anything.
The hot stat from this build-up belongs to Monza, who have shipped 15 goals in just 7 league matches this term, the second worst defensive record in Serie A, yet somehow still smashed four past Cagliari last time out. That boom-or-bust profile makes them one of the most unpredictable sides to price up right now.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Torino vs Monza prediction
We predict Torino to win this one. Torino sit tenth with a positive goal difference and are unbeaten in four of their last five, while Monza have won just once in the same stretch and remain stuck in the bottom third of the table. The home side’s recent form, built on tidy defending and a clinical edge from Simeone, gives us enough to lean their way, perhaps by a two goal margin given how open Monza have been defensively.
Torino have been disciplined without the ball, picking up only two yellow cards across their last five matches against Monza’s own two, so expect a physical but largely fair contest rather than a card-fest. Monza’s attack has racked up 28 shots in that span compared to Torino’s 21, showing they do create chances even if their finishing and defending let them down. Torino’s higher pass accuracy, roughly 707 completions at a strong rate against Monza’s 719 attempts at a lower success rate, suggests Abate’s side will dictate tempo and should be able to control the game’s rhythm for long periods.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Correct score 2-1 Torino |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Torino have won three, drawn one and lost just one of their last five matches, a run capped by a comfortable 3-0 win over Parma in their most recent outing. That victory stretched their unbeaten run to four games and showed a Torino side capable of putting games away early rather than grinding out nervy results. In our preview of Parma vs Torino we backed the home win narrative even if we expected it tighter than it turned out, and the 3-0 scoreline delivered on the core call even if the goals tally ran hotter than we anticipated.
Monza’s last five results read two wins, one draw and two losses, and the volatility shows clearly in their most recent match, a 4-0 demolition of Cagliari that came sandwiched between back to back defeats before and after similar swings earlier in the month. In our preview of Monza vs Cagliari we leaned toward a tight away win for Cagliari built on composure and control, and the eventual 4-0 Monza romp went firmly against that call. It is a reminder of just how unpredictable Juric’s side can be from one week to the next.
🚨Check out our dedicated Torino vs Monza stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Torino the favourite
- Moneyline Torino 2.10 | Monza 3.40
- Draw 3.40
- Over/Under Over 2.5 goals available | Under 2.5 goals available
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes available | No available
The market sits Torino around 46% to win, with Monza closer to 28% and the draw filling the rest, almost identical to the bookmakers’ own pre-match split. That pricing lines up with what the form tables show. Torino simply look the more stable side right now, and backing them at around 2.10 represents fair value given their recent defensive discipline and Monza’s leaky back line.
Possible Starting Lineups
Torino possible starting eleven
- GK: Lucas Perri
- DF: Saúl Coco, Pietro Comuzzo, Ardian Ismajli
- MF: Rolando Mandragora, Daniel Bragança, Rafik Belghali, Nikola Vlašić
- FW: Giovanni Simeone, Sandro Kulenović, Che Adams
Abate should stick with his preferred 3-4-2-1 shape. Perri has started every recent match and commands the box well, while Comuzzo and Coco anchor a back three that has conceded sparingly. Simeone leads the line with Kulenović and Adams rotating in support, and Simeone in particular is worth watching given his scoring run.
Monza possible starting eleven
- GK: Noel Tornqvist
- DF: Samuele Birindelli, Andrea Carboni, Saba Goglichidze
- MF: Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Foe Ondoa, Andrea Colpani, Eddy Kouadio
- FW: Dany Mota, Gustavo Varela, Jay Robinson
Juric also tends to set up in a 3-4-2-1, and Tornqvist’s shot-stopping has kept Monza in several matches they otherwise might have lost. Varela leads the attacking line alongside Mota, and both will need to be at their sharpest given how open Monza’s defense has looked all season.
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Monza. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Torino go into this one with better form, a tidier defense and a sharper finisher in Simeone. Monza can score goals, as their recent Cagliari result proved, but their inability to keep clean sheets makes them vulnerable against a side playing with real confidence at home. We predict a Torino win, with goals at both ends given how open Monza have been defensively this season. Perhaps a 2-1 scoreline captures this matchup best, and our punters team sees value in backing the home side alongside the BTTS market.
