Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg Prediction: 09.11.2025 Bundesliga

As Bundesliga action intensifies, Stuttgart host FC Augsburg at the Mercedes-Benz Arena. This regular season encounter is more than just three points—Stuttgart look to consolidate a Champions League spot while Augsburg are desperate for stability at the other end of the table. Despite some recent wobbles, Stuttgart’s form keeps them firmly in the top four, whereas Augsburg’s results betray a side in the midst of rebuilding under Sandro Wagner. One intriguing factor? Both sides employ a 3-4-2-1 formation—expect tactical symmetry and a battle of midfield execution to shape the match’s tempo.

Among the array of talent, keep a close eye on Stuttgart forward Deniz Undav, who has provided vital attacking thrust with two goals and an assist in his last five appearances. For Augsburg, the midfield tenacity of Kristijan Jakić is essential; his work rate and defensive acumen will be critical to breaking down Stuttgart’s free-flowing possession and orchestrating counter-attacks. These two may well determine the fate of their respective sides.

Hot stat: Stuttgart have netted seven goals in their last five matches—seven times Augsburg’s paltry tally of one goal over the same span.

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Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg prediction

The best value prediction for this clash is a straightforward Stuttgart win. The Swabians simply look a league above Augsburg in almost every facet: superior recent form, higher goal output, and cohesive tactical consistency. Stuttgart average 1.4 goals per game this season, conceding just above one, while Augsburg’s scoring woes—one goal in the last five matches—underscore an attack desperately struggling for rhythm.

Discipline may also play a part. Stuttgart have amassed 17 yellow cards in the last five games (3.4 per match), compared to Augsburg’s 10. Yet, it is Stuttgart’s dominance in ball progression—averaging over 460 successful passes and 72% accuracy per match—that should starve Augsburg of chances to break. In contrast, Augsburg’s midfield has seen less cohesion with only 48 total fouls and a lack of counter-pressure, leading to just 15 corners over five matches. Expect Stuttgart’s higher press and efficient transition play to suffocate Augsburg’s attempts to find rhythm, resulting in low margins for the visitors.

Team Analysis

Stuttgart Recent Games:

Stuttgart have enjoyed a purple patch, registering four wins in their last six encounters. Their most recent outing was a convincing 2-0 win against Feyenoord, with the Swabians showcasing defensive robustness and clinical finishing. Two games prior, they overcame Mainz twice (2-0 and 2-1), underlining a habit of dispatching teams in the bottom half with relative ease. Even the 1-3 defeat to RB Leipzig was not entirely lopsided—Stuttgart matched their esteemed opposition for large portions before being undone by moments of individual brilliance. Notably, their shot creation (74 in five games) and corner count (25) are illustrative of a side constantly probing for openings.

FC Augsburg Recent Games:

By contrast, Augsburg’s form sheet paints a worrying picture. With just one victory in their last six, their most recent games include a tame 0-1 defeat to Borussia Dortmund and a bruising 0-6 loss to RB Leipzig. The side’s inability to convert possession into meaningful goalmouth action is glaring—they’ve scored only once in five games and mustered just 49 shots. The draw against FC Köln (1-1) offered a rare glimpse of stability, but against higher-caliber opposition, their defensive frailties have been severely punished. Low pass accuracy and an overreliance on long balls mean Augsburg will likely struggle to transition effectively against Stuttgart’s disciplined press.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Stuttgart the favourite

• Moneyline Stuttgart 1.53 | FC Augsburg 5.70
• Draw 4.50
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.73 | Under 2.5 2.10
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.95

The odds overwhelmingly favor Stuttgart, and with good reason. Bookmakers assign a 62 percent implied probability to a home win, a reflection of Stuttgart’s commanding recent form, higher table position, and consistent head-to-head dominance. The low odds on over 2.5 underline expectations of a comfortable Stuttgart win, but Augsburg’s toothless attack means the total may well stay below the threshold—hence the value on under 3.5 and the “BTTS: No” market. In short, the value aligns strongly with Stuttgart to take all three points without conceding.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Stuttgart possible starting eleven

Sebastian Hoeneß is likely to stick to the 3-4-2-1 setup that has served Stuttgart so well in recent rounds. Nübel’s command between the sticks provides assurance, while the defensive trio offers balance and recovery speed. Midfield pivots Karazor and Stiller act as the heartbeat, enabling clever rotations and vertical progression. Up front, Führich and El Khannouss will drift between lines and supply Undav, whose movement and clinical finishing remain Stuttgart’s sharpest weapon. Expect the midfield engine to control tempo and expose Augsburg’s less compact structure.

FC Augsburg possible starting eleven

Augsburg’s XI shows the makings of a side in transition. Dahmen remains in goal, shielded by a back three prone to lapses against pacy attacks. In midfield, Jakić anchors alongside Massengo and Rexhbecaj, with Kade offering width and defensive cover. Up top, the creative spark must come from Claude-Maurice and Rieder, although their lack of recent output is striking. If there’s to be an upset, Augsburg will need creative brilliance and defensive discipline well above recent showings. Formation: 3-4-2-1.

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My take on the Match

My main pick is for Stuttgart to win with a clean sheet. Beyond the statistics, there’s a sense of momentum and collective belief about Hoeneß’s Stuttgart that Augsburg seem to sorely lack. The hosts’ attacking variety combined with defensive stability should see them control possession and territory throughout. Unless Augsburg engineer a radical tactical shift or find sudden attacking inspiration, Stuttgart’s press and technique look too much to handle. Expect a disciplined, decisive home win—my scoreline prediction: Stuttgart 2-0 FC Augsburg.

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